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#31
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On Microclimates
Doug Freyburger wrote:
.... A question for climate geologists - As climate has changed across the last several tens of millions of years, how much has the amount of arable land changed? As the glaciers receded towards the poles the deserts near the equator grew. How close to parity was that change? Right now the USDA zones keep north in the northern hemisphere. How much of that is a reduction of total arable land and how much of that is a change of where the arable land is? And how much of the change in amount of arable land is from other causes of desertification like the human caused ones of deforrestation and irrigation causing gradual salt build up in the soil? The discussion never does seem to address the net change in arable land as the glaciers recede and the deserts grow. Until you start reading Billy's material about building up new soil and that's an indirect reference. a large portion of desertification is from human activities like overgrazing cows/sheep/goats and removing covering forests for crops and firewood. some areas the moisture in the forrests is part of the local weather cycle. remove the forrest, change the weather... some desertland can be reclaimed by doing simple things like lining up rocks on the ground (which stops water from flowing away quickly). soon these lines trap seeds and the plants sprout and that sets up a small windbreak which further protects tree seedlings and gives them a chance to grow. as long as these are not grazed by goats it can go a long ways towards getting some growth going even in very harsh climates. in China they are trying to reforrest some areas, but i'm not sure how much success they've had. i don't think they have enough moisture or organic stuff planted along with the saplings so they bake before they can grow. instead they probably need an approach like the one above that starts small and works up to supporting trees one step at a time. songbird |
#32
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On Microclimates
In article ,
Doug Freyburger wrote: Billy wrote: Doug Freyburger wrote: Billy has dived face first into that political fray. What's wrong with ranching cattle on Greenland? What's wrong with letting the social change as it will as the USDA zones move? Why bother with an irrational religion that battles with science when there are rational religions with zero conflict with science that are nature based? Somebody call? Chortle. You and I disagree on politics. Part of the deal. It's what people do. It's called arrogance to say you know something, when you have no proof one way, or the other. A theist claims certainty. An atheist claims certainty. And most atheists claim that certainty based on the errors of one specific religion without even looking at others. That's letting the opposition define the rules in your game. The rest of the religions out there are dismissed out of hand on the false assumption they all make the same mistakes - They don't. As if all other religions address deity at all -They don't. As if all other religions expect their members to believe in the existance of deity - They don't. What religion doesn't believe in a divine being that can act in the world? Spirituality is just sensing the interconnectedness of everything. As if all other religions oppose science - They don't. As if all other religions make the errors of biblical inerrancy or biblical literalism - They don't. To base one's atheism on these points is like dismissing the existence of mountains because you happened to grow up in a flat region with no visible mountains. Or to conclude the world is flat because you've never been high enough to see its curvature yourself. Faith isn't proof. Correct me, if I'm wrong, but there has been no metric which proves the existence of God, although atheist have taken LSD and/or psilocybin, and have had spiritual experiences, not Christian, but spiritual none the less. We agnostics see no proof one way or another. Theism, and atheism are both a matter of faith. Going on the objective only, the agnostic approach is the best supported. Until you consider my "They don't" points above. I personally accept, for myself, subjective evidence, knowing full well that by definition subjective evidence is only available to myself and does not apply to others. So I'm not an atheist. Nonetheless I decided to join a religion that does not care if its members are atheists or not. Need some definitions here. An atheistic religion? Spirituality and religiosity aren't exactly the same thing. The former would be constrained by natural laws, the later wouldn't. As far as global warming goes, I'm down with dairy ranching in Greenland It's an issue not handled in the currect discussion. While the fact of global warming completely real it demonstrates that our current century is not the warmest of recent times. It demonstrates that the records cited do not go back as far as climate records in general. It also demonstrates that degree of human causation is not the primary issue because humans have done fine in centuries past that were warmer than today. The primary issue is the social change triggered by climate change and what to do about it. The history of Greenland makes it clear that global warming has happened in the past without human input so it's not about that. A point that Nad R hasn't gotten. but when California's Central Valley floods because of rising sea levels, where are you going to get your produce then? Whew it would take a lot of sea level elevation to fill the San Joacin valley! It's done it before, but it won't be done quickly, if at all. A question for climate geologists - As climate has changed across the last several tens of millions of years, how much has the amount of arable land changed? As the glaciers receded towards the poles the deserts near the equator grew. How close to parity was that change? Right now the USDA zones keep north in the northern hemisphere. How much of that is a reduction of total arable land and how much of that is a change of where the arable land is? And how much of the change in amount of arable land is from other causes of desertification like the human caused ones of deforrestation and irrigation causing gradual salt build up in the soil? The food supply would have to reflect the more tropical nature of the world. The discussion never does seem to address the net change in arable land as the glaciers recede and the deserts grow. Until you start reading Billy's material about building up new soil and that's an indirect reference. High CO2 levels have led to several mass extinctions. Global warming could be more than just inconvenient. -- --------- http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hYIC0eZYEtI http://www.democracynow.org/blog/2011/3/7/michael_moore http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eZkDikRLQrw http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MyE5wjc4XOw |
#33
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On Microclimates
Billy wrote:
Doug Freyburger wrote: And most atheists claim that certainty based on the errors of one specific religion without even looking at others. That's letting the opposition define the rules in your game. The rest of the religions out there are dismissed out of hand on the false assumption they all make the same mistakes - They don't. As if all other religions address deity at all -They don't. As if all other religions expect their members to believe in the existance of deity - They don't. In this case we have a person who was exposed to toxic religion when young who has rejected religion based on that. Rather like hating all fruit because of being forced to eat brussel sprouts as a child. What religion doesn't believe in a divine being that can act in the world? Buddhism at least. Number three in the list of the big 4 based on worldwide population. There are also plenty of religions where the individual's belief in deity is irrelevant even though the written scripture describes deity as existing. Judaism for exmple. Also Hindu, number four in the list of the big 4 based on worldwide population. Spirituality is just sensing the interconnectedness of everything. Among other aspects. Note that science is a spiritual method in that meaning so the spiritual means more than the religious. To base one's atheism on these points is like dismissing the existence of mountains because you happened to grow up in a flat region with no visible mountains ... Faith isn't proof. Correct. Reading a map and seeing Greenland and thinking that Greenland exists is an act of faith. Reading reports of deity written by others and thinking that deity exists is an act of faith. The difference is in how to convert that faith into conviction. Anyone can take someone else to Greenland. No one can take anyone else to an experience of deity. It's always only real to the individual - Subjective. Correct me, if I'm wrong, but there has been no metric which proves the existence of God, although atheist have taken LSD and/or psilocybin, and have had spiritual experiences, not Christian, but spiritual none the less. There are metrics which disprove the existance of specific gods, none that prove the existance of them. That part of religion is always subjective. There are necessary and sufficient aspects to religion. Belief in deity is sufficient without being necessary. Need some definitions here. An atheistic religion? Buddhism is an entire faith which does not require any address to deity. There are Buddhist sects that do address deity but it is always optional. There are also religions that are theistic in their writings that do not require it of their members. Once you're past Christianity and Islam, numbers one and two in world population, few of the remaining religions make such a requirement even in theory. A question for climate geologists - As climate has changed across the last several tens of millions of years, how much has the amount of arable land changed? As the glaciers receded towards the poles the deserts near the equator grew. How close to parity was that change? The food supply would have to reflect the more tropical nature of the world. Only if the world population does not migrate to reflect the changing location of arable land. Static humanity has never been true and can not be expected to be true now. As the arable land shifts away from the equator so does the human population. Such migrations across history have triggered sigificant social change. The discussion never does seem to address the net change in arable land as the glaciers recede and the deserts grow. Until you start reading Billy's material about building up new soil and that's an indirect reference. High CO2 levels have led to several mass extinctions. Global warming could be more than just inconvenient. Could. Agreed. Human hunting has already triggered a mass extinction. We do need the environmentalist movement. We do need to continue solar cells on their exponential growth until they replace much of the fossil fuel use. We do need to build soil as a part of our farming methods. We do need to plant more trees and slow/stop the net cutting of trees. |
#34
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On Microclimates
Doug Freyburger wrote:
It's an issue not handled in the currect discussion. While the fact of global warming completely real it demonstrates that our current century is not the warmest of recent times. It demonstrates that the records cited do not go back as far as climate records in general. It also If there are no temperature records of the past, how do yo know that our century is not the warmest century in "human" history? demonstrates that degree of human causation is not the primary issue because humans have done fine in centuries past that were warmer than today. The primary issue is the social change triggered by climate change and what to do about it. The history of Greenland makes it clear that global warming has happened in the past without human input so it's not about that. A point that Nad R hasn't gotten. When has global warming happened in the past? The planet has had ice ages due to volcanos and possible meteor impacts. When the dust settled, the earth returned to normal temperatures. Because the ice melted does not constitute a global warming, higher than normal temperature.. Note: "faith" means believing in something in which all the facts are not there. Ex: I have "faith"I will find that hot looking woman and have a happy life -- Enjoy Life... Nad R (Garden in zone 5a Michigan) |
#35
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On Microclimates
songbird wrote:
a large portion of desertification is from human activities like overgrazing cows/sheep/goats and removing covering forests for crops and firewood. some areas the moisture in the forrests is part of the local weather cycle. remove the forrest, change the weather... Humans have done a large but unknown about of that over the millennia. The Sahara used to be grassland, as was most of central Asia. How much was human grazing and farming and how much was natural climate change? Very hard to tell after the fact. in China they are trying to reforrest some areas, but i'm not sure how much success they've had. i don't think they have enough moisture or organic stuff planted along with the saplings so they bake before they can grow. instead they probably need an approach like the one above that starts small and works up to supporting trees one step at a time. It would need to be done a step at a time. Getting grasses and shrub bushes then building generation to generation. |
#36
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On Microclimates
Nad R wrote:
Doug Freyburger wrote: It's an issue not handled in the currect discussion. While the fact of global warming completely real it demonstrates that our current century is not the warmest of recent times. It demonstrates that the records cited do not go back as far as climate records in general. It also If there are no temperature records of the past, how do yo know that our century is not the warmest century in "human" history? There are types of records other than direct temperature measurements. Grazing cattle in the Greenland colony is one such measurement. We still can not graze cattle on Greenland therefore the claim that this is the warmest century in the last ten is a weak assertion. The primary issue is the social change triggered by climate change and what to do about it ... A point that Nad R hasn't gotten. That I object to the socialists claiming the topic as theirs and then proceeding to push their agenda based on that claim. I don't buy that the socialist approach is the right way to go. It's not like that approach worked well in the Soviet Union. Global warming is real quite independent of human causation. What to do about it and how to go about it matters. For example, not trying again that which failed in the Soviet Union matters. I do not think that taking the Soviet approach is the way to go. That's not about whether global warming is human caused or not. That's about how to react to global warming irrespective of causation. I think this is my main disagreement with Billy - He favors the socialist approach without explaining why since it failed for the Soviets we should try it again now. When has global warming happened in the past? I already mentioned the Medival warming via the Greenland colony. I will also mention the "Little Ice Age" of the 1300s that killed the Greenland colony and the 1st century AD examples of Caesar Marcus Antonius Aurelius marching his legionary vexellations across the Danube without a bridge to rush to fight against the Panonian revolt. To have two such centuries of global cooling implies at least one more century of global warming before 1000 AD on some sort of human written record that does predate the invention of the thermometer. The planet has had ice ages due to volcanos and possible meteor impacts. When the dust settled, the earth returned to normal temperatures. Because the ice melted does not constitute a global warming, higher than normal temperature.. For the last million years the planet has alternated between warm periods and ice ages. The causes have been more than volcanoes. There is variation in the orbital elipse (greater eccetricity gives harsher winters). There is precession of the equinoxes relative to the orbital elipse (axis aligned with the eccentricity gives wider range of seasons). There are cycles of variation in total solar output that have more effect than orbit/spin interaction. And now there are greenhouse gases from human activity. Remember that under 50 years ago projections of the ice age estimates suggested that the next ice age could start in this century. That the science has changed so in my lifetime tells me it's current projections remain tentative not certain. To someone 20 the projections have not changed in their lifetime. I've also read of very many scientific revolutions across history and the current science remains tentative to me. In the atomic theory of chemistry we now have photographs of atoms. In the genetic/evolutionary theory of biology we now have genetic engineering. In climatology we have a growing database and a concensus among scientists that is new in the last several decades. That's a big difference in uncertainty. We should act like it. Including the parts that are definitely certain like the CO2 release into the atmosphere being huge compared to other eras. Including the fact that the soviet socialist approach has already been shown a failure. Current concensus of scientists is the best data we have but it is a concensus. It doesn't have its equivalent of photographs of individual atoms or Xray crystalography showing the spiral structure of DNA. A cautious approach that acknowledges this difference in quality is not the same as a denial based on religious nonsense. A conservative approach that remembers the fall of the Soviet Union under socialism is not the same as jumping into socialism control because it feels good to be doing something, anything. An understanding that climate change need not be the actual motivation of politicians but rather their leverage to get power is not denial. Plant bushes. Install solar cells. Compost. |
#37
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On Microclimates
Doug Freyburger wrote:
There are types of records other than direct temperature measurements. Grazing cattle in the Greenland colony is one such measurement. We still can not graze cattle on Greenland therefore the claim that this is the warmest century in the last ten is a weak assertion. If it is a "week" assertion, then you also cannot state that this is century is not the warmest. This century could be the warmest in a million years. I doubt cattle grazing has been going on for more that a millennia or a good measure of past temperature recordings. That I object to the socialists claiming the topic as theirs and then proceeding to push their agenda based on that claim. I don't buy that the socialist approach is the right way to go. It's not like that approach worked well in the Soviet Union. Global warming is real quite independent of human causation. What to do about it and how to go about it matters. For example, not trying again that which failed in the Soviet Union matters. I do not think that taking the Soviet approach is the way to go. That's not about whether global warming is human caused or not. That's about how to react to global warming irrespective of causation. I think this is my main disagreement with Billy - He favors the socialist approach without explaining why since it failed for the Soviets we should try it again now. I also object that Ultra Right Wing Capitalist claiming the global warming is not man made. That political view is a two way street. Let face it, your belief is on a God, not science. If your wrong and the human race continues on it's reckless path the earth will be very uncomfortable place to live for short term gains. If global warming is not man made what harm is implementing a policy of reducing CO2 and the human population. I think there should be a balance between humans and nature vs destroying nature at a breakneck pace to support a growing population that will consume more and more resources. without a bridge to rush to fight against the Panonian revolt. To have two such centuries of global cooling implies at least one more century of global warming before 1000 AD on some sort of human written record that does predate the invention of the thermometer. I disagree with your presuppositions that global cooling is preceded by a global warming. Their are cooling temperatures in the past followed by normal temperatures. NOT above normal temperatures like today's time. more effect than orbit/spin interaction. And now there are greenhouse gases from human activity. Yes! "And now there are greenhouse gases from human activity". Thank for confirming that global warming ( Greenhouse Gasses ) from human activities. A cautious approach that acknowledges this difference in quality is not the same as a denial based on religious nonsense. A conservative approach that remembers the fall of the Soviet Union under socialism is not the same as jumping into socialism control because it feels good to be doing something, anything. An understanding that climate change need not be the actual motivation of politicians but rather their leverage to get power is not denial. Plant bushes. Install solar cells. Compost. If I understand this correctly, you think that Climate Change is a socialist plot to be used for political power? If so you have have really really gone off the deep end of the Glen Beck World of grand delusions. Yea I half read "Collapse", some of which has interesting theories. But I do not buy it completely. This video may be of some interest here. http://www.ted.com/talks/lang/eng/ja..._collapse.html -- Enjoy Life... Nad R (Garden in zone 5a Michigan) |
#38
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On Microclimates
In article ,
Nad R wrote: Doug Freyburger wrote: It's an issue not handled in the currect discussion. While the fact of global warming completely real it demonstrates that our current century is not the warmest of recent times. It demonstrates that the records cited do not go back as far as climate records in general. It also If there are no temperature records of the past, how do yo know that our century is not the warmest century in "human" history? demonstrates that degree of human causation is not the primary issue because humans have done fine in centuries past that were warmer than today. The primary issue is the social change triggered by climate change and what to do about it. The history of Greenland makes it clear that global warming has happened in the past without human input so it's It appears to be more global cooling than global warming, as you might expect considering the fiery origins of the planet. not about that. A point that Nad R hasn't gotten. When has global warming happened in the past? http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Geologic_temperature_record#Overall_view The planet has had ice ages due to volcanos and possible meteor impacts. When the dust settled, the earth returned to normal temperatures. Because the ice melted does not constitute a global warming, higher than normal temperature.. Global warming can happen because of increased CO2 levels, or increased solar luminance. Heightened CO2 levels have preceded at least 5 GLOBAL MASS EXTINCTION'S. Note: "faith" means believing in something in which all the facts are not there. Ex: I have "faith"I will find that hot looking woman and have a happy life Note: "faith" means believing in something in the abscence of objective proof. -- --------- http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hYIC0eZYEtI http://www.democracynow.org/blog/2011/3/7/michael_moore http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eZkDikRLQrw http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MyE5wjc4XOw |
#39
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On Microclimates
Billy wrote:
In article , Nad R wrote: Doug Freyburger wrote: It's an issue not handled in the currect discussion. While the fact of global warming completely real it demonstrates that our current century is not the warmest of recent times. It demonstrates that the records cited do not go back as far as climate records in general. It also If there are no temperature records of the past, how do yo know that our century is not the warmest century in "human" history? demonstrates that degree of human causation is not the primary issue because humans have done fine in centuries past that were warmer than today. The primary issue is the social change triggered by climate change and what to do about it. The history of Greenland makes it clear that global warming has happened in the past without human input so it's It appears to be more global cooling than global warming, as you might expect considering the fiery origins of the planet. not about that. A point that Nad R hasn't gotten. When has global warming happened in the past? http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Geologic_temperature_record#Overall_view The planet has had ice ages due to volcanos and possible meteor impacts. When the dust settled, the earth returned to normal temperatures. Because the ice melted does not constitute a global warming, higher than normal temperature.. Global warming can happen because of increased CO2 levels, or increased solar luminance. Heightened CO2 levels have preceded at least 5 GLOBAL MASS EXTINCTION'S. Note: "faith" means believing in something in which all the facts are not there. Ex: I have "faith"I will find that hot looking woman and have a happy life Note: "faith" means believing in something in the abscence of objective proof. In my argumentation I think I stated in the last millennia, one thousand years, global warming was not to be found. I admit millions of years ago global warming occurred as the earth was still forming and dinosaurs were roaming around. Doug was indicating in recent history of the "recent" ice ages was followed by global warming a higher than normal temperature. I view which I reject. Also to me, "facts are not all there" seems to have the same meaning as "absence of objective proof". Are we going to be splitting hairs over this seemingly same definition -- Enjoy Life... Nad R (Garden in zone 5a Michigan) |
#40
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On Microclimates
In article ,
Doug Freyburger wrote: songbird wrote: a large portion of desertification is from human activities like overgrazing cows/sheep/goats and removing covering forests for crops and firewood. some areas the moisture in the forrests is part of the local weather cycle. remove the forrest, change the weather... Humans have done a large but unknown about of that over the millennia. The Sahara used to be grassland, as was most of central Asia. How much was human grazing and farming and how much was natural climate change? Very hard to tell after the fact. What is "natural climate change"? The graph on http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Geologic_temperature_record#Recent_past indicates that the planet was "naturally" getting cooler. in China they are trying to reforrest some areas, but i'm not sure how much success they've had. i don't think they have enough moisture or organic stuff planted along with the saplings so they bake before they can grow. instead they probably need an approach like the one above that starts small and works up to supporting trees one step at a time. It would need to be done a step at a time. Getting grasses and shrub bushes then building generation to generation. -- --------- http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hYIC0eZYEtI http://www.democracynow.org/blog/2011/3/7/michael_moore http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eZkDikRLQrw http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MyE5wjc4XOw |
#41
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On Microclimates
In article ,
Nad R wrote: Doug Freyburger wrote: It's an issue not handled in the currect discussion. While the fact of global warming completely real it demonstrates that our current century is not the warmest of recent times. It demonstrates that the records cited do not go back as far as climate records in general. It also If there are no temperature records of the past, how do yo know that our century is not the warmest century in "human" history? Lipids in algae. Stay tuned. demonstrates that degree of human causation is not the primary issue because humans have done fine in centuries past that were warmer than today. The primary issue is the social change triggered by climate change and what to do about it. The history of Greenland makes it clear that global warming has happened in the past without human input so it's not about that. A point that Nad R hasn't gotten. When has global warming happened in the past? The planet has had ice ages due to volcanos and possible meteor impacts. When the dust settled, the earth returned to normal temperatures. Because the ice melted does not constitute a global warming, higher than normal temperature.. Note: "faith" means believing in something in which all the facts are not there. Ex: I have "faith"I will find that hot looking woman and have a happy life -- --------- http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hYIC0eZYEtI http://www.democracynow.org/blog/2011/3/7/michael_moore http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eZkDikRLQrw http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MyE5wjc4XOw |
#42
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On Microclimates
Nad R wrote:
If I understand this correctly, you think that Climate Change is a socialist plot to be used for political power? It is clear you have not read any of my posts. Thanks for the clarification on the point that you can't tell effect from cause and that you do not believe that someone can attach to an idea and use it for their own ends that don't have anything to do with that idea. And yet you report that you were raised by fundies who use exactly that strategem. |
#43
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On Microclimates
Billy wrote:
Doug Freyburger wrote: The Sahara used to be grassland, as was most of central Asia. How much was human grazing and farming and how much was natural climate change? Very hard to tell after the fact. What is "natural climate change"? Change that is not caused by humans. There's been a lot of it in geological time. Enough to ask if the human contribution in the current trend is large or small. And that's independent of the real issue that you point out in the graph - If global warming isn't really a good thing. The graph on http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Geologic_temperature_record#Recent_past indicates that the planet was "naturally" getting cooler. The graph also shows that life in general has done very well during the warmer geological periods. We're all doomed - The history of life thriving during warm periods proves it! We're all doomed - Humanity evolved during the recent swings and highs. Our prehistoric ancestors have already been through several ice ages and warming periods. The "we" part is specific parts of human culture not humanity in general and not life in general. Independent of the size of human contribution to global warming that's the interesting point - Earth's life thrived under warming conditions. Ancient humanity thrived under warming conditions. Therefore global warming *must* be *entirely* human caused and we're all going to die as a result of it! It's political BS at its finest. It ignores what has actually happened during prior warm eras. Even glancing at the graphs tells a different story. Life and humanity have thrived under warmer conditions across geological time. Except for folks living in Florida which will eventually be innundated, exactly how again is life and humanity thriving a disaster? Last time I checked there are planes, trains and automolbiles capable of evacuating Florida in a lot less than the several centuries it will take for it to flood. We'll need to replant the citrus groves elsewhere, completely disasterous. The degree of human contribution just doesn't matter in real terms - Life in general and humanity in specific has thrived on Earth during eras of warmer climate. Is it bad just because it's different? Really? I look at those graphs and I don't buy it. I look at those graphs and I wonder why I support green energy sources like wind, solar and nuclear. Because fossil fuels are limited resources, that's why. |
#44
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On Microclimates
Doug Freyburger wrote:
Nad R wrote: If I understand this correctly, you think that Climate Change is a socialist plot to be used for political power? It is clear you have not read any of my posts. Thanks for the clarification on the point that you can't tell effect from cause and that you do not believe that someone can attach to an idea and use it for their own ends that don't have anything to do with that idea. And yet you report that you were raised by fundies who use exactly that strategem. Take a look at your last posting. Forty three words in one super long disjointed sentence. Your postings are difficult to read and rather cryptic. I wonder how you ever graduated from any school writing the way you do. I will not respond to your rantings until you learn to write. -- Enjoy Life... Nad R (Garden in zone 5a Michigan) |
#45
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On Microclimates
In article ,
Doug Freyburger wrote: Nad R wrote: Doug Freyburger wrote: It's an issue not handled in the currect discussion. While the fact of global warming completely real it demonstrates that our current century is not the warmest of recent times. It demonstrates that the records cited do not go back as far as climate records in general. It also If there are no temperature records of the past, how do yo know that our century is not the warmest century in "human" history? There are types of records other than direct temperature measurements. Grazing cattle in the Greenland colony is one such measurement. We still can not graze cattle on Greenland therefore the claim that this is the warmest century in the last ten is a weak assertion. The primary issue is the social change triggered by climate change and what to do about it ... A point that Nad R hasn't gotten. That I object to the socialists claiming the topic as theirs and then proceeding to push their agenda based on that claim. I don't buy that the socialist approach is the right way to go. It's not like that approach worked well in the Soviet Union. Global warming is real quite independent of human causation. What to do about it and how to go about it matters. For example, not trying again that which failed in the Soviet Union matters. I do not think that taking the Soviet approach is the way to go. That's not about whether global warming is human caused or not. That's about how to react to global warming irrespective of causation. I think this is my main disagreement with Billy - He favors the socialist approach without explaining why since it failed for the Soviets we should try it again now. When has global warming happened in the past? I already mentioned the Medival warming via the Greenland colony. I will also mention the "Little Ice Age" of the 1300s that killed the Greenland colony and the 1st century AD examples of Caesar Marcus Antonius Aurelius marching his legionary vexellations across the Danube without a bridge to rush to fight against the Panonian revolt. To have two such centuries of global cooling implies at least one more century of global warming before 1000 AD on some sort of human written record that does predate the invention of the thermometer. The planet has had ice ages due to volcanos and possible meteor impacts. When the dust settled, the earth returned to normal temperatures. Because the ice melted does not constitute a global warming, higher than normal temperature.. For the last million years the planet has alternated between warm periods and ice ages. The causes have been more than volcanoes. There is variation in the orbital elipse (greater eccetricity gives harsher winters). There is precession of the equinoxes relative to the orbital elipse (axis aligned with the eccentricity gives wider range of seasons). There are cycles of variation in total solar output that have more effect than orbit/spin interaction. And now there are greenhouse gases from human activity. Remember that under 50 years ago projections of the ice age estimates suggested that the next ice age could start in this century. That the science has changed so in my lifetime tells me it's current projections remain tentative not certain. Food for Climate Skeptics "The frigid winter now ending may be, unhappily, no fluke. The warming trend that had dominated world climate during most of the years since 1880 appears to have come to an end. Murray Mitehell, Jr., of the U.S. Weather Bureau reported that mean annual temperatures have dropped in both Northern and Southern hemispheres by 0.2 degree Fahrenheit since the early 1940s. In many areas climatic conditions have already returned to those that prevailed in the 1920s. The downturn has allayed fears about the 'greenhouse effect,' in which a rising concentration of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere, due to increased use of fossil fuels, was supposed to be trapping more and more solar energy. But the reasons for the cooling are unknown." -- Daytime temperatures had fallen during the 1940s and 1950s as aerosol haze created by industrial pollution reflected sunlight. Scientific American, March, 1961 (reprinted in the March, 2011 edition) To someone 20 the projections have not changed in their lifetime. I've also read of very many scientific revolutions across history and the current science remains tentative to me. In the atomic theory of chemistry we now have photographs of atoms. In the genetic/evolutionary theory of biology we now have genetic engineering. In climatology we have a growing database and a concensus among scientists that is new in the last several decades. That's a big difference in uncertainty. We should act like it. Including the parts that are definitely certain like the CO2 release into the atmosphere being huge compared to other eras. Including the fact that the soviet socialist approach has already been shown a failure. Current concensus of scientists is the best data we have but it is a concensus. It doesn't have its equivalent of photographs of individual atoms or Xray crystalography showing the spiral structure of DNA. A cautious approach that acknowledges this difference in quality is not the same as a denial based on religious nonsense. A conservative approach that remembers the fall of the Soviet Union under socialism is not the same as jumping into socialism control because it feels good to be doing something, anything. The Soviet Union was never a Socialist, much less a Communist country any more than the colonialists who threw tea into Boston Harbor were Indians. The Soviet Union was a dictatorship under Uncle Joe, and an oligarchy afterwards. Any social benefits were incidental. An understanding that climate change need not be the actual motivation of politicians but rather their leverage to get power is not denial. To what end is this power of which you speak? My view is that it is the power to keep corporate sponsors to fund election campaigns, which is contingent on legislation which increases corporate revenues. 87% of corporate stock is owned by 1% of the population. By and large, it is the extractors of fossil fuels (which are responsible for the release of CO2 into the atmosphere) which are the most vocal deniers of Global Warming. ---- http://www.democracynow.org/blog/2011/3/7/michael_moore MICHAEL MOO America is not broke. Contrary to what those in power would like you to believe, so that you'll give up your pension, cut your wages, and settle for the life your great-grandparents had, America is not broke. Not by a long shot. The country is awash in wealth and cash. It's just that it's not in your hands. It has been transferred, in the greatest heist in history, from the workers and consumers to the banks and the portfolios of the uber-rich. Right now, this afternoon, just 400 Americans - 400 - have more wealth than half of all Americans combined. Let me say that again. And please, someone in the mainstream media, just repeat this fact once. We're not greedy; we'll be happy to hear it just once. Four hundred obscenely wealthy individuals, 400 little Mubaraks, most of whom benefited in some way from the multi-trillion-dollar taxpayer bailout of 2008, now have more cash, stock and property than the assets of 155 million Americans combined. ------ Politicians (the RNC & the DNC) are just sock-puppets of the super-rich. Democracy in America is an illusion. ---- Geologically, there isn't a fixed, standard temp for the planet. Among those who deny Global Warming, are those who will benefit from the continued release of CO2. Politicians who oppose taking action against Global Warming benefit from campaign financing provided by corporate deniers. Corporations deny Global warming, because it reduces the income of its investors. Democracy doesn't exist, because if it did, it would interfere with the (mythical) free-market. There is some small disagreement about whether "Global Warming" is actually occurring. There is no disagreement on the rise of CO2 levels. Heightened CO2 levels have preceded at least 5 GLOBAL MASS EXTINCTION'S. Plant bushes. Install solar cells. Compost. --- Meanwhile back at the ranch, Unemployment is capitalism's way of getting you to plant a garden. - Orson Scott Card After 2 days of heavy rain, the peas are lookin' good :O) If you like weekends, thank a union. == -- --------- http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hYIC0eZYEtI http://www.democracynow.org/blog/2011/3/7/michael_moore http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eZkDikRLQrw http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MyE5wjc4XOw |
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