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Dead Paul 07-01-2010 09:25 PM

Met office lies
 
http://blogs.telegraph.co.uk/news/ge...green-agendas/
January 6th, 2010
Gerald Warner:

Wow! That Copenhagen package really worked. Global warming has been
dramatically reversed. In fact, if Al Gore could see his way to turning
the heat back up just a little, most of us would be deeply appreciative…

“Climate science” is the oxymoron of the century. There is not a city,
town or hamlet in the country that has had its weather conditions
correctly forecast, over periods as short as 12 hours, during the past
week. This is the “exceptionally mild winter” that the climate change
buffoons warned us would occur as a consequence of global warming. Their
credibility is 20 degrees below zero.

Yet nothing shames them, nothing persuades them to come out of the bunker
with their hands high and “fess up”. Patronisingly fobbing off the
public with fabricated excuses has become second nature to them. Latterly
they have been concocting alibis about the Gulf Stream to explain
Britain’s Arctic conditions. Uh-huh? Is it the Gulf Stream that has
frozen the Vistula and given Poland a temperature of –25C? Is it the
Gulf Stream that has caused the worst blizzards in Beijing since 1951?

The entire Northern Hemisphere is frozen. The world looks like a Christmas
pudding with icing on the top. That is completely normal, part of the
random climate fluctuations with which our ancestors were familiar. Yet
fraudulent scientists have gained millions of pounds by taking selective
samples of natural climate change, whipping up a Grande Peur and using it
to advance the cause of world government, state control and fiscal
despoliation of citizens.

2010 should be the year when all that ends. It is time for Zero Tolerance
of AGW fraudsters and their political masters. It is time to say: Green
taxes? We won’t pay them. Nor will we vote for or permit to remain in
office any politician or party that supports the AGW fraud. This year is
one of those rare occasions when we have an opportunity to punish and
control our political masters – provided Britons have the will to break
with the two-party system.

Due to the rise of smaller parties – itself the consequence of the
misgovernment of the Lab/Lib/Con consensus – it is a buyer’s market.
The rule of thumb should be: any party that supports the global warming
scam is ineligible for our votes. It doesn’t matter how ingrained
one’s loyalty may once have been to one of the “major” parties, the
time has come to impose the popular will on politicians who have learned,
since the abolition of capital punishment in 1965, that by forming an
anti-democratic consensus they can dictate to the public.

The coming general election is going to be an intelligence test. If people
realise that voting for the slightly less objectionable choice gets them
nowhere, that by holding out for what they really want they can actually
obtain it, then we may be able to liberate ourselves from the tree-hugging
New/Blue Labour consensus. If we fail to rise to that challenge we shall
forfeit the right to complain about five more years of PC oppression. That
is the answer: Zero Tolerance of “Green” agendas.

Fred 07-01-2010 09:55 PM

Met office lies
 
Dead Paul wrote:
http://blogs.telegraph.co.uk/news/ge...green-agendas/
January 6th, 2010
Gerald Warner:

Wow! That Copenhagen package really worked. Global warming has been
dramatically reversed. In fact, if Al Gore could see his way to turning
the heat back up just a little, most of us would be deeply appreciative…

“Climate science” is the oxymoron of the century. There is not a city,
town or hamlet in the country that has had its weather conditions
correctly forecast, over periods as short as 12 hours, during the past
week. This is the “exceptionally mild winter” that the climate change
buffoons warned us would occur as a consequence of global warming. Their
credibility is 20 degrees below zero.

Yet nothing shames them, nothing persuades them to come out of the bunker
with their hands high and “fess up”. Patronisingly fobbing off the
public with fabricated excuses has become second nature to them. Latterly
they have been concocting alibis about the Gulf Stream to explain
Britain’s Arctic conditions. Uh-huh? Is it the Gulf Stream that has
frozen the Vistula and given Poland a temperature of –25C? Is it the
Gulf Stream that has caused the worst blizzards in Beijing since 1951?

The entire Northern Hemisphere is frozen. The world looks like a Christmas
pudding with icing on the top. That is completely normal, part of the
random climate fluctuations with which our ancestors were familiar. Yet
fraudulent scientists have gained millions of pounds by taking selective
samples of natural climate change, whipping up a Grande Peur and using it
to advance the cause of world government, state control and fiscal
despoliation of citizens.

2010 should be the year when all that ends. It is time for Zero Tolerance
of AGW fraudsters and their political masters. It is time to say: Green
taxes? We won’t pay them. Nor will we vote for or permit to remain in
office any politician or party that supports the AGW fraud. This year is
one of those rare occasions when we have an opportunity to punish and
control our political masters – provided Britons have the will to break
with the two-party system.

Due to the rise of smaller parties – itself the consequence of the
misgovernment of the Lab/Lib/Con consensus – it is a buyer’s market.
The rule of thumb should be: any party that supports the global warming
scam is ineligible for our votes. It doesn’t matter how ingrained
one’s loyalty may once have been to one of the “major” parties, the
time has come to impose the popular will on politicians who have learned,
since the abolition of capital punishment in 1965, that by forming an
anti-democratic consensus they can dictate to the public.

The coming general election is going to be an intelligence test. If people
realise that voting for the slightly less objectionable choice gets them
nowhere, that by holding out for what they really want they can actually
obtain it, then we may be able to liberate ourselves from the tree-hugging
New/Blue Labour consensus. If we fail to rise to that challenge we shall
forfeit the right to complain about five more years of PC oppression. That
is the answer: Zero Tolerance of “Green” agendas.


Very refreshing to finally read this in the mainstream media.

the gods have made us mad 07-01-2010 09:57 PM

Met office lies
 


"Dead Paul" wrote in message
...
http://blogs.telegraph.co.uk/news/ge...green-agendas/
January 6th, 2010
Gerald Warner:

Wow! That Copenhagen package really worked. Global warming has been
dramatically reversed. In fact, if Al Gore could see his way to turning
the heat back up just a little, most of us would be deeply appreciative…

“Climate science” is the oxymoron of the century. There is not a city,
town or hamlet in the country that has had its weather conditions
correctly forecast, over periods as short as 12 hours, during the past
week. This is the “exceptionally mild winter” that the climate change
buffoons warned us would occur as a consequence of global warming. Their
credibility is 20 degrees below zero.





BBC Radio 4 news was pressed into service earlier today to explain the
conundrum to increasingly sceptical plebs.

The 6pm bulletin went to some lengths to explain that what we are now
experiencing is 'weather' - but that the grave problem of 'climate' still
remains ;)

Here's sobering link to the plight of Peruvian Indians - who are suffering
badly from increasingly long and bitter winters.

http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2010...rs-winter-cold

The suffering of their children is airily ascribed to the Indian's own
'micro climate', which has produced freezing temperatures in a rapidly
warming world.

I can foresee 'microclimate' becoming the explanation of choice when the
Warmist's are confronted by growing evidence that things are getting colder,
not hotter.

This snow, for example, is just down to the UK's microclimate.....


pete 07-01-2010 10:57 PM

Met office lies
 
On Thu, 07 Jan 2010 21:25:37 +0000, Dead Paul wrote:
http://blogs.telegraph.co.uk/news/ge...green-agendas/
January 6th, 2010
Gerald Warner:

Wow! That Copenhagen package really worked. Global warming has been
dramatically reversed. In fact, if Al Gore could see his way to turning
the heat back up just a little, most of us would be deeply appreciative…

“Climate science” is the oxymoron of the century. There is not a city,
town or hamlet in the country that has had its weather conditions
correctly forecast, over periods as short as 12 hours, during the past
week.


Meh, all this does is reaffirm the old saying that Britain has weather, not
climate.

Alan Johnson[_2_] 08-01-2010 07:05 AM

Met office lies
 
Dead Paul wrote:
http://blogs.telegraph.co.uk/news/ge...green-agendas/


Fred wrote:
Very refreshing to finally read this in the mainstream media.


Yeah, that's about what I would expect from "the mainstream media", and
the Telegraph in particular: don't know the difference between climate
and weather.

broadssailor 08-01-2010 07:42 AM

Met office lies
 
On 8 Jan, 02:16, abelard wrote:


here's my own background page on the dendroclimatology....http://www.abelard.org/briefings/dendroclimatogy.php
but i'll just work to understand enough to be able to assess the
* * *factor analysis...


Once again a valueless link I'm afraid. Messy, almost unreadable page
which contains no reference to source.
whatever it is, it ain't science. Don't give up the day job!


Doug[_5_] 08-01-2010 07:52 AM

Met office lies
 
On 7 Jan, 21:55, Fred wrote:
Dead Paul wrote:
http://blogs.telegraph.co.uk/news/ge...6/climate-scie...
January 6th, 2010
Gerald Warner:


Wow! That Copenhagen package really worked. Global warming has been
dramatically reversed. In fact, if Al Gore could see his way to turning
the heat back up just a little, most of us would be deeply appreciative


Climate science is the oxymoron of the century. There is not a city,
town or hamlet in the country that has had its weather conditions
correctly forecast, over periods as short as 12 hours, during the past
week. This is the exceptionally mild winter that the climate change
buffoons warned us would occur as a consequence of global warming. Their
credibility is 20 degrees below zero.


Yet nothing shames them, nothing persuades them to come out of the bunker
with their hands high and fess up. Patronisingly fobbing off the
public with fabricated excuses has become second nature to them. Latterly
they have been concocting alibis about the Gulf Stream to explain
Britains Arctic conditions. Uh-huh? Is it the Gulf Stream that has
frozen the Vistula and given Poland a temperature of 25C? Is it the
Gulf Stream that has caused the worst blizzards in Beijing since 1951?


The entire Northern Hemisphere is frozen. The world looks like a Christmas
pudding with icing on the top. That is completely normal, part of the
random climate fluctuations with which our ancestors were familiar. Yet
fraudulent scientists have gained millions of pounds by taking selective
samples of natural climate change, whipping up a Grande Peur and using it
to advance the cause of world government, state control and fiscal
despoliation of citizens.


2010 should be the year when all that ends. It is time for Zero Tolerance
of AGW fraudsters and their political masters. It is time to say: Green
taxes? We wont pay them. Nor will we vote for or permit to remain in
office any politician or party that supports the AGW fraud. This year is
one of those rare occasions when we have an opportunity to punish and
control our political masters provided Britons have the will to break
with the two-party system.


Due to the rise of smaller parties itself the consequence of the
misgovernment of the Lab/Lib/Con consensus it is a buyers market..
The rule of thumb should be: any party that supports the global warming
scam is ineligible for our votes. It doesnt matter how ingrained
ones loyalty may once have been to one of the major parties, the
time has come to impose the popular will on politicians who have learned,
since the abolition of capital punishment in 1965, that by forming an
anti-democratic consensus they can dictate to the public.


The coming general election is going to be an intelligence test. If people
realise that voting for the slightly less objectionable choice gets them
nowhere, that by holding out for what they really want they can actually
obtain it, then we may be able to liberate ourselves from the tree-hugging
New/Blue Labour consensus. If we fail to rise to that challenge we shall
forfeit the right to complain about five more years of PC oppression. That
is the answer: Zero Tolerance of Green agendas.


Very refreshing to finally read this in the mainstream media.

Yes you can carry on with your polluting now with a clear conscience,
until the next warm spell.

BTW, check this out, particularly the maps.

http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/uk/8447262.stm

Doug.

Kim Bolton 08-01-2010 09:08 AM

Met office lies
 

abelard wrote:


i'm not greatly interested in 'weather'....

and it's running me into stuff like the amo
i've just put this by to read 'soon' :-
http://oceanworld.tamu.edu/resources...nddrought.html


That relates to weather effects as the oscillation frequency is too
high for 30-year climate effects.

"Arctic Oscillation
Sometimes called the northern hemisphere annular mode, this is the
year-to-year variability pf weather patterns at high latitudes in the
northern hemisphere"

"The two phases of the Arctic Oscillation: Left– Warm Phase; Right–
Cold Phase. Notice that storms come ashore in Europe at different
latitudes in the two phases. This strongly influences European
weather, especially in winter. "

(Graph): The Pacific Decadal Oscillation is related to weather over
north America

"Positive PDO values are usually associated with wetter conditions in
the Southwestern United States, while negative PDO values
are suggestive of persistent drought in the Southwest."

The word 'climate' desn't appear 'til near the end, and then it's in
an oblique reference to something else.

here's my own background page on the dendroclimatology....
http://www.abelard.org/briefings/dendroclimatogy.php
but i'll just work to understand enough to be able to assess the
factor analysis...


One shudders to think what primary colours it might be written in.


--
from
Kim Bolton

broadssailor 08-01-2010 10:14 AM

Met office lies
 
On 8 Jan, 09:08, Kim Bolton wrote:
abelard wrote:

i'm not greatly interested in 'weather'....


and it's running me into stuff like the amo
i've just put this by to read 'soon' :-
http://oceanworld.tamu.edu/resources...oceananddrough...


That relates to weather effects as the oscillation frequency is too
high for 30-year climate effects.

"Arctic Oscillation
Sometimes called the northern hemisphere annular mode, this is the
year-to-year variability pf weather patterns at high latitudes in the
northern hemisphere"

"The two phases of the Arctic Oscillation: Left Warm Phase; Right
Cold Phase. Notice that storms come ashore in Europe at different
latitudes in the two phases. This strongly influences European
weather, especially in winter. "

(Graph): The Pacific Decadal Oscillation is related to weather over
north America

"Positive PDO values are usually associated with wetter conditions in
the Southwestern United States, while negative PDO values
are suggestive of persistent drought in the Southwest."

The word 'climate' desn't appear 'til near the end, and then it's in
an oblique reference to something else.

here's my own background page on the dendroclimatology....
http://www.abelard.org/briefings/dendroclimatogy.php
but i'll just work to understand enough to be able to assess the
* * factor analysis...


One shudders to think what primary colours it might be written in.

--
from
Kim Bolton


Did anybody see this? http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/programme...cs/8443687.stm

"John Hirst, head of the Met Office, defends the record of the
weathermen after they predicted a mild winter.

Andrew Neil asked him to justify his salary which is higher than the
prime minister's."

Oh how he wriggles....

Martin Brown 08-01-2010 10:31 AM

Met office lies
 
Dead Paul wrote:
http://blogs.telegraph.co.uk/news/ge...green-agendas/
January 6th, 2010
Gerald Warner:

Wow! That Copenhagen package really worked. Global warming has been
dramatically reversed. In fact, if Al Gore could see his way to turning
the heat back up just a little, most of us would be deeply appreciative…

“Climate science” is the oxymoron of the century. There is not a city,
town or hamlet in the country that has had its weather conditions
correctly forecast, over periods as short as 12 hours, during the past
week. This is the “exceptionally mild winter” that the climate change
buffoons warned us would occur as a consequence of global warming. Their
credibility is 20 degrees below zero.


Another drooling right wing nut who cannot tell the difference between
weather and climate spouting off in the Torygraph. I guess the Telegraph
knows their target market of senile halfwits only too well.

The weather at the moment is roughly what we should have at this
latitude were it not for the warming influence of the Altantic and Gulf
Stream and our normal prevailing SW wind pattern.

Global warming means the *global* average gets higher. It does not mean
that everywhere gets slightly warmer by the same amount. We could very
well be losers. UK climate is abnormally warm for its high latitude.

Were it not for the UK maritime influence on climate Birmingham and
Manchester would expect to have weather like Edmonton in Canada which is
at a roughly similar latitude. And that is basically what we end up with
when the wind blows directly off the cold NE continental land mass.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Edmonton

Most gardeners are already well aware of climate change, at least if
they keep records of when things come into flower.

Regards,
Martin Brown

shazzbat 08-01-2010 10:42 AM

Met office lies
 

"broadssailor" wrote in message
...
On 8 Jan, 09:08, Kim Bolton wrote:
abelard wrote:

i'm not greatly interested in 'weather'....


and it's running me into stuff like the amo
i've just put this by to read 'soon' :-
http://oceanworld.tamu.edu/resources...oceananddrough...


That relates to weather effects as the oscillation frequency is too
high for 30-year climate effects.

"Arctic Oscillation
Sometimes called the northern hemisphere annular mode, this is the
year-to-year variability pf weather patterns at high latitudes in the
northern hemisphere"

"The two phases of the Arctic Oscillation: Left Warm Phase; Right
Cold Phase. Notice that storms come ashore in Europe at different
latitudes in the two phases. This strongly influences European
weather, especially in winter. "

(Graph): The Pacific Decadal Oscillation is related to weather over
north America

"Positive PDO values are usually associated with wetter conditions in
the Southwestern United States, while negative PDO values
are suggestive of persistent drought in the Southwest."

The word 'climate' desn't appear 'til near the end, and then it's in
an oblique reference to something else.

here's my own background page on the dendroclimatology....
http://www.abelard.org/briefings/dendroclimatogy.php
but i'll just work to understand enough to be able to assess the
factor analysis...


One shudders to think what primary colours it might be written in.

--
from
Kim Bolton


Did anybody see this?
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/programme...cs/8443687.stm

"John Hirst, head of the Met Office, defends the record of the
weathermen after they predicted a mild winter.

Andrew Neil asked him to justify his salary which is higher than the
prime minister's."

That would be the same prime minister who as chancellor, told us that the
current bust couldn't happen because he was so shit hot, and told us as PM
that we were better placed to recover from it when it happened, and that we
would come out of recession before other countries, again because he was so
wonderful, yes?

Steve


pete 08-01-2010 10:58 AM

Met office lies
 
On Fri, 8 Jan 2010 02:14:45 -0800 (PST), broadssailor wrote:
On 8 Jan, 09:08, Kim Bolton wrote:
abelard wrote:

i'm not greatly interested in 'weather'....


and it's running me into stuff like the amo
i've just put this by to read 'soon' :-
http://oceanworld.tamu.edu/resources...oceananddrough...


That relates to weather effects as the oscillation frequency is too
high for 30-year climate effects.

"Arctic Oscillation
Sometimes called the northern hemisphere annular mode, this is the
year-to-year variability pf weather patterns at high latitudes in the
northern hemisphere"

"The two phases of the Arctic Oscillation: Left– Warm Phase; Right–
Cold Phase. Notice that storms come ashore in Europe at different
latitudes in the two phases. This strongly influences European
weather, especially in winter. "

(Graph): The Pacific Decadal Oscillation is related to weather over
north America

"Positive PDO values are usually associated with wetter conditions in
the Southwestern United States, while negative PDO values
are suggestive of persistent drought in the Southwest."

The word 'climate' desn't appear 'til near the end, and then it's in
an oblique reference to something else.

here's my own background page on the dendroclimatology....
http://www.abelard.org/briefings/dendroclimatogy.php
but i'll just work to understand enough to be able to assess the
* * factor analysis...


One shudders to think what primary colours it might be written in.

--
from
Kim Bolton


Did anybody see this? http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/programme...cs/8443687.stm

"John Hirst, head of the Met Office, defends the record of the
weathermen after they predicted a mild winter.

Andrew Neil asked him to justify his salary which is higher than the
prime minister's."

Oh how he wriggles....


Hardly surprising: he's merely a manager, not a forecaster. I would
expect his bonus was paid after he met (or exceeded) soem management
targets, such as cost savings, delivering some major projects or the
like. Not how good his employees were at guessing what sort of weather
we were going to get - everyone knows that any forecast for more than
3 days ahead is pretty close to random chance, and always will be.
This sounds like a cheap shot.

sandy58 08-01-2010 11:07 AM

Met office lies
 
On Jan 8, 11:14*am, broadssailor wrote:
On 8 Jan, 09:08, Kim Bolton wrote:



abelard wrote:


i'm not greatly interested in 'weather'....


and it's running me into stuff like the amo
i've just put this by to read 'soon' :-
http://oceanworld.tamu.edu/resources...oceananddrough....


That relates to weather effects as the oscillation frequency is too
high for 30-year climate effects.


"Arctic Oscillation
Sometimes called the northern hemisphere annular mode, this is the
year-to-year variability pf weather patterns at high latitudes in the
northern hemisphere"


"The two phases of the Arctic Oscillation: Left Warm Phase; Right
Cold Phase. Notice that storms come ashore in Europe at different
latitudes in the two phases. This strongly influences European
weather, especially in winter. "


(Graph): The Pacific Decadal Oscillation is related to weather over
north America


"Positive PDO values are usually associated with wetter conditions in
the Southwestern United States, while negative PDO values
are suggestive of persistent drought in the Southwest."


The word 'climate' desn't appear 'til near the end, and then it's in
an oblique reference to something else.


here's my own background page on the dendroclimatology....
http://www.abelard.org/briefings/dendroclimatogy.php
but i'll just work to understand enough to be able to assess the
* * factor analysis...


One shudders to think what primary colours it might be written in.


--
from
Kim Bolton


Did anybody see this?http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/programme...cs/8443687.stm

"John Hirst, head of the Met Office, defends the record of the
weathermen after they predicted a mild winter.

Andrew Neil asked him to justify his salary which is higher than the
prime minister's."

Oh how he wriggles....


You can see how dry his throat was. :-)

Ophelia[_4_] 08-01-2010 11:16 AM

Met office lies
 


"broadssailor" wrote in message
...

Did anybody see this?
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/programme...cs/8443687.stm


Yes I did.

"John Hirst, head of the Met Office, defends the record of the
weathermen after they predicted a mild winter.

Andrew Neil asked him to justify his salary which is higher than the
prime minister's."

Oh how he wriggles....


....and made himself look a right pratt!!!

--
--
https://www.shop.helpforheroes.org.uk/


Ophelia[_4_] 08-01-2010 11:17 AM

Met office lies
 


"pete" wrote in message
...
Hardly surprising: he's merely a manager, not a forecaster. I would
expect his bonus was paid after he met (or exceeded) soem management
targets, such as cost savings, delivering some major projects or the
like. Not how good his employees were at guessing what sort of weather
we were going to get - everyone knows that any forecast for more than
3 days ahead is pretty close to random chance, and always will be.
This sounds like a cheap shot.


Then they ought not send in a 'mere' manager to present a forecaster's pov.
--
--
https://www.shop.helpforheroes.org.uk/


broadssailor 08-01-2010 12:30 PM

Met office lies
 
On 8 Jan, 12:06, abelard wrote:
On Fri, 08 Jan 2010 10:58:33 GMT, pete wrote:
Hardly surprising: he's merely a manager, not a forecaster. I would
expect his bonus was paid after he met (or exceeded) soem management
targets, such as cost savings, delivering some major projects or the
like. Not how good his employees were at guessing what sort of weather
we were going to get - everyone knows that any forecast for more than
3 days ahead is pretty close to random chance, and always will be.
This sounds like a cheap shot.


1)do you have a link to his 'qualifications?



http://commentisfree.guardian.co.uk/...t/profile.html

"John Hirst is chief executive of the Met Office.

Hirst spent 19 years with ICI and was chief executive of two of their
global businesses. He holds a degree in economics from Leeds
University."


Mike 08-01-2010 12:59 PM

Met office lies
 
On Fri, 08 Jan 2010 10:31:40 +0000, Martin Brown
wrote:


The weather at the moment is roughly what we should have at this
latitude were it not for the warming influence of the Altantic and Gulf
Stream and our normal prevailing SW wind pattern.


'the day after tomorrow' scenario. (or Saturday as it would be known
as today)


--

DVH 08-01-2010 02:21 PM

Met office lies
 

"abelard" wrote in message
...

while they keep interviewing people like him, it is hardly
surprising the public can't follow...


It's a myth that the public can't follow. They follow perfectly well.

It's all part of the game. A BBC reporter comes on the 10pm news to explain
that there's a difference between climate and weather, leading listeners to
imagine that some people didn't know that.

It's a question of fraudulently controlling the terms of the debate. Why,
I've even noticed there are people on usenet who do it too! They get the
teasing they deserve, though they may not be aware it's happening.



[email protected] 08-01-2010 07:05 PM

Met office lies
 
On Thu, 7 Jan 2010 21:57:13 -0000, "the gods have made us mad"
wrote:


BBC Radio 4 news was pressed into service earlier today to explain the
conundrum to increasingly sceptical plebs.

The 6pm bulletin went to some lengths to explain that what we are now
experiencing is 'weather' - but that the grave problem of 'climate' still
remains ;)


It must have been a nationwide Government enforced directive because
we got the same here in Bristol.

Apparently, we were admonished, weather isn't the same as climate.

Weather is day-to-day, climate is something based on 30 years
observations.

Observations of, erm, apparently those very same day-to-day weather
happenings.

So weather and climate are one and the same.

Strangely, the BBC guy espouting this shit won't respond to emails
asking him to clarify.

I'd cheerfully burn alive any of these "the planet is warming up, can
I have more of my Govt grant" ****ers.

pete 08-01-2010 08:32 PM

Met office lies
 
On Fri, 08 Jan 2010 19:05:28 +0000, wrote:
On Thu, 7 Jan 2010 21:57:13 -0000, "the gods have made us mad"
wrote:


BBC Radio 4 news was pressed into service earlier today to explain the
conundrum to increasingly sceptical plebs.

The 6pm bulletin went to some lengths to explain that what we are now
experiencing is 'weather' - but that the grave problem of 'climate' still
remains ;)


It must have been a nationwide Government enforced directive because
we got the same here in Bristol.

Apparently, we were admonished, weather isn't the same as climate.

Weather is day-to-day, climate is something based on 30 years
observations.

Observations of, erm, apparently those very same day-to-day weather
happenings.

So weather and climate are one and the same.


OK, try this for size: stock markets. Some days some stocks go up in
price, other days they go down. On yet other days some different
stocks increase (or decrease in price. It is very difficult to forecast
(there's that word again) which particular stocks will go up (or down)
on a particular day. However we can spot trends by looking back over
market prices for the past, say, 30 years. Over that period what do we
see? Well lookitat: overall, stock prices have increased.
Would you be willing to bet your pension that this trend will continue -
yes you would. In fact that's precisely what pension funds are betting on.

Does this mean that if you buy one solitary stock on one day and the
next day it drops in price that therefore _all_ stock prices over the
whole planet are not increasing in time? No, it does not.

Hopefully the point has been understood now ....

johannes 08-01-2010 08:59 PM

Met office lies
 


Mike wrote:

On Fri, 08 Jan 2010 10:31:40 +0000, Martin Brown
wrote:

The weather at the moment is roughly what we should have at this
latitude were it not for the warming influence of the Altantic and Gulf
Stream and our normal prevailing SW wind pattern.


'the day after tomorrow' scenario. (or Saturday as it would be known
as today)

--


harikeo 08-01-2010 09:03 PM

Met office lies
 
wrote:
On Thu, 7 Jan 2010 21:57:13 -0000, "the gods have made us mad"
wrote:

BBC Radio 4 news was pressed into service earlier today to explain the
conundrum to increasingly sceptical plebs.

The 6pm bulletin went to some lengths to explain that what we are now
experiencing is 'weather' - but that the grave problem of 'climate' still
remains ;)


It must have been a nationwide Government enforced directive because
we got the same here in Bristol.

Apparently, we were admonished, weather isn't the same as climate.

Weather is day-to-day, climate is something based on 30 years
observations.


I chuckled when he said this.... does the planet work on 30-year cycles?

johannes 08-01-2010 09:13 PM

Met office lies
 


Martin Brown wrote:

Dead Paul wrote:
http://blogs.telegraph.co.uk/news/ge...green-agendas/
January 6th, 2010
Gerald Warner:

Wow! That Copenhagen package really worked. Global warming has been
dramatically reversed. In fact, if Al Gore could see his way to turning
the heat back up just a little, most of us would be deeply appreciative…

“Climate science” is the oxymoron of the century. There is not a city,
town or hamlet in the country that has had its weather conditions
correctly forecast, over periods as short as 12 hours, during the past
week. This is the “exceptionally mild winter” that the climate change
buffoons warned us would occur as a consequence of global warming. Their
credibility is 20 degrees below zero.


Another drooling right wing nut who cannot tell the difference between
weather and climate spouting off in the Torygraph. I guess the Telegraph
knows their target market of senile halfwits only too well.

The weather at the moment is roughly what we should have at this
latitude were it not for the warming influence of the Altantic and Gulf
Stream and our normal prevailing SW wind pattern.


Nope. What we have at the moment is called variability of the weather.
You wont see anything like this again in the next 10 year. The normal
weather at this latitude is cyclonic, not anticyclonic; but it happens,
it has happened before.

Global warming means the *global* average gets higher. It does not mean
that everywhere gets slightly warmer by the same amount. We could very
well be losers. UK climate is abnormally warm for its high latitude.


Equally well: Low freezing temperatures does not indicate Global Warming.

Were it not for the UK maritime influence on climate Birmingham and
Manchester would expect to have weather like Edmonton in Canada which is
at a roughly similar latitude. And that is basically what we end up with
when the wind blows directly off the cold NE continental land mass.


"when..." , obviously , but not forever,

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Edmonton

Most gardeners are already well aware of climate change, at least if
they keep records of when things come into flower.


This statement just contradicts something you said before...

broadssailor 08-01-2010 10:01 PM

Met office lies
 
On 8 Jan, 20:32, pete wrote:
On Fri, 08 Jan 2010 19:05:28 +0000, wrote:
On Thu, 7 Jan 2010 21:57:13 -0000, "the gods have made us mad"
wrote:


BBC Radio 4 news was pressed into service earlier today to explain the
conundrum to increasingly sceptical plebs.


The 6pm bulletin went to some lengths to explain that what we are now
experiencing is 'weather' - but that the grave problem of 'climate' still
remains ;)


It must have been a nationwide Government enforced directive because
we got the same here in Bristol.


Apparently, we were admonished, weather isn't the same as climate.


Weather is day-to-day, climate is something based on 30 years
observations.


Observations of, erm, apparently those very same day-to-day weather
happenings.


So weather and climate are one and the same.


OK, try this for size: stock markets. Some days some stocks go up in
price, other days they go down. On yet other days some different
stocks increase (or decrease in price. It is very difficult to forecast
(there's that word again) which particular stocks will go up (or down)
on a particular day. However we can spot trends by looking back over
market prices for the past, say, 30 years. Over that period what do we
see? Well lookitat: overall, stock prices have increased. *
Would you be willing to bet your pension that this trend will continue -
yes you would. In fact that's precisely what pension funds are betting on..

Does this mean that if you buy one solitary stock on one day and the
next day it drops in price that therefore _all_ stock prices over the
whole planet are not increasing in time? No, it does not.

Hopefully the point has been understood now ....


I think we all understand trends Pete!

Here are some (no, not the Stock Market) for you to ponder
http://www.populartechnology.net/201...g-in-2009.html

Kim Bolton 09-01-2010 10:27 AM

Met office lies
 

broadssailor wrote:

On 9 Jan, 01:36, abelard wrote:


Here are some (no, not the Stock Market) for you to ponder
http://www.populartechnology.net/201...g-in-2009.html


you're being connedhttp://www.abelard.org/sums/teaching_number_arithmetic_mathematics_un...

--
web site atwww.abelard.org


Do you have URLs (or at least reference to a source) for all on that
page? Without it, it is no more than opinion....


A week or two I asked abelard, following Copenhagen, if there was such
thing published as graph showing CO2 levels on one axis, and Global
Temperatures on the other. This simply must exist as it is the
fundamental support for the AGW position.

He replied that it's in IPCC3, and gave me a link to that document.

Not the specific reference I was after, but the whole document.

It later transpired that a counter-Copenhagen letter written by
Monckton makes it clear that no such graph has been published by any
of the AGW supporters, although Monckton then uses IPCC data to show
that full implementation of Copenhagen, at a cost of trillions, will
save 0.02 degC of global warming.

A couple of things spring from this.

Abelard does not understand what he has read, having failed to grasp
that the claimed key point of IPCC3 isn't there.

He is clearly unfamiliar with scientific works, or he would be aware
that it is the norm to give journal, volume, date, paper title, page,
and author(s) as the reference to a particular claim. He needs to do
this in order to make the links to items in his badly-coloured web
site accessible, as a matter of urgency. At present it is no better
than saying 'I published a paper in The journal of Spacecraft and
Rockets, look it up', and expecting the enquirer to do all the work.

On the other had, such a slapdash procedure could be used to disguise
the unusable and irrelevant that has otherwise been advanced as
authoritative and analytical.

At a glance, it is possible from the two graphs 'offered ' as
'evidence' on the offending page to guess with short odds at a trend
line. Neither would be encouraging to a climate change alarmist.
You really must revise your web pages to give them more value
(REFERENCE!) ,and preferably re format to something other than the
crasss primary colours which would be attractive to my 7yo grandson
and his friends but not appropriate for something intended to be
treated seriously (? - or have I missed the point :-)? ) by a wider
audience.
Failing that, stop wasting your, and for that matter everybody's time
with your self seeking posts.


I've tried putting such things to abelard in the past, but his only
response is essentially name-calling.


--
from
Kim Bolton

Martin Brown 09-01-2010 12:13 PM

Met office lies
 
broadssailor wrote:
On 8 Jan, 20:32, pete wrote:
On Fri, 08 Jan 2010 19:05:28 +0000, wrote:
On Thu, 7 Jan 2010 21:57:13 -0000, "the gods have made us mad"
wrote:
BBC Radio 4 news was pressed into service earlier today to explain the
conundrum to increasingly sceptical plebs.
The 6pm bulletin went to some lengths to explain that what we are now
experiencing is 'weather' - but that the grave problem of 'climate' still
remains ;)
It must have been a nationwide Government enforced directive because
we got the same here in Bristol.
Apparently, we were admonished, weather isn't the same as climate.
Weather is day-to-day, climate is something based on 30 years
observations.
Observations of, erm, apparently those very same day-to-day weather
happenings.
So weather and climate are one and the same.

OK, try this for size: stock markets. Some days some stocks go up in
price, other days they go down. On yet other days some different
stocks increase (or decrease in price. It is very difficult to forecast
(there's that word again) which particular stocks will go up (or down)
on a particular day. However we can spot trends by looking back over
market prices for the past, say, 30 years. Over that period what do we
see? Well lookitat: overall, stock prices have increased.
Would you be willing to bet your pension that this trend will continue -
yes you would. In fact that's precisely what pension funds are betting on.

Does this mean that if you buy one solitary stock on one day and the
next day it drops in price that therefore _all_ stock prices over the
whole planet are not increasing in time? No, it does not.

Hopefully the point has been understood now ....


I think we all understand trends Pete!

Here are some (no, not the Stock Market) for you to ponder
http://www.populartechnology.net/201...g-in-2009.html


That is a classic "How to lie with statistics graph". By starting their
graph with a first point in 1998 that is the most extreme high global
temperature seen in recent history the long term rising trend can be
completely disguised by only looking at the last decade of data. And if
you choose your points carefully then the best fit line can indeed be
made to look like it is cooling *relative* to the one exceptionally warm
year at the start.

US "Dittohead Science" is a pack of lies carefully constructed to
confuse the general public into ignoring the scientific evidence. Sadly
it is working all too well and climate scientists are not explaining
things in a way that the public can comprehend.

There is a negative cyclical influence at the moment on the downside of
a small warming peak that occurs roughly every 60 years. You can see it
in the published data. It made the warming in 1990-2000 larger than was
due to AGW alone and it is presently hiding the continuing rising trend.
Similar peaks can be seen at 1940 and 1880 see for example:

http://www.cru.uea.ac.uk/cru/data/te...ure/nhshgl.gif

And for just the Atlanic MDO component

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Atlanti...al_oscillation

Regards,
Martin Brown

broadssailor 09-01-2010 12:18 PM

Met office lies
 
On 9 Jan, 12:13, Martin Brown
wrote:
broadssailor wrote:
On 8 Jan, 20:32, pete wrote:
On Fri, 08 Jan 2010 19:05:28 +0000, wrote:
On Thu, 7 Jan 2010 21:57:13 -0000, "the gods have made us mad"
wrote:
BBC Radio 4 news was pressed into service earlier today to explain the
conundrum to increasingly sceptical plebs.
The 6pm bulletin went to some lengths to explain that what we are now
experiencing is 'weather' - but that the grave problem of 'climate' still
remains ;)
It must have been a nationwide Government enforced directive because
we got the same here in Bristol.
Apparently, we were admonished, weather isn't the same as climate.
Weather is day-to-day, climate is something based on 30 years
observations.
Observations of, erm, apparently those very same day-to-day weather
happenings.
So weather and climate are one and the same.
OK, try this for size: stock markets. Some days some stocks go up in
price, other days they go down. On yet other days some different
stocks increase (or decrease in price. It is very difficult to forecast
(there's that word again) which particular stocks will go up (or down)
on a particular day. However we can spot trends by looking back over
market prices for the past, say, 30 years. Over that period what do we
see? Well lookitat: overall, stock prices have increased. *
Would you be willing to bet your pension that this trend will continue -
yes you would. In fact that's precisely what pension funds are betting on.


Does this mean that if you buy one solitary stock on one day and the
next day it drops in price that therefore _all_ stock prices over the
whole planet are not increasing in time? No, it does not.


Hopefully the point has been understood now ....


I think we all understand trends Pete!


Here are some (no, not the Stock Market) for you to ponder
http://www.populartechnology.net/201...g-in-2009.html


That is a classic "How to lie with statistics graph". By starting their
graph with a first point in 1998 that is the most extreme high global
temperature seen in recent history the long term rising trend can be
completely disguised by only looking at the last decade of data. And if
you choose your points carefully then the best fit line can indeed be
made to look like it is cooling *relative* to the one exceptionally warm
year at the start.

US "Dittohead Science" is a pack of lies carefully constructed to
confuse the general public into ignoring the scientific evidence. Sadly
it is working all too well and climate scientists are not explaining
things in a way that the public can comprehend.

There is a negative cyclical influence at the moment on the downside of
a small warming peak that occurs roughly every 60 years. You can see it
in the published data. It made the warming in 1990-2000 larger than was
due to AGW alone and it is presently hiding the continuing rising trend.
Similar peaks can be seen at 1940 and 1880 see for example:

http://www.cru.uea.ac.uk/cru/data/te...ure/nhshgl.gif

And for just the Atlanic MDO component

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Atlanti...al_oscillation

Regards,
Martin Brown


The UEA and Wiki - that's the best you can come up with. Ha!
Yes, lengthen the time line, by all means, but don't forget to include
the Medieval warm period AND the mini ice age which followed. THEN
tell me what the trend is!


broadssailor 09-01-2010 12:20 PM

Met office lies
 
On 9 Jan, 12:13, abelard wrote:


i won't give you my own links as is would just waste my time,,,

rest of your habitual drivel binned



No more than I would expect as a response.....

rest of your habitual self centered drivel binned!

Kim Bolton 09-01-2010 01:16 PM

Met office lies
 

abelard wrote:

On Sat, 09 Jan 2010 10:27:21 +0000, Kim Bolton
wrote:


broadssailor wrote:

On 9 Jan, 01:36, abelard wrote:


Here are some (no, not the Stock Market) for you to ponder
http://www.populartechnology.net/201...g-in-2009.html

you're being connedhttp://www.abelard.org/sums/teaching_number_arithmetic_mathematics_un...


Do you have URLs (or at least reference to a source) for all on that
page? Without it, it is no more than opinion....


A week or two I asked abelard, following Copenhagen, if there was such
thing published as graph showing CO2 levels on one axis, and Global
Temperatures on the other. This simply must exist as it is the
fundamental support for the AGW position.


i doubt you did ask that...but who cares

both graphs are widely available....they both have
a time axis...you could compare them with ease if
you knew how....


i won't give you my own links as is would just waste my time,,,


Your links aren't worth the name, for the reasons I mentioned and
which you have snipped.

rest of your habitual drivel binned


I take it then that you're a master of drivel.


--
from
Kim Bolton

Kim Bolton 09-01-2010 02:36 PM

Met office lies
 

abelard wrote:

it does not go unnoticed that you have been incapable of answering
any of the questions i posed for you


....says abelard, who steadfastly refuses to answer any put to him.

ROFL

--
from
Kim Bolton

Gopher 09-01-2010 03:25 PM

Met office lies
 
In message , abelard
writes
On Sat, 09 Jan 2010 14:36:44 +0000, Kim Bolton
wrote:

abelard wrote:

it does not go unnoticed that you have been incapable of answering
any of the questions i posed for you


...says abelard, who steadfastly refuses to answer any put to him.

ROFL


you don't answer questions...you don't ask questions..

your normal mode of behaviour is to repeat back whatever i
have recently posted....
then followed by some immature and meaningless comments


What does one call a verbose troll?
--
Gopher .... I know my place!

Gopher 09-01-2010 03:42 PM

Met office lies
 
In message , abelard
writes
On Sat, 9 Jan 2010 15:25:55 +0000, Gopher wrote:

In message , abelard
writes
On Sat, 09 Jan 2010 14:36:44 +0000, Kim Bolton
wrote:

abelard wrote:

it does not go unnoticed that you have been incapable of answering
any of the questions i posed for you

...says abelard, who steadfastly refuses to answer any put to him.

ROFL

you don't answer questions...you don't ask questions..

your normal mode of behaviour is to repeat back whatever i
have recently posted....
then followed by some immature and meaningless comments


What does one call a verbose troll?


a redundant bolt-on? bit like an appendix....
no apparent use...may cause a pain...

:-))
--
Gopher .... I know my place!

Kim Bolton 10-01-2010 09:44 AM

Met office lies
 

abelard wrote:

On Sat, 09 Jan 2010 14:36:44 +0000, Kim Bolton
wrote:

abelard wrote:

it does not go unnoticed that you have been incapable of answering
any of the questions i posed for you


...says abelard, who steadfastly refuses to answer any put to him.

ROFL


you don't answer questions...you don't ask questions..


I gave you a perfectly good methodology of processing tree-ring data.

I believe from your reply to that that you don't have the numeracy to
understand it, or the science to apply it.

Your only reply was an ad hominem.

your normal mode of behaviour is to repeat back whatever i
have recently posted....


But you post rubbish - lists of cut and paste, badly linked and
completely unanalysed - and portray that as authoritative.

then followed by some immature and meaningless comments


Get your web site in order by adding analysis to your cut and paste,
and providing specific links rather than "it's in IPCC3".

The Russians have criticised the cherry-picking of their extensive
data by the CRU. As an exercise, write an analytical critique of the
this key topic and post it on your web site (with a specific rather
than general) link. Let's see how good you are with data.

--
from
Kim Bolton

Andrew Adams 10-01-2010 04:47 PM

Met office lies
 
Kim Bolton wrote in
:

The Russians have criticised the cherry-picking of their extensive
data by the CRU. As an exercise, write an analytical critique of the
this key topic and post it on your web site (with a specific rather
than general) link. Let's see how good you are with data.


Which Russians in particular?

Andrew Adams 10-01-2010 04:51 PM

Met office lies
 
harikeo wrote in :

wrote:
On Thu, 7 Jan 2010 21:57:13 -0000, "the gods have made us mad"
wrote:

BBC Radio 4 news was pressed into service earlier today to explain
the conundrum to increasingly sceptical plebs.

The 6pm bulletin went to some lengths to explain that what we are
now experiencing is 'weather' - but that the grave problem of
'climate' still remains ;)


It must have been a nationwide Government enforced directive because
we got the same here in Bristol.

Apparently, we were admonished, weather isn't the same as climate.

Weather is day-to-day, climate is something based on 30 years
observations.


I chuckled when he said this.... does the planet work on 30-year
cycles?


It doesn't - 30 years is the period generally considered neccessary to give
a statistically significant result. See here for a good discussion -

http://tamino.wordpress.com/2009/12/15/how-long/

Andrew Adams[_2_] 10-01-2010 06:06 PM

Met office lies
 
abelard wrote in
:

On Sun, 10 Jan 2010 16:47:21 GMT, Andrew Adams
wrote:

Kim Bolton wrote in
m:

The Russians have criticised the cherry-picking of their extensive
data by the CRU. As an exercise, write an analytical critique of the
this key topic and post it on your web site (with a specific rather
than general) link. Let's see how good you are with data.


Which Russians in particular?


lysenko?


Ha ha, yes it might as well have been.

Kim Bolton 10-01-2010 06:24 PM

Met office lies
 

Kim Bolton wrote:

abelard wrote:


you don't answer questions...you don't ask questions..


I gave you a perfectly good methodology of processing tree-ring data.

I believe from your reply to that that you don't have the numeracy to
understand it, or the science to apply it.

Your only reply was an ad hominem.

your normal mode of behaviour is to repeat back whatever i
have recently posted....


But you post rubbish - lists of cut and paste, badly linked and
completely unanalysed - and portray that as authoritative.

then followed by some immature and meaningless comments


Get your web site in order by adding analysis to your cut and paste,
and providing specific links rather than "it's in IPCC3".

The Russians have criticised the cherry-picking of their extensive
data by the CRU. As an exercise, write an analytical critique of the
this key topic and post it on your web site (with a specific rather
than general) link. Let's see how good you are with data.


FYI

http://climateaudit.files.wordpress....09/12/iea1.pdf

Data link:

http://meteo.ru/climate/sp_clim.php

HTH

--
from
Kim Bolton

harikeo 10-01-2010 07:50 PM

Met office lies
 
Andrew Adams wrote:
harikeo wrote in :

wrote:
On Thu, 7 Jan 2010 21:57:13 -0000, "the gods have made us mad"
wrote:

BBC Radio 4 news was pressed into service earlier today to explain
the conundrum to increasingly sceptical plebs.

The 6pm bulletin went to some lengths to explain that what we are
now experiencing is 'weather' - but that the grave problem of
'climate' still remains ;)

It must have been a nationwide Government enforced directive because
we got the same here in Bristol.

Apparently, we were admonished, weather isn't the same as climate.

Weather is day-to-day, climate is something based on 30 years
observations.

I chuckled when he said this.... does the planet work on 30-year
cycles?


It doesn't - 30 years is the period generally considered neccessary to give
a statistically significant result. See here for a good discussion -

http://tamino.wordpress.com/2009/12/15/how-long/


Wooosh

James Hammerton 10-01-2010 08:37 PM

Met office lies
 
Kim Bolton wrote:
Kim Bolton wrote:

abelard wrote:


you don't answer questions...you don't ask questions..

I gave you a perfectly good methodology of processing tree-ring data.

I believe from your reply to that that you don't have the numeracy to
understand it, or the science to apply it.

Your only reply was an ad hominem.

your normal mode of behaviour is to repeat back whatever i
have recently posted....

But you post rubbish - lists of cut and paste, badly linked and
completely unanalysed - and portray that as authoritative.

then followed by some immature and meaningless comments

Get your web site in order by adding analysis to your cut and paste,
and providing specific links rather than "it's in IPCC3".

The Russians have criticised the cherry-picking of their extensive
data by the CRU. As an exercise, write an analytical critique of the
this key topic and post it on your web site (with a specific rather
than general) link. Let's see how good you are with data.


FYI

http://climateaudit.files.wordpress....09/12/iea1.pdf

Data link:

http://meteo.ru/climate/sp_clim.php

HTH


But check this too:

http://scienceblogs.com/deltoid/2009...=Google+Reader

James

--
James Hammerton,
http://jhammerton.wordpress.org/
http://www.magnacartaplus.org/news/

Kim Bolton 10-01-2010 11:23 PM

Met office lies
 

James Hammerton wrote:

Kim Bolton wrote:
Kim Bolton wrote:

abelard wrote:


you don't answer questions...you don't ask questions..
I gave you a perfectly good methodology of processing tree-ring data.

I believe from your reply to that that you don't have the numeracy to
understand it, or the science to apply it.

Your only reply was an ad hominem.

your normal mode of behaviour is to repeat back whatever i
have recently posted....
But you post rubbish - lists of cut and paste, badly linked and
completely unanalysed - and portray that as authoritative.

then followed by some immature and meaningless comments
Get your web site in order by adding analysis to your cut and paste,
and providing specific links rather than "it's in IPCC3".

The Russians have criticised the cherry-picking of their extensive
data by the CRU. As an exercise, write an analytical critique of the
this key topic and post it on your web site (with a specific rather
than general) link. Let's see how good you are with data.


FYI

http://climateaudit.files.wordpress....09/12/iea1.pdf

Data link:

http://meteo.ru/climate/sp_clim.php

HTH


But check this too:

http://scienceblogs.com/deltoid/2009...=Google+Reader

James


Fascinating.

I look forward to abelard's analysis of the topic, rather than his
cut-and-paste.


--
from
Kim Bolton


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