On Mon, 02 Jun 2003 17:24:19 -0400, Chelsea Christenson
wrote:

brojack wrote:

On Mon, 02 Jun 2003 15:53:50 -0400, Chelsea Christenson
wrote:

BroJack wrote:

The eight warm winters begging 94-95 were attributed to global warming
as were the dry conditions 97-02.

Fast forward to 2003. The furnace ran damn near every day in May and
is still running. Precip levels here in Md. thru the first five
months are 5.5" above normal and 9" above last year.

Reason: Global Warming.

Go figure.

Weather is the original complex system -- chaos theory originated from an
interrupted run of a meteorological program. So where's the
inconsistency?

Is that the meteorological cop-out line?

Do you understand the principles of chaos theory and complex systems? Weather
is unpredictable, not randomly or just "because," but because it's a complex
system. The behavior can be explained, but the explanation is often (usually)
non-intuitive, because intuition doesn't account for the complete range of
interactions within the system.

Sounds like a crutch to me.

At any rate, based on my admittedly non-scientific observations of the
past half-century, weather predicting is less accurate today than
then, despite satellites and all the other tech advancements.

My Gawd, I cannot tell you how many times during the drought years of
1997-2002 that rain was predicted incorrectly.

If a given set of data led to an inference of rain in the past, but
for whatever reason, hasn't in recent years, then perhaps they should
change the prediction when that set of data is present. Duh.

BroJack