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Old 21-12-2009, 08:02 AM posted to uk.rec.gardening
[email protected] nmm1@cam.ac.uk is offline
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First recorded activity by GardenBanter: Oct 2008
Posts: 1,907
Default Do YOU .........

In article ,
Alan wrote:
In message , Stewart Robert Hinsley
wrote

That's another denialist talking point. It's a red herring. We can
predict that the 1st of July will be warmer (in the UK) than the 1st of
January, with great confidence. We can't predict with more than a
minimal degree of confidence whether the 2nd of January will be warmer
than the 1st of January. Predicting climate is a different, and more
tractable, problem that predicting weather.


If the so called experts cannot tell predict the weather for the 1st and
2nd of January it's because the models they use for the prediction don't
have enough information and the model itself is immature. This is
despite the fact that the daily weather pattern for the past century, or
more, is in the data base. These same, or similar, flawed models are
the basis for predicting the global meltdown yet the scientists are
reported as have no doubts about their findings.


Do keep awake at the back! The Victorians thought as you do, and
were conclusively proved to be wrong in the 1920s. Later work has
proved that that were just conclusively wrong, but so fundamentally
wrong that some problems are insoluble even in theory despite being
provable to have a unique result.


Regards,
Nick Maclaren.