In article ,
Martin wrote:

Do the general public understand probabilities? Even if they don't
that is no reason not to provide them for those who do.

Many of them do, well enough - after all, they are the basis of
almost all betting.

Is the probability that the forecast is correct or, for example, that
rain will occur?

Obviously the latter.

and that there is a 90-100% chance that yesterday's weather will occur
again today.

It's nothing like as high as that.


Regards,
Nick Maclaren.