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Old 07-11-2013, 05:05 PM posted to uk.rec.gardening
Ophelia[_8_] Ophelia[_8_] is offline
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First recorded activity by GardenBanter: Nov 2013
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Default Bad winter coming - Exacta weather

This came from a friend who runs a Transport business. Hope it will be of
some use!

December 2013

The first month of the meteorological 2013/14 winter is likely to see a very
cold and snowy start to winter. This period is also likely to experience a
number of multiple and major widespread snow events across the country. The
northern half of the country is likely to experience a run of well-below
average temperatures for the vast majority of the whole month and multiple
major snow events, which will also include some potentially dangerous
blizzard conditions at times, in particular, in parts of north-east England.
Parts of southern England, Wales, and the Midlands are also likely to
experience a number of major snow events, that will consist of some
crippling falls of snow for these parts throughout December, especially in
parts of southern England and Wales. It is highly likely that there will be
major disruption to the public transport network across much of the country
at times and school closures throughout the early part of the December
period too.

December Temperatures - Below the seasonal average for most parts of the
country and in terms of the mean Central England Temperature (CET).
Temperatures are also likely to exceed double negative figures during the
evenings at times, and even more so throughout the Christmas period and into
the early part of 2014. It is quite plausible that temperatures may
surpass -20C in parts of the UK during the evenings, with temperatures also
struggling to get above freezing during the daytime at times too, but
especially more so towards the start and end of the this forecasting period.

December Major Snowfall - The major snow events are likely to lead to some
heavy falls of snow across many parts of the country, but especially more so
in the southern half of the country. Coupled with the below-average
temperatures, this is likely to lead to lying snow on the ground for some
lengthy periods of time in December. The risk of snowfall will remain with
much of the country throughout the whole month, but especially more so
throughout the period of the 23rd to the 31st December (Especially in
northern, eastern and southern parts). A full and more detailed snow risk
forecast will be issued to purchasers of this forecast later in the year
(normally £10)

January 2014

The second month of the meteorological 2013/14 winter is likely to be
exceptionally cold and very snowy. This period is also likely to experience
a number of multiple and major widespread snow events across the country,
and a scenario similar to December 2010 or worse is plausible. The vast
majority of the whole country is likely to experience a run of well-below
average temperatures for the whole of the month and multiple major snow
events, which will also include some potentially dangerous blizzard
conditions at times, in particular, in parts of southern England. Parts of
northern England, eastern England, Wales, western England, the Midlands, and
Northern Ireland are also likely to experience a number of major snow
events, that will consist of some crippling falls of snow for these parts
throughout January. It is highly likely that there will be major disruption
on a prolific scale to the public transport network across much of the
country at times and school closures throughout much of the January period
too.

January Temperatures - Way below the seasonal average for much of the
country and in terms of the mean Central England Temperature (CET).
Temperatures are also likely to exceed double negative figures quite
consistently during the evenings, especially in parts of Scotland and the
north. There may even be the possibility of temperature records being broken
in places, especially in parts of Scotland and Ireland, towards the start of
this forecasting period. It is quite plausible that temperatures may
surpass -28C in parts of the UK during the evenings, with temperatures also
struggling to get above freezing across the country during the daytime too.
There is also a good probability for the development of ice floes, which
will be visible from land in various parts of the country too.

January Major Snowfall - The major snow events are likely to lead to some
very heavy falls of snow across most parts of the country, but especially
more so in the southern half of the country. Coupled with the below-average
temperatures, this is likely to lead to lying snow on the ground for the
vast majority of January. Snow drifts of several feet are also a distinct
possibility for this part of the forecasting period. The risk of snowfall
will remain with large parts of the country throughout the whole month, but
especially more so throughout the period of the 1st to the 15th January. A
full and more detailed snow risk forecast will be issued to purchasers of
this forecast later in the year (normally £10)

February 2014

The final month of the meteorological 2013/14 winter is likely to continue
with the cold and snowy theme. This period is also likely to experience a
number of multiple and major widespread snow events across the country. Many
parts of the country are likely to experience a run of below average
temperatures throughout the month and multiple major snow events, especially
in parts of northern and southern England. It is likely that there will be
disruption to the public transport network across these parts at times and
school closures throughout the February period too. However, a number of
brief periods of moderation can't be ruled for this part of the forecasting
period (normal winter conditions), especially in the latter part of this
forecasting period.

February Temperatures - Below the seasonal average for much of the country
and in terms of the mean Central England Temperature (CET), especially to
the north of the country. Temperatures may also exceed double negative
figures during the evenings at times, especially in parts of Scotland and
the north. It is quite plausible that temperatures may surpass -18C in parts
of the UK during the evenings, with temperatures also struggling to get
above freezing during the daytime at times too, but not consistently due to
a number of brief periods of moderation for this part of the forecasting
period.

February Snowfall - The major snow events are likely to lead to some
significant falls of snow across parts of the country, in particular, in
parts of northern and southern England. The risk of major snowfall is most
likely throughout the period of the 15th to the 25th February in these
parts.

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