In article ,
Malcolm writes:
|
| The Met. Office has
| refused to comment, saying that prediction that far ahead is too
| hard. The circumstance under which it could be predicted pretty
| reliably is if the North Atlantic Conveyor started failing. Then,
| it wouldn't just be the next winter, but the summer after, and
| the winter after that, and ....
|
| But that prediction, too, would be based, as I said, on what's been
| before, even if rather a long time ago!

Not entirely. They actually simulated many of the effects before
they got around to looking for evidence of them in the field (or
under the sea, to be precise).


Regards,
Nick Maclaren.