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#16
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And you want ME to shut up. See how it will affect you!
On 3/12/2009 3:06 AM, terryc wrote:
On Wed, 02 Dec 2009 06:26:06 +0000, Jonthe Fly wrote: Yeah we should all be renting... If superannuation is to work, then yes. Superannuation is like a horse race with only a percentage of punters actually being able to get a full employment payout. The unfortunate unstable employment ranks are ripped of all the way through, by "administration costs" to support those with stable government jobs to support their super. Owning a home in australia is a gamble, unless you have stable government employement or are in a trade. It really helps if you buy within your means from the beginning. This includes leaving room for interest rate increases. Naturally, have two incomes reduces the risk. Having an income and preventing people with two jobs, allows others to work. It would also make housing affordable by lowering housing costs. The next problem is rip of banks who will through the life of a loan charge two to three time's the cost of the home in "interest". I'd be interested too. |
#17
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And you want ME to shut up. See how it will affect you!
On Wed, 02 Dec 2009 22:51:23 +0000, Jonthe Fly wrote:
On 3/12/2009 3:06 AM, terryc wrote: On Wed, 02 Dec 2009 06:26:06 +0000, Jonthe Fly wrote: Yeah we should all be renting... If superannuation is to work, then yes. Superannuation is like a horse race with only a percentage of punters actually being able to get a full employment payout. That is how the existing schemes work, the peeps at the top rort clean it off and the plebs get very little. The fundamental problem with superannuation is that unless it is invested in something that is actually producing concrete goods, it is just another bubble waiting to burst. Aus The unfortunate unstable employment ranks are ripped of all the way through, by "administration costs" to support those with stable government jobs to support their super. Join an industry fund where you do not pay commissions to brokers. Owning a home in australia is a gamble, unless you have stable government employement or are in a trade. It would also make housing affordable by lowering housing costs. Never, ever going to happen. Finite land, ballooning population and more and more competition is going to come from "superannuation funds" buying properties for the rental income. The next problem is rip of banks who will through the life of a loan charge two to three time's the cost of the home in "interest". I'd be interested too. The trick is to buy a cheaper car, do not take os holidays, smaller Tv, no bigpond/foxtwel and pay a little extra off the home loan each month. BTDT twice. |
#18
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And you want ME to shut up. See how it will affect you!
"0tterbot" wrote in message
"FarmI" ask@itshall be given wrote in message it is a bit skimpy on the emphasis the show gave to the (quite astonishing given that it's a totalitarian state) moves that china is making on environmental issues: http://transitiontownsireland.ning.c...icted-to-money just wanted to say that i would guess totalitarian states always have an easier time creating change - because they're totalitarian :-) so perhaps it is not astonishing at all. the chinese govt wouldn't give a wazoo if everyone was screeching "but it will cost me an extra dollar a week!!! i'm going to ring up alan jones!!!!" LOL. Quite right of course. I wasn't very clear. What I really meant by my comment was that a totalitarian state wouldn't do anything if it wasn't convinced of a pressing need to do so. China must be convinced that there is a huge need to do so given the amount of money they've invested over a very short period of time. China doesn't give a rat's arse about the health or well being of their citizens unlike supposedly 'caring' western states so thye must be concerned about something other than their people. tee hee. having said that, i saw nicholas stern on lateline last night. he said environmental issues are the Really Big Worry for people in china (unlike australians, who'd probably choose something mindless, like house prices). i speculate that this is because china's environmental problems are not only pressing, but they're also incredibly _visible_, & that makes a huge difference to what people care about. everyone in china can literally see with their own eyes things that are going wrong. therefore, they care more & are more prepared to do something about it. Yes I saw him too and he said that Aus is at more risk from climate change than other places. I'd agree with that just based on observation. |
#19
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And you want ME to shut up. See how it will affect you!
On 3/12/2009 1:25 PM, terryc wrote:
On Wed, 02 Dec 2009 22:51:23 +0000, Jonthe Fly wrote: On 3/12/2009 3:06 AM, terryc wrote: On Wed, 02 Dec 2009 06:26:06 +0000, Jonthe Fly wrote: Yeah we should all be renting... If superannuation is to work, then yes. Superannuation is like a horse race with only a percentage of punters actually being able to get a full employment payout. That is how the existing schemes work, the peeps at the top rort clean it off and the plebs get very little. The fundamental problem with superannuation is that unless it is invested in something that is actually producing concrete goods, it is just another bubble waiting to burst. Aus The unfortunate unstable employment ranks are ripped of all the way through, by "administration costs" to support those with stable government jobs to support their super. Join an industry fund where you do not pay commissions to brokers. Owning a home in australia is a gamble, unless you have stable government employement or are in a trade. It would also make housing affordable by lowering housing costs. Never, ever going to happen. Finite land, ballooning population and more and more competition is going to come from "superannuation funds" buying properties for the rental income. The next problem is rip of banks who will through the life of a loan charge two to three time's the cost of the home in "interest". I'd be interested too. The trick is to buy a cheaper car, do not take os holidays, smaller Tv, no bigpond/foxtwel and pay a little extra off the home loan each month. BTDT twice. Already realised this years ago. Small car. small TV Actaully I have small every thing. (probably explains Sex life. It aint too good either.) I aint no Tiger Woods. Cant take it with me so I'm renting. Stopped swearing, staying out of the hot sun, live in shopping centers, dont shout a beer or smoke. Cant be a pollie as I cant buy mates. Easing up on food intake and moved out of the big smoke. Grow my own vegies. I should be up for some government grant of some sort, for showing a good example. Any other hints? Trying to influence those less informed so we dont waste money on flunky climate schemes Oh by the way This is interesting http://www.theaustralian.com.au/news...-1225793355139 Science dont lie and politics dont want you to find out. |
#20
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And you want ME to shut up. See how it will affect you!
On 3/12/2009 3:52 PM, FarmI wrote:
wrote in message "FarmI"ask@itshall be given wrote in message it is a bit skimpy on the emphasis the show gave to the (quite astonishing given that it's a totalitarian state) moves that china is making on environmental issues: http://transitiontownsireland.ning.c...icted-to-money just wanted to say that i would guess totalitarian states always have an easier time creating change - because they're totalitarian :-) so perhaps it is not astonishing at all. the chinese govt wouldn't give a wazoo if everyone was screeching "but it will cost me an extra dollar a week!!! i'm going to ring up alan jones!!!!" LOL. Quite right of course. I wasn't very clear. What I really meant by my comment was that a totalitarian state wouldn't do anything if it wasn't convinced of a pressing need to do so. China must be convinced that there is a huge need to do so given the amount of money they've invested over a very short period of time. China doesn't give a rat's arse about the health or well being of their citizens unlike supposedly 'caring' western states so thye must be concerned about something other than their people. tee hee. having said that, i saw nicholas stern on lateline last night. he said environmental issues are the Really Big Worry for people in china (unlike australians, who'd probably choose something mindless, like house prices). i speculate that this is because china's environmental problems are not only pressing, but they're also incredibly _visible_,& that makes a huge difference to what people care about. everyone in china can literally see with their own eyes things that are going wrong. therefore, they care more& are more prepared to do something about it. Yes I saw him too and he said that Aus is at more risk from climate change than other places. I'd agree with that just based on observation. Yes, as I thought. No sense of humor or sense. |
#21
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The most extraordinary scientific detective story.
The real question on Copenhagen is: not that the weather isnt changing, as
it has for many millions of years, but can we do much to repair it, and whether we are just lining someone elses pockets with patchy repairs that arent going to do anything to the climate, except to make these epople more influential?. Also watch China and India as they come online with their huge potential economies. Will they, can they toe the line? http://www.telegraph.co.uk/comment/c...the-world.html Coming to light in recent days has been one of the most extraordinary scientific detective stories of our time, bizarrely centred on a single tree in Siberia dubbed "the most influential tree in the world". On this astonishing tale, it is no exaggeration to say, could hang in considerable part the future shape of our civilisation. Right at the heart of the sound and fury of "Climategate" - the emails leaked from the Climatic Research Unit (CRU) in East Anglia - is one story of scientific chicanery, overlooked by the media, whose implications dwarf all the rest. If all those thousands of emails and other documents were leaked by an angry whistle-blower, as now seems likely, it was this story more than any other that he or she wanted the world to see. To appreciate its significance, as I observed last week, it is first necessary to understand that the people these incriminating documents relate to are not just any group of scientists. Professor Philip Jones of the CRU, his colleague Dr Keith Briffa, the US computer modeller Dr Michael Mann, of "hockey stick" fame, and several more make up a tightly-knit group who have been right at the centre of the last two reports of the UN's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). On their account, as we shall see at this week's Copenhagen conference, the world faces by far the largest bill proposed by any group of politicians in history, amounting to many trillions of dollars. It is therefore vitally important that we should trust the methods by which these men have made their case. The supreme prize that they have been working for so long has been to establish that the world is warmer today than ever before in recorded history. To do this it has been necessary to eliminate a wealth of evidence that the world 1,000 years ago was, for entirely natural reasons, warmer than today (the so-called Medieval Warm Period). The most celebrated attempt to demonstrate this was the "hockey stick" graph produced by Dr Mann in 1999, which instantly became the chief icon of the IPCC and the global warming lobby all over the world. But in 2003 a Canadian statistician, Steve McIntyre, with his colleague Professor Ross McKitrick, showed how the graph had been fabricated by a computer model that produced "hockey stick" graphs whatever random data were fed into it. A wholly unrepresentative sample of tree rings from bristlecone pines in the western USA had been made to stand as "proxies" to show that there was no Medieval Warm Period, and that late 20th-century temperatures had soared to unprecedented levels. Although McIntyre's exposure of the "hockey stick" was upheld in 2006 by two expert panels commissioned by the US Congress, the small group of scientists at the top of the IPCC brushed this aside by pointing at a hugely influential series of graphs originating from the CRU, from Jones and Briffa. These appeared to confirm the rewriting of climate history in the "hockey stick", by using quite different tree ring data from Siberia. Briffa was put in charge of the key chapter of the IPCC's fourth report, in 2007, which dismissed all McIntyre's criticisms. At the forefront of those who found suspicious the graphs based on tree rings from the Yamal peninsula in Siberia was McIntyre himself, not least because for years the CRU refused to disclose the data used to construct them. This breached a basic rule of scientific procedure. But last summer the Royal Society insisted on the rule being obeyed, and two months ago Briffa accordingly published on his website some of the data McIntyre had been after. This was startling enough, as McIntyre demonstrated in an explosive series of posts on his Climate Audit blog, because it showed that the CRU studies were based on cherry-picking hundreds of Siberian samples only to leave those that showed the picture that was wanted. Other studies based on similar data had clearly shown the Medieval Warm Period as hotter than today. Indeed only the evidence from one tree, YADO61, seemed to show a "hockey stick" pattern, and it was this, in light of the extraordinary reverence given to the CRU's studies, which led McIntyre to dub it "the most influential tree in the world". But more dramatic still has been the new evidence from the CRU's leaked documents, showing just how the evidence was finally rigged. The most quoted remark in those emails has been one from Prof Jones in 1999, reporting that he had used "Mike [Mann]'s Nature trick of adding in the real temps" to "Keith's" graph, in order to "hide the decline". Invariably this has been quoted out of context. Its true significance, we can now see, is that what they intended to hide was the awkward fact that, apart from that one tree, the Yamal data showed temperatures not having risen in the late 20th century but declining. What Jones suggested, emulating Mann's procedure for the "hockey stick" (originally published in Nature), was that tree-ring data after 1960 should be eliminated, and substituted - without explanation - with a line based on the quite different data of measured global temperatures, to convey that temperatures after 1960 had shot up. A further devastating blow has now been dealt to the CRU graphs by an expert contributor to McIntyre's Climate Audit, known only as "Lucy Skywalker". She has cross-checked with the actual temperature records for that part of Siberia, showing that in the past 50 years temperatures have not risen at all. (For further details see the science blog Watts Up With That.) In other words, what has become arguably the most influential set of evidence used to support the case that the world faces unprecedented global warming, developed, copied and promoted hundreds of times, has now been as definitively kicked into touch as was Mann's "hockey stick" before it. Yet it is on a blind acceptance of this kind of evidence that 16,500 politicians, officials, scientists and environmental activists will be gathering in Copenhagen to discuss measures which, if adopted, would require us all in the West to cut back on our carbon dioxide emissions by anything up to 80 per cent, utterly transforming the world economy. Little of this extraordinary story been reported by the BBC or most of our mass-media, so possessed by groupthink that they are unable to see the mountain of evidence now staring them in the face. Not for nothing was Copenhagen the city in which Hans Andersen wrote his story about the Emperor whose people were brainwashed into believing that he was wearing a beautiful suit of clothes. But today there are a great many more than just one little boy ready to point out that this particular Emperor is wearing nothing at all. I will only add two footnotes to this real-life new version of the old story. One is that, as we can see from the CRU's website, the largest single source of funding for all its projects has been the European Union, which at Copenhagen will be more insistent than anyone that the world should sign up to what amounts to the most costly economic suicide note in history. The other is that the ugly, drum-like concrete building at the University of East Anglia which houses the CRU is named after its founder, the late Hubert Lamb, the doyen of historical climate experts. It was Professor Lamb whose most famous contribution to climatology was his documenting and naming of what he called the Medieval Warm Epoch, that glaring contradiction of modern global warming theory which his successors have devoted untold efforts to demolishing. If only they had looked at the evidence of those Siberian trees in the spirit of true science, they might have told us that all their efforts to show otherwise were in vain, and that their very much more distinguished predecessor was right after all. |
#22
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The most extraordinary scientific detective story.
ArSee wrote:
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/comment/c...the-world.html Once again you refer to a most dubious source of information on your quest for climate change denial. Perhaps once or twice you could check these people out before uncritically posting their fluff. From wikipedia: quote Via his long-running column in the UK's Sunday Telegraph, Booker has claimed that man-made global warming was "disproved" in 2008, that white asbestos is "chemically identical to talcum powder" and poses a "non-existent risk" to human health, that "scientific evidence to support [the] belief that inhaling other people's smoke causes cancer simply does not exist" and that there is "no proof that BSE causes CJD in humans". He has also defended the theory of Intelligent Design, maintaining that Darwinians "rest their case on nothing more than blind faith and unexamined a priori assumptions". unquote One of the reasons that Booker makes such absurd claims could be that he is not climate scientist, in fact not a scientist at all. The asbestos-talcum powder confusion shows an appalling lack of even basic knowledge of chemistry, not to mention denying the many studies showing the ill effects of white asbestos. He joins Miloy in holding the peculiar duo of ideas of climate change denial and second-hand smoke denial. He also joins Miloy in making a living through journalism and books "debunking" science. As for Intelligent Design there is no more thoroughly discredited and ludicrous so-called theory. ID is a religious scam so unrelated to actual science that it is not even wrong. It would not have taken you very long to find numerous articles debunking Booker's stupidity but you don't bother looking. David |
#23
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The most extraordinary scientific detective story.
On 6/12/2009 11:55 PM, David Hare-Scott wrote:
ArSee wrote: http://www.telegraph.co.uk/comment/c...the-world.html Once again you refer to a most dubious source of information on your quest for climate change denial. Perhaps once or twice you could check these people out before uncritically posting their fluff. From wikipedia: quote Via his long-running column in the UK's Sunday Telegraph, Booker has claimed that man-made global warming was "disproved" in 2008, that white asbestos is "chemically identical to talcum powder" and poses a "non-existent risk" to human health, that "scientific evidence to support [the] belief that inhaling other people's smoke causes cancer simply does not exist" and that there is "no proof that BSE causes CJD in humans". He has also defended the theory of Intelligent Design, maintaining that Darwinians "rest their case on nothing more than blind faith and unexamined a priori assumptions". unquote One of the reasons that Booker makes such absurd claims could be that he is not climate scientist, in fact not a scientist at all. The asbestos-talcum powder confusion shows an appalling lack of even basic knowledge of chemistry, not to mention denying the many studies showing the ill effects of white asbestos. He joins Miloy in holding the peculiar duo of ideas of climate change denial and second-hand smoke denial. He also joins Miloy in making a living through journalism and books "debunking" science. As for Intelligent Design there is no more thoroughly discredited and ludicrous so-called theory. ID is a religious scam so unrelated to actual science that it is not even wrong. It would not have taken you very long to find numerous articles debunking Booker's stupidity but you don't bother looking. David Well as I said youre a hard man to convince. What about this. In short, the laws of physics don't seem to allow CO2 it's currently assumed place as a significant "greenhouse gas" based on present concentrations. The other "greenhouse gases" such as methane, nitrous oxide, tetrafluoromethane, hexafluoroethane, sulfur hexafluoride, trifluoromethane, 1,1,1,2-tetrafluoroethane, and 1,1-difluoroethane exist only in extraordinarily smaller amounts and aren't even up for serious discussion by any segment of the scientific community. And, since the other components of the atmosphere (oxygen, nitrogen, and water vapor) aren't materially affected by human activity, the "greenhouse effect" is essentially a totally natural phenomenon, unaffected by human activity. We could repeat the spectral analysis and calculations for Oxygen, or O2 ( The percentage of oxygen in the atmosphere remains exactly the same at all heights up to about 85 km, and is about 20.9% by volume ) and Nitrogen (N2) which is the whopper at 78.1% - but we won't. We'll leave that as your homework problem now that you know how to do it. Just look up the atomic absorption spectra for both, and do the math. You'll discover that Oxygen and Nitrogen aren't even "greenhouse gases", so that leaves the principal greenhouse gas... you guessed it.... Water Vapor. Curiously enough, the UN IPCC reports don't even mention water vapor, since it is technically not a "gas" in the atmosphere. Dr. Roy W. Spencer has one of the best comments we've read on this subject: "Al Gore likes to say that mankind puts 70 million tons of carbon dioxide into the atmosphere every day. What he probably doesn't know is that mother nature puts 24,000 times that amount of our main greenhouse gas -- water vapor -- into the atmosphere every day, and removes about the same amount every day. While this does not 'prove' that global warming is not manmade, it shows that weather systems have by far the greatest control over the Earth's greenhouse effect, which is dominated by water vapor and clouds." There are none so blind than those who will not see. Also: Those who think they know everything, upset those who do. Taken from this, (shortly be discredited by ***) website http://www.middlebury.net/op-ed/global-warming-01.html |
#24
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The most extraordinary scientific detective story.
Jonthe Fly wrote:
"Al Gore likes to say that mankind puts 70 million tons of carbon dioxide into the atmosphere every day. What he probably doesn't know is that mother nature puts 24,000 times that amount of our main greenhouse gas -- water vapor -- into the atmosphere every day, and removes about the same amount every day. While this does not 'prove' that global warming is not manmade, it shows that weather systems have by far the greatest control over the Earth's greenhouse effect, which is dominated by water vapor and clouds." There are none so blind than those who will not see. Also: Those who think they know everything, upset those who do. Taken from this, (shortly be discredited by ***) website http://www.middlebury.net/op-ed/global-warming-01.html The role of water vapour in the issue *is* considered by climate scientists and this simplistic view that there is a great deal of it and it is natural therefore there is no anthropogenic climate change is wrong. As I have been saying for some time you blokes should do your own research, it is not hard to find the rebuttal for this. You are not going to find climate scientists red-faced saying "duh we never thought of that". I don't have time to participate in an endless game of ninepins where you two (or three or howmany) set 'em up I knock 'em down. The pattern is getting too boring and the point has been made. As somebody observed already this is fairly off topic for aus.gardens although one would hope the residents are interested. If you still want to debate this with somebody try some of the climate change blogs. I have a possible explanation for why you will not research both sides of the issues. An opinion firmly held that was acquired by non-rational means cannot be changed by rational means. Now I have to get out and work before it gets too hot. David |
#25
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The most extraordinary scientific detective story.
"ArSee" wrote in message
... I would suggest before you mention BER you make sure of your facts. BER is when flowers actually rot. blossom end rot is when the blossom-end of the fruit rots. the flower is usually long gone by then & presence or absence of the flower is irrelevent. it's called that to distinguish it from situations where the stalk-end of the fruit rots. have you noticed yet that david is observably intelligent? and when you do, will you stop? kylie |
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