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#16
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rodale 30yr study
Farm1 wrote:
.... Does anyone know if there is link to a real report or is Rodale now doing only a dumbed down Dummies job? i looked, but i didn't find any data archived any place. they may publish it for a fee or include it in one of their books so they may not ever put the whole data set on the internet. we'll see... songbird |
#17
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rodale 30yr study
Billy wrote:
.... So Rodale sent me some pdfs, which I've only very briefly looked at so far. I doubt that they will be satisfactory on all counts to everyone. Two choices, either contact them yourselves (Seidel, Rita ), or write to me , and I'll send you what they sent to me. thanks Billy, songbird |
#18
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rodale 30yr study
songbird wrote:
David Hare-Scott wrote: ... They may conceivable be right but I don't see this type of presentation making too many converts. The faithful will of course love it but that won't influence those who ought to take notice; farmers, business leaders and legislators. Which is all rather sad. well like i said, the two pictures were worth thousands of words. The comparison pics show something was different. But what exactly? They don't say. Soil building is admirable but just because you can build soil doesn't mean all the other requirements of a sustainable food production system are met. Unless, like them, you carefully define sustainability in terms of soil building. I have the same problem with a local community-based horticultural trial. They are getting good results but so far have not produced enough analysis to show what the full costs are. If you put enough inputs (including hard work) into a trial you can do wonders in almost any situation but can you do it efficiently, can you keep it going on a large scale if you have to pay full price for your labour, manures etc and can you compete, or at least get close to it, regarding selling price with conventional systems? i agree with you though, that i'd like to see the information behind the Rodale study. I will have a look at the material Billy was sent. D |
#19
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rodale 30yr study
"songbird" wrote in message
... Farm1 wrote: ... Does anyone know if there is link to a real report or is Rodale now doing only a dumbed down Dummies job? i looked, but i didn't find any data archived any place. they may publish it for a fee or include it in one of their books so they may not ever put the whole data set on the internet. we'll see... Well it won't have any impact on how any of use who post here garden or the opinions we have. Frank will still get hysterical about things that don't accord with his world view :-)) |
#20
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rodale 30yr study
Farm1 wrote:
songbird wrote: ....where's the beans, err, numbers... we'll see... Well it won't have any impact on how any of use who post here garden or the opinions we have. Frank will still get hysterical about things that don't accord with his world view :-)) as a god fearing atheist i try to love all of his/her/its creatures no matter how deluded or confused certain of them may be. songbird (it doesn't mean i always succeed but i do try... |
#21
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rodale 30yr study
David Hare-Scott wrote:
songbird wrote: David Hare-Scott wrote: ... They may conceivable be right but I don't see this type of presentation making too many converts. The faithful will of course love it but that won't influence those who ought to take notice; farmers, business leaders and legislators. Which is all rather sad. well like i said, the two pictures were worth thousands of words. The comparison pics show something was different. But what exactly? They don't say. they say the one handful of dirt that was darker was from the organic plot and the other handful was from the conventional plot. and the other picture was showing the difference between the organic and conventional plots during a drought with the organic plot showing taller and greener plants. Soil building is admirable but just because you can build soil doesn't mean all the other requirements of a sustainable food production system are met. Unless, like them, you carefully define sustainability in terms of soil building. from my continued studies i'd say it is a good start in a world that is mostly going the other direction (destroying topsoil faster than making it). I have the same problem with a local community-based horticultural trial. They are getting good results but so far have not produced enough analysis to show what the full costs are. If you put enough inputs (including hard work) into a trial you can do wonders in almost any situation but can you do it efficiently, can you keep it going on a large scale if you have to pay full price for your labour, manures etc and can you compete, or at least get close to it, regarding selling price with conventional systems? you use the word "efficiently" but i think that word is often a focus and over-simplified into "easy". the base rate of soil production with no inputs is the absolute minimum in terms of energy expenditures. where there are no other inputs or passes of machinery or anything other than walking through and picking whatever is desired and then putting it directly in the mouth. some complexities and inputs added above that type of system can be offset by getting more out of the garden plot. yet i don't think a lot of people keep that close of an eye on expenses or time spent because they get a lot of happiness out of raising their own food or they like the larger variety of foods they can grow that they'll not find at the store. it's hard to put an exact price on what is good about being able to go out and have fresh beans or strawberries right off the plants. for myself, just having a good reason to get outside and exercise in a meaningful way is a huge benefit. i hate having to exercise just for the sake of exercise itself, but i can go outside and putter around in the gardens for hours and the time goes by so quickly. i agree with you though, that i'd like to see the information behind the Rodale study. I will have a look at the material Billy was sent. they are on my reading list too. songbird |
#22
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rodale 30yr study
songbird wrote:
David Hare-Scott wrote: songbird wrote: David Hare-Scott wrote: ... They may conceivable be right but I don't see this type of presentation making too many converts. The faithful will of course love it but that won't influence those who ought to take notice; farmers, business leaders and legislators. Which is all rather sad. well like i said, the two pictures were worth thousands of words. The comparison pics show something was different. But what exactly? They don't say. they say the one handful of dirt that was darker was from the organic plot and the other handful was from the conventional plot. and the other picture was showing the difference between the organic and conventional plots during a drought with the organic plot showing taller and greener plants. It was the difference in treatments that resulted in such visible differences that I was after. Soil building is admirable but just because you can build soil doesn't mean all the other requirements of a sustainable food production system are met. Unless, like them, you carefully define sustainability in terms of soil building. from my continued studies i'd say it is a good start in a world that is mostly going the other direction (destroying topsoil faster than making it). Soil building is necessary but not sufficient. I have the same problem with a local community-based horticultural trial. They are getting good results but so far have not produced enough analysis to show what the full costs are. If you put enough inputs (including hard work) into a trial you can do wonders in almost any situation but can you do it efficiently, can you keep it going on a large scale if you have to pay full price for your labour, manures etc and can you compete, or at least get close to it, regarding selling price with conventional systems? you use the word "efficiently" but i think that word is often a focus and over-simplified into "easy". That isn't what I meant. I mean so that you can compete on a large scale without a subsidy. They are using grant money to get started, the question is can they produce food sustainably using just the proceeds of sales in future? the base rate of soil production with no inputs is the absolute minimum in terms of energy expenditures. where there are no other inputs or passes of machinery or anything other than walking through and picking whatever is desired and then putting it directly in the mouth. There are plenty of inputs required and if there is to be little or no machinery then there will be labour costs instead. The methods appropriate for a family are not going to scale up to where you can feed the whole district. some complexities and inputs added above that type of system can be offset by getting more out of the garden plot. yet i don't think a lot of people keep that close of an eye on expenses or time spent because they get a lot of happiness out of raising their own food or they like the larger variety of foods they can grow that they'll not find at the store. it's hard to put an exact price on what is good about being able to go out and have fresh beans or strawberries right off the plants. I was more interested in large scale commercially viable systems where the cost of labour and other inputs is critical. for myself, just having a good reason to get outside and exercise in a meaningful way is a huge benefit. i hate having to exercise just for the sake of exercise itself, but i can go outside and putter around in the gardens for hours and the time goes by so quickly. I agree with you about home produce but that isn't what the Rodale study or my local horticulture trial is about. David |
#23
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rodale 30yr study
David Hare-Scott wrote:
songbird wrote: David Hare-Scott wrote: songbird wrote: David Hare-Scott wrote: ... They may conceivable be right but I don't see this type of presentation making too many converts. The faithful will of course love it but that won't influence those who ought to take notice; farmers, business leaders and legislators. Which is all rather sad. well like i said, the two pictures were worth thousands of words. The comparison pics show something was different. But what exactly? They don't say. they say the one handful of dirt that was darker was from the organic plot and the other handful was from the conventional plot. and the other picture was showing the difference between the organic and conventional plots during a drought with the organic plot showing taller and greener plants. It was the difference in treatments that resulted in such visible differences that I was after. i've not gotten to the details yet... Soil building is admirable but just because you can build soil doesn't mean all the other requirements of a sustainable food production system are met. Unless, like them, you carefully define sustainability in terms of soil building. from my continued studies i'd say it is a good start in a world that is mostly going the other direction (destroying topsoil faster than making it). Soil building is necessary but not sufficient. i'd accept soil stability in many places that still have topsoil. the differences in productivity between topsoil and subsoil is significant. when any farm runs out of topsoil the required inputs for reaching the same level of outputs as before is quite large (especially when using high yield grains) sometimes by several factors or even a magnitude shift. in the future those costs will be much higher as cheap oil turns into more scarce oil. I have the same problem with a local community-based horticultural trial. They are getting good results but so far have not produced enough analysis to show what the full costs are. If you put enough inputs (including hard work) into a trial you can do wonders in almost any situation but can you do it efficiently, can you keep it going on a large scale if you have to pay full price for your labour, manures etc and can you compete, or at least get close to it, regarding selling price with conventional systems? you use the word "efficiently" but i think that word is often a focus and over-simplified into "easy". That isn't what I meant. I mean so that you can compete on a large scale without a subsidy. They are using grant money to get started, the question is can they produce food sustainably using just the proceeds of sales in future? if the subsidies already in place for the conventional system are made available to the organic system it would be a fair comparison. the conventional system has all the advantages in many areas because the infrastructure is already in place to support it along with the marketing and lobbying of politicians to ensure it continues. the conventional system is also getting a free pass on pollution and abuse of fresh water resources and destruction of topsoil turning land into desert or salt pans. to do an accurate comparison we need to list all the costs of each. the conventional system may be more efficient, but it may also be more efficient at destruction or pollution or wasting fresh water. the base rate of soil production with no inputs is the absolute minimum in terms of energy expenditures. where there are no other inputs or passes of machinery or anything other than walking through and picking whatever is desired and then putting it directly in the mouth. There are plenty of inputs required and if there is to be little or no machinery then there will be labour costs instead. The methods appropriate for a family are not going to scale up to where you can feed the whole district. yes more labor, but last i knew unemployment is a concern. i think much of the scaling problem is over- hyped. if you take most of the greens and fresh veggies production and do what the Cubans have done then you've concentrated the perishables nearer to the population centers. transportation and infrastructure costs stay reasonable. for the farms further away they shift to a crop rotation system which gives them transportable plantstuffs or animals, but i think it is much better to process the animals on the land where they are raised to keep the nutrients there as much as possible (and transportation from the population centers should be bringing organic materials out when they are picking up stuff to bring in). this reduces fuel costs as then only the actual edible parts are shipped. you get an increase in fuel costs hauling organic materials from the cities, but there is some cost in that already because the stuff currently ends up in a landfill or at a recycling center. some complexities and inputs added above that type of system can be offset by getting more out of the garden plot. yet i don't think a lot of people keep that close of an eye on expenses or time spent because they get a lot of happiness out of raising their own food or they like the larger variety of foods they can grow that they'll not find at the store. it's hard to put an exact price on what is good about being able to go out and have fresh beans or strawberries right off the plants. I was more interested in large scale commercially viable systems where the cost of labour and other inputs is critical. eventually energy costs and an accurate assessment of the pollution costs will show that organic systems are viable. large scale organic farms exist now. if food becomes scarce you can be sure that there will be a wider push to encourage more people to grow food in small plots and to reclaim unused spaces or to restore degraded areas. already i see a lot more gardens than before. for myself, just having a good reason to get outside and exercise in a meaningful way is a huge benefit. i hate having to exercise just for the sake of exercise itself, but i can go outside and putter around in the gardens for hours and the time goes by so quickly. I agree with you about home produce but that isn't what the Rodale study or my local horticulture trial is about. i don't know what your local horticultural trial is about. how large is it? the claims of the Rodale study is that the labor and fuel increases of the organic approach are more than compensated by the reduced input costs and the higher prices for the organic outputs. i think the cost of fuels can be worked on in various ways that aren't considered useful now, but will become more important when the price of oil goes up. i think with an accurate accounting of the damage from conventional system the organic system comes out even further ahead. my own small scale practice has shown me enough details and i'm not even pressing production very hard or getting very complicated. songbird |
#24
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rodale 30yr study
Billy wrote:
.... So Rodale sent me some pdfs, which I've only very briefly looked at so far. I doubt that they will be satisfactory on all counts to everyone. unfortunately there isn't one overall study of the whole 30yrs, but instead a series of smaller studies and they did change their methods every so often for the organic plots as they learned a better rotation schedule. i've skimmed through a few of them and found a few items of interest. when i get more rainy weather and have a bit more time i'll write up reviews of each. organic methods can still have nitrogen leaching problems (if the nitrogen generating cover crop (they had a bumper hairy vetch crop) is turned under and the following crop doesn't grow well (weed problems caused a failure with the corn crop) then the leftover nitrogen still goes into the ground water). i'm not sure how that compared to the nitrogen leaching from a conventional fertilized field for that same season. i still have to go through that one again more slowly. though i think the overall comparisons were done well enough, including accounting for any extra labor that was required for the organic spaces. i'm not really sure if they gave the organic method a credit for generating the nitrogen that was used by the following crops and of course they did put the seed costs down as minus, but for an organic farm that is saving seeds this expense could be much less too (after the equipment for seed cleaning has paid for itself the rest is all gravy). songbird |
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