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#1
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The approaching menace
On 27/10/13 16:21, Christina Websell wrote:
"Pam Moore" wrote in message ... Good luck riding the storm guys. Hope there are no calamities where you are. The title of the Mastermind theme-tune seems appropriate. Pam in Bristol I've done as much as I can to batten down the hatches. Last time there were winds of this predicted force I had a tree down in my garden. The wind has been strengthening all day, I thought it would so I put my washing machine on overnight, pegged the clothes out this a.m. and have got all them all dry :-) I'm expecting some damage if it materialises, let's hope it won't be as bad as forecast. Stay safe, folks I suspect the Met Office is suffering from a phobia of "another Michael Fish moment", or is trying to get politicians to realise that we do need to continue funding them. For most places it isn't going to be anywhere near as bad as they were thinking it /might possibly/ be a few days ago. South coast will get it in the neck though. Have a look at http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-bin/expertcharts?LANG=en&MENU=0000000000&CONT=ukuk&MOD ELL=gfs&MODELLTYP=1&BASE=-&VAR=uv10&HH=0&ARCHIV=0&ZOOM=0&PERIOD=&WMO= - select "surface wind" or "preciptation" - select the time for which you want to see a forecast And if you really want to have "fun", change the "Base Su 12,GMT" to "Base Th 12,GMT", to see what they were predicting last Thursday. |
#2
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The approaching menace
On 27/10/2013 17:56, Tom Gardner wrote:
On 27/10/13 16:21, Christina Websell wrote: "Pam Moore" wrote in message ... Good luck riding the storm guys. Hope there are no calamities where you are. The title of the Mastermind theme-tune seems appropriate. Pam in Bristol I've done as much as I can to batten down the hatches. Last time there were winds of this predicted force I had a tree down in my garden. The wind has been strengthening all day, I thought it would so I put my washing machine on overnight, pegged the clothes out this a.m. and have got all them all dry :-) I'm expecting some damage if it materialises, let's hope it won't be as bad as forecast. Stay safe, folks I suspect the Met Office is suffering from a phobia of "another Michael Fish moment", or is trying to get politicians to realise that we do need to continue funding them. For most places it isn't going to be anywhere near as bad as they were thinking it /might possibly/ be a few days ago. South coast will get it in the neck though. Have a look at http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-bin/expertcharts?LANG=en&MENU=0000000000&CONT=ukuk&MOD ELL=gfs&MODELLTYP=1&BASE=-&VAR=uv10&HH=0&ARCHIV=0&ZOOM=0&PERIOD=&WMO= - select "surface wind" or "preciptation" - select the time for which you want to see a forecast And if you really want to have "fun", change the "Base Su 12,GMT" to "Base Th 12,GMT", to see what they were predicting last Thursday. Or look at what they're predicting for next weekend. -- Stewart Robert Hinsley |
#3
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The approaching menace
On 27/10/13 18:20, Stewart Robert Hinsley wrote:
Or look at what they're predicting for next weekend. That does look more entertaining, at sea at least. But then anybody that believes in the /specific/ accuracy of forecasts more than 5 days away is a candidate to buy the Brooklyn Bridge! |
#4
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The approaching menace
On 27/10/2013 18:25, Tom Gardner wrote:
On 27/10/13 18:20, Stewart Robert Hinsley wrote: Or look at what they're predicting for next weekend. That does look more entertaining, at sea at least. But then anybody that believes in the /specific/ accuracy of forecasts more than 5 days away is a candidate to buy the Brooklyn Bridge! Is it for sale again? |
#5
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The approaching menace
On 2013-10-27 19:47:17 +0000, David Hill said:
On 27/10/2013 18:25, Tom Gardner wrote: On 27/10/13 18:20, Stewart Robert Hinsley wrote: Or look at what they're predicting for next weekend. That does look more entertaining, at sea at least. But then anybody that believes in the /specific/ accuracy of forecasts more than 5 days away is a candidate to buy the Brooklyn Bridge! Is it for sale again? It is, always! -- Sacha www.hillhousenursery.com South Devon www.helpforheroes.org.uk |
#6
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The approaching menace
"Tom Gardner" wrote in message ... On 27/10/13 16:21, Christina Websell wrote: "Pam Moore" wrote in message ... Good luck riding the storm guys. Hope there are no calamities where you are. The title of the Mastermind theme-tune seems appropriate. Pam in Bristol I've done as much as I can to batten down the hatches. Last time there were winds of this predicted force I had a tree down in my garden. The wind has been strengthening all day, I thought it would so I put my washing machine on overnight, pegged the clothes out this a.m. and have got all them all dry :-) I'm expecting some damage if it materialises, let's hope it won't be as bad as forecast. Stay safe, folks I suspect the Met Office is suffering from a phobia of "another Michael Fish moment", or is trying to get politicians to realise that we do need to continue funding them. For most places it isn't going to be anywhere near as bad as they were thinking it /might possibly/ be a few days ago. South coast will get it in the neck though. Have a look at http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-bin/expertcharts?LANG=en&MENU=0000000000&CONT=ukuk&MOD ELL=gfs&MODELLTYP=1&BASE=-&VAR=uv10&HH=0&ARCHIV=0&ZOOM=0&PERIOD=&WMO= - select "surface wind" or "preciptation" - select the time for which you want to see a forecast And if you really want to have "fun", change the "Base Su 12,GMT" to "Base Th 12,GMT", to see what they were predicting last Thursday. I'll tell you in two days time whether I needed to worry about a hurricane which I'll get tonight. |
#7
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The approaching menace
On 27/10/13 18:51, Christina Websell wrote:
"Tom Gardner" wrote in message ... On 27/10/13 16:21, Christina Websell wrote: "Pam Moore" wrote in message ... Good luck riding the storm guys. Hope there are no calamities where you are. The title of the Mastermind theme-tune seems appropriate. Pam in Bristol I've done as much as I can to batten down the hatches. Last time there were winds of this predicted force I had a tree down in my garden. The wind has been strengthening all day, I thought it would so I put my washing machine on overnight, pegged the clothes out this a.m. and have got all them all dry :-) I'm expecting some damage if it materialises, let's hope it won't be as bad as forecast. Stay safe, folks I suspect the Met Office is suffering from a phobia of "another Michael Fish moment", or is trying to get politicians to realise that we do need to continue funding them. For most places it isn't going to be anywhere near as bad as they were thinking it /might possibly/ be a few days ago. South coast will get it in the neck though. Have a look at http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-bin/expertcharts?LANG=en&MENU=0000000000&CONT=ukuk&MOD ELL=gfs&MODELLTYP=1&BASE=-&VAR=uv10&HH=0&ARCHIV=0&ZOOM=0&PERIOD=&WMO= - select "surface wind" or "preciptation" - select the time for which you want to see a forecast And if you really want to have "fun", change the "Base Su 12,GMT" to "Base Th 12,GMT", to see what they were predicting last Thursday. I'll tell you in two days time whether I needed to worry about a hurricane which I'll get tonight. Both the GFS model and the MetOffice model indicate that in Leicester the winds will be 18-21mph mean, gusting to 36-38mph. Hurricane is 75mph mean and above. Of course, local conditions may be different, but that's /always/ the case. |
#8
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The approaching menace
"Tom Gardner" wrote in message news:wPdbu.30264 the winds will be 18-21mph mean, gusting to 36-38mph. Hurricane is 75mph mean and above. Of course, local conditions may be different, but that's /always/ the case. Maybe you were here where the wind got up today to 60-? We have a warning about we are going to get high winds and you might be lucky if you don't. |
#9
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The approaching menace
On 27/10/2013 19:57, Christina Websell wrote:
"Tom Gardner" wrote in message news:wPdbu.30264 the winds will be 18-21mph mean, gusting to 36-38mph. Hurricane is 75mph mean and above. Of course, local conditions may be different, but that's /always/ the case. Maybe you were here where the wind got up today to 60-? We have a warning about we are going to get high winds and you might be lucky if you don't. Well here around Swansea Bay the wind at the Mumbles gusted to 59mph or over for 7 hours, with a base speed of 40mph and over for 11 hours. David |
#10
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The approaching menace
On 27/10/13 20:19, David Hill wrote:
On 27/10/2013 19:57, Christina Websell wrote: "Tom Gardner" wrote in message news:wPdbu.30264 the winds will be 18-21mph mean, gusting to 36-38mph. Hurricane is 75mph mean and above. Of course, local conditions may be different, but that's /always/ the case. Maybe you were here where the wind got up today to 60-? We have a warning about we are going to get high winds and you might be lucky if you don't. Well here around Swansea Bay the wind at the Mumbles gusted to 59mph or over for 7 hours, with a base speed of 40mph and over for 11 hours. David That doesn't surprise me: somewhere 100ft up on the coast is always going to see more than the 30ft forecast inland. |
#11
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The approaching menace
On 27/10/2013 20:37, Tom Gardner wrote:
On 27/10/13 20:19, David Hill wrote: On 27/10/2013 19:57, Christina Websell wrote: "Tom Gardner" wrote in message news:wPdbu.30264 the winds will be 18-21mph mean, gusting to 36-38mph. Hurricane is 75mph mean and above. Of course, local conditions may be different, but that's /always/ the case. Maybe you were here where the wind got up today to 60-? We have a warning about we are going to get high winds and you might be lucky if you don't. Well here around Swansea Bay the wind at the Mumbles gusted to 59mph or over for 7 hours, with a base speed of 40mph and over for 11 hours. David That doesn't surprise me: somewhere 100ft up on the coast is always going to see more than the 30ft forecast inland. Yes? But we are over 300ft above the Mumbles where those figures are from so chances are we had more than the figures I quoted. |
#12
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The approaching menace
On 27/10/13 19:57, Christina Websell wrote:
"Tom Gardner" wrote in message news:wPdbu.30264 the winds will be 18-21mph mean, gusting to 36-38mph. Hurricane is 75mph mean and above. Of course, local conditions may be different, but that's /always/ the case. Maybe you were here where the wind got up today to 60-? Coleshill had 15 gusting to 35-40 Nottingham had 20-25 gusting to 40-45 We have a warning about we are going to get high winds and you might be lucky if you don't. So did we in Bristol, to the extent my mother was /very/ worried. The forecast was pretty much right on, 20-25 gusting to 40. In other words, nothing exceptional and certainly nothing to worry about. /Certainly/ not a "hurricane" (i.e. 75+)! |
#13
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The approaching menace
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#14
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The approaching menace
"Tom Gardner" wrote in message ... On 27/10/13 16:21, Christina Websell wrote: "Pam Moore" wrote in message ... Good luck riding the storm guys. Hope there are no calamities where you are. The title of the Mastermind theme-tune seems appropriate. Pam in Bristol I've done as much as I can to batten down the hatches. Last time there were winds of this predicted force I had a tree down in my garden. The wind has been strengthening all day, I thought it would so I put my washing machine on overnight, pegged the clothes out this a.m. and have got all them all dry :-) I'm expecting some damage if it materialises, let's hope it won't be as bad as forecast. Stay safe, folks I suspect the Met Office is suffering from a phobia of "another Michael Fish moment", or is trying to get politicians to realise that we do need to continue funding them. For most places it isn't going to be anywhere near as bad as they were thinking it /might possibly/ be a few days ago. South coast will get it in the neck though. Have a look at http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-bin/expertcharts?LANG=en&MENU=0000000000&CONT=ukuk&MOD ELL=gfs&MODELLTYP=1&BASE=-&VAR=uv10&HH=0&ARCHIV=0&ZOOM=0&PERIOD=&WMO= - select "surface wind" or "preciptation" - select the time for which you want to see a forecast And if you really want to have "fun", change the "Base Su 12,GMT" to "Base Th 12,GMT", to see what they were predicting last Thursday. I'll let you know what happens about our hurricane tomorrow, it is coming overnight, allegedly. I've done as much as I can to make us all safe. Tina |
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