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POISONING CATS?

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29-03-2004, 11:44 AM

Nick Maclaren

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POISONING CATS?

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In article m,
Tim Challenger "timothy(dot)challenger(at)apk(dot)at" writes:
|
| The WHO thinks that good medical care, vigilant surveillance and chilly
| winters will prevent malaria from re-establishing itself in northern
| Europe, despite the existence of mosquito species able to carry it.

What that does not say is that there are few places that it could
restablish even if ALL of those fail. The epidemiology requires
that there be a sufficient population of both stages of host (i.e.
mammals and mosquitoes). The former are present in the UK in
an ample supply, but there are VERY few areas where there is
enough standing water to restablish a sufficiently large mosquito
population for malaria to reestablish.

It isn't a serious threat to the UK until and unless there is a
complete collapse of society's infrastructure. The same may well
not be true for (say) Sweden or Finland, despite their much colder
winters.

Regards,
Nick Maclaren.

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