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#181
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UK farm profitability to jun 2002
Torsten Brinch wrote in message ... Now, historically further transfers from taxpayers have most certainly been a real political option, to say the least. Why didn't that fix the problem? that is to obvious a question even to ask. The money basically went straight into the pockets of the retailers. -- Jim Webster "The pasture of stupidity is unwholesome to mankind" 'Abd-ar-Rahman b. Muhammad b. Khaldun al-Hadrami' |
#182
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UK farm profitability to jun 2002
"Torsten Brinch" wrote in message ... On Mon, 23 Dec 2002 17:50:44 +0000, Tim Lamb I don't know what income a farmer should expect so I don't know with which group parity is intended. One of the problems with parity with other professions is deciding what is equivalent. Most professions the salary is the only compensation component. Farmers also have an asset (the farm) growing in value (long term). Ease of travel to work, Home provided by the bussiness and a pleasant peaceful place to live. It is rather complex to work out a formula for what parity is. |
#183
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UK farm profitability to jun 2002
NEW YEAR MESSAGE OF NFU PRESIDENT BEN GILL
16 December 2002 For farmers and those with an interest in the countryside, 2002 will be remembered as the year of the inquiry - one after another they have reflected on the past and reassessed the way forward. In the meantime, another 15,000 jobs were being lost from farming in England alone. 2003 must be the year that Government finds its way and gets behind the wheel of what is one of Britain's last remaining primary industries. We must move on from deliberation to implementation of policies that allow British agriculture to recover profitability, competitiveness, and deliver sustainability. Farmers have been working hard to respond to the general soundings for change by developing branded regional products, by entering environmental schemes, by getting closer to their customers and developing farm assurance schemes for the industry. Indeed, there was a slight increase in the total income from farming, mainly from the reduction in the wages bill resulting from so many leaving the industry, but also from increased efficiency. This was very welcome, but was built on individuals working unsustainably long hours for desperately poor returns. This has to be addressed. Farmers want to see action from a Government that demonstrates its intention to work with the industry and to nurture the formation of "grown-up relationships" across the food chain and with environmental organisations where partners respect the need for all participants to make a profit. The creation of the Food Chain Centre and more recently the English Farming & Food Partnerships will be critical in turning around the lack of profitability in the farming industry. These two organisations have the potential to deliver answers that are so desperately needed. Crucially, they must resolve one key issue: how is it that with food prices in Europe no higher than in Britain (even including a VAT element) that their farmgate prices are higher than ours? In the last five years while UK farm incomes have fallen by 42%, in Germany they have risen by 34%. Solve that and we can go a long way to putting the entire UK food industry on to a secure footing for the future. There must also be greater recognition by Government of the impact of regulation on the industry's bottom line and its decision to remain outside of the euro. Only a profitable agriculture can deliver for the environment and the economy. Just over 70% of the British countryside is agriculturally managed - through a diverse range of food and energy crops or native woodland and grassland. The new "entry level" scheme is a step in the right direction in recognising the environmental contribution and the cost of additional environmental work to farmers. But the issue of chronic under funding for the UK's rural development plans and agri-environment schemes must be challenged. UK farmers should not suffer from the funding shortage created by the UK's decision of more than a decade ago not to draw down structural funds. Currently, France and Ireland, for example, have five times as much developmental funding. Farming has demonstrated its skill not just in producing food, wildlife habitats, and the backdrop for our tourism and rural industries but also as a producer of alternative green fuels and the raw materials for products based on natural fibres and oils. These crops are the critical new element of future farming that have the potential to transform the whole industry’s profitability base. And yet the promises of Government continually seem to fall tantalisingly short of the target. 2003 must be the year in which the Government acts to re-ignite the country-wide pride. It must be the year in which it puts at the top of its agenda the rebuilding of the trust that has been so badly damaged in recent times. Trust not only between sections of the food chain, but also between the food industry and Government. To do anything else would be short sighted, futile and costly for us all. Above all it must be the year when the framework is created that allows us to achieve a fair price from the market for the top quality goods we produce. The year when we put the profitability back into British food and farming. |
#185
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UK farm profitability to jun 2002
"Tim Lamb" wrote in message ... In article , Torsten Brinch writes ?! You were commenting (quote below) the perceived problem, that farmers are falling behind in income, leading to the aim of the common agriculture policy, CAP, to attempt to bring farmers up to some form of income parity with the rest of society. You commented that this problem cannot be resolved by CAP because -- because --- because what?? **** The practical policy has been dominated by attempts to increase farmer income, implicitly aiming at bringing it -- from a falling behind position -- to parity with other income groups of society. This is not resolvable. Farmers choose to farm and go to extreme lengths to stay in business. Most other professions are rewarded by the supply/demand system. I don't know what income a farmer should expect so I don't know with which group parity is intended. However, as there surpluses of our products and there is little likelihood of farmers leaving the industry from choice, bulk commodity purchasers are under no pressure to raise prices. Production volume is not affected in a meaningful way by the number of farmers. The labour (including management) required to produce a tonne of any commodity is constantly falling. Farmers are forced to leave the industry due to ever increasing production efficiency. To reduce the volume of production you must take land out of use, either temporarily by creating wildlife reserves or similar, or permanently by creating woodlands, housing estates, airports, roads, etc. I expect that if the figures for agricultural production are considered over the last 200 years the quantity of food produced in the UK has risen roughly with demand, i.e. in line with population increase. Now whether farmers should be blamed for the ever increasing population, especially now as the increase is largely through immigration, I've no idea, or perhaps population increase creates a demand for more food. Either way, it's probably about time we broke the cycle and the state, or others, purchased a decent proportion of agricultural land and did something different with it, golf courses, school playing fields, waste tips, airports, whatever. The present unreasonable shortage of land for non agricultural uses is quite likely going to cripple our economy. As the alternative is further transfers from taxpayers via the exchequer I see no prospect of the *parity* objective being achieved. In countries where no subsidy is paid 10 times as much labour, or more, is used to produce each tonne of food. The benefits to farmers of under production should not be ignored. If land is removed from agricultural use it should be possible to create a situation of permanent under supply. Not good for inner city nutrition, but damned good for farm incomes. Michael Saunby |
#186
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UK farm profitability to jun 2002
On Tue, 24 Dec 2002 13:06:20 -0000, "Hamish Macbeth"
wrote: Most professions the salary is the only compensation component. Farmers also have an asset (the farm) growing in value (long term). That is afaik not measured in with farm income, since it is not income from farming, not compensation for farming. I think it is better expressed, farmers tend to be also land owners. Indeed there might farmers embodying in one, a grubby greedy ******* of a landowner, capitalizing on whatever his other component, the resourceful, hardworking, chronically underpayed farm worker, might be helped with to a better living, be it the technological progress or direct subsidy made available to him by society. In the UK, there actually has been conspicuously large increases in land value, and conspicuously highly correlated, in almost perfect tune with the McSharry reform. Ease of travel to work, Home provided by the bussiness and a pleasant peaceful place to live. Oh, well, all professions come with their quirks. |
#187
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UK farm profitability to jun 2002
On Tue, 24 Dec 2002 16:48:37 -0000, "Michael Saunby"
wrote: "Tim Lamb" wrote in message ... In article , Torsten Brinch writes ?! You were commenting (quote below) the perceived problem, that farmers are falling behind in income, leading to the aim of the common agriculture policy, CAP, to attempt to bring farmers up to some form of income parity with the rest of society. You commented that this problem cannot be resolved by CAP because -- because --- because what?? **** The practical policy has been dominated by attempts to increase farmer income, implicitly aiming at bringing it -- from a falling behind position -- to parity with other income groups of society. This is not resolvable. Farmers choose to farm and go to extreme lengths to stay in business. Most other professions are rewarded by the supply/demand system. I don't know what income a farmer should expect so I don't know with which group parity is intended. However, as there surpluses of our products and there is little likelihood of farmers leaving the industry from choice, bulk commodity purchasers are under no pressure to raise prices. Production volume is not affected in a meaningful way by the number of farmers. The labour (including management) required to produce a tonne of any commodity is constantly falling. Farmers are forced to leave the industry due to ever increasing production efficiency. To reduce the volume of production you must take land out of use, either temporarily by creating wildlife reserves or similar, or permanently by creating woodlands, housing estates, airports, roads, etc. Farmer income is not affected in a meaningful way by the production volume. The labour (including management) required to produce a tonne of any commodity is constantly falling. Farmers are forced to leave the industry due to ever increasing production efficiency. This means fewer farmers remain to share the total income from farming between, and each of them can get more. To reduce the number of farmers you must aid the restructuring of farm businesses, amalgamation, transfer to other jobs, retirement etc. |
#188
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UK farm profitability to jun 2002
"Torsten Brinch" wrote in message ... On Tue, 24 Dec 2002 16:48:37 -0000, "Michael Saunby" wrote: "Tim Lamb" wrote in message ... In article , Torsten Brinch writes ?! You were commenting (quote below) the perceived problem, that farmers are falling behind in income, leading to the aim of the common agriculture policy, CAP, to attempt to bring farmers up to some form of income parity with the rest of society. You commented that this problem cannot be resolved by CAP because -- because --- because what?? **** The practical policy has been dominated by attempts to increase farmer income, implicitly aiming at bringing it -- from a falling behind position -- to parity with other income groups of society. This is not resolvable. Farmers choose to farm and go to extreme lengths to stay in business. Most other professions are rewarded by the supply/demand system. I don't know what income a farmer should expect so I don't know with which group parity is intended. However, as there surpluses of our products and there is little likelihood of farmers leaving the industry from choice, bulk commodity purchasers are under no pressure to raise prices. Production volume is not affected in a meaningful way by the number of farmers. The labour (including management) required to produce a tonne of any commodity is constantly falling. Farmers are forced to leave the industry due to ever increasing production efficiency. To reduce the volume of production you must take land out of use, either temporarily by creating wildlife reserves or similar, or permanently by creating woodlands, housing estates, airports, roads, etc. Farmer income is not affected in a meaningful way by the production volume. The labour (including management) required to produce a tonne of any commodity is constantly falling. Farmers are forced to leave the industry due to ever increasing production efficiency. This means fewer farmers remain to share the total income from farming between, and each of them can get more. To reduce the number of farmers you must aid the restructuring of farm businesses, amalgamation, transfer to other jobs, retirement etc. Why waste money on reducing the number of farmers? It happens naturally as production efficiency increases. There's no need to spend taxpayer's cash on restructuring farm businesses to keep farmers employed. It seems the vast majority of UK citizens would rather there were no farmers - anywhere. Michael Saunby |
#189
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UK farm profitability to jun 2002
On Tue, 24 Dec 2002 18:12:43 -0000, "Michael Saunby"
wrote: "Torsten Brinch" wrote in message .. . On Tue, 24 Dec 2002 16:48:37 -0000, "Michael Saunby" wrote: Production volume is not affected in a meaningful way by the number of farmers. The labour (including management) required to produce a tonne of any commodity is constantly falling. Farmers are forced to leave the industry due to ever increasing production efficiency. To reduce the volume of production you must take land out of use, either temporarily by creating wildlife reserves or similar, or permanently by creating woodlands, housing estates, airports, roads, etc. Farmer income is not affected in a meaningful way by the production volume. The labour (including management) required to produce a tonne of any commodity is constantly falling. Farmers are forced to leave the industry due to ever increasing production efficiency. This means fewer farmers remain to share the total income from farming between, and each of them can get more. To reduce the number of farmers you must aid the restructuring of farm businesses, amalgamation, transfer to other jobs, retirement etc. Why waste money on reducing the number of farmers? I just explained it. Such that each can have a reasonable income. UK employs 2 % of its workforce producing only 0.8 % of the GDP in agricultural products. Money would seem better spent getting rid of a bunch of old farmers who have gotten use to be fed by society, than to continue supporting this kind of imbalance. It happens naturally as production efficiency increases. Certainly. The current subsidy system is being criticized of promoting 'hyper'-efficiency, by distorting the market for land and agricultural inputs, leading to an artificial high competitive edge for larger farm businesses . This would lead to a mis-allocation of society's resources, just as well as keeping non efficient producers in business will. In the UK, indeed it is apparently the complete middle section which is being forced out of business, rather than the tapering off from top to bottom which would expectedly be seen under the healthy natural development you are referring to. |
#190
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UK farm profitability to jun 2002
"Torsten Brinch" wrote in message ... On Tue, 24 Dec 2002 18:12:43 -0000, "Michael Saunby" wrote: "Torsten Brinch" wrote in message .. . On Tue, 24 Dec 2002 16:48:37 -0000, "Michael Saunby" wrote: Production volume is not affected in a meaningful way by the number of farmers. The labour (including management) required to produce a tonne of any commodity is constantly falling. Farmers are forced to leave the industry due to ever increasing production efficiency. To reduce the volume of production you must take land out of use, either temporarily by creating wildlife reserves or similar, or permanently by creating woodlands, housing estates, airports, roads, etc. Farmer income is not affected in a meaningful way by the production volume. The labour (including management) required to produce a tonne of any commodity is constantly falling. Farmers are forced to leave the industry due to ever increasing production efficiency. This means fewer farmers remain to share the total income from farming between, and each of them can get more. To reduce the number of farmers you must aid the restructuring of farm businesses, amalgamation, transfer to other jobs, retirement etc. Why waste money on reducing the number of farmers? I just explained it. Such that each can have a reasonable income. The UK has "income support" for that. The only reason some farmers aren't eligible is because they own land. If they did sell the land to another farmer then the same quantity of crops would be grown and the nation wouldn't know the difference. UK employs 2 % of its workforce producing only 0.8 % of the GDP in agricultural products. Sad though it is, that's actually quite good for the UK. The vast majority of UK workers contribute very little to GDP, e.g. those working in tourism, teachers, nurses, etc. Money would seem better spent getting rid of a bunch of old farmers who have gotten use to be fed by society, than to continue supporting this kind of imbalance. The farmers only get payments if they produce. The old farmers I know are keeping hold of what land they can, and letting it out, because they don't have very good pensions. The land they own is their pension. The agricultural value of their land is established by the level of subsidy, the development value by government policy - so it's government policy either way. I suppose the laws on inheritance tax and capital gains could be changed to force some to sell up. It happens naturally as production efficiency increases. Certainly. The current subsidy system is being criticized of promoting 'hyper'-efficiency, by distorting the market for land and agricultural inputs, leading to an artificial high competitive edge for larger farm businesses . This would lead to a mis-allocation of society's resources, just as well as keeping non efficient producers in business will. In the UK, indeed it is apparently the complete middle section which is being forced out of business, rather than the tapering off from top to bottom which would expectedly be seen under the healthy natural development you are referring to. Farming is being divided into two distinct industries - a hyper-efficient food production industry and another pretty fields with traditional farming that supports tourism, hobby farming, etc. This seems to be current government policy. I guess farmers must soon choose which game they want to play. Michael Saunby |
#191
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UK farm profitability to jun 2002
Torsten Brinch wrote in message ... On Tue, 24 Dec 2002 16:48:37 -0000, "Michael Saunby" wrote: Farmer income is not affected in a meaningful way by the production volume. The labour (including management) required to produce a tonne of any commodity is constantly falling. Farmers are forced to leave the industry due to ever increasing production efficiency. This means fewer farmers remain to share the total income from farming between, and each of them can get more. except that the price has been falling in real terms since the war, so not only are there less farmers, they are dividing a smaller cake between them. Also as you get less farmers, politically they become less important so the cake can shrink even faster. -- Jim Webster "The pasture of stupidity is unwholesome to mankind" 'Abd-ar-Rahman b. Muhammad b. Khaldun al-Hadrami' |
#192
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UK farm profitability to jun 2002
Torsten Brinch wrote in message ... On Tue, 24 Dec 2002 18:12:43 -0000, "Michael Saunby" wrote: I just explained it. Such that each can have a reasonable income. UK employs 2 % of its workforce producing only 0.8 % of the GDP in agricultural products. by that argument god help virtually the entire civil service In many cases UK employs people who work to cut competitiveness and reduce GDP -- Jim Webster "The pasture of stupidity is unwholesome to mankind" 'Abd-ar-Rahman b. Muhammad b. Khaldun al-Hadrami' |
#193
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UK farm profitability to jun 2002
On Tue, 24 Dec 2002 19:51:03 -0000, "Michael Saunby"
wrote: "Torsten Brinch" wrote in message .. . On Tue, 24 Dec 2002 18:12:43 -0000, "Michael Saunby" wrote: Why waste money on reducing the number of farmers? I just explained it. Such that each can have a reasonable income. The UK has "income support" for that. The only reason some farmers aren't eligible is because they own land. I am aware that UK has an income support system, and that it is meant for those without means to support themselves. If they did sell the land to another farmer then the same quantity of crops would be grown and the nation wouldn't know the difference. But -we- know the difference, the same volume now produced by fewer people, everything else being equal, meaning more profit to each of them, and more efficient production to society. UK employs 2 % of its workforce producing only 0.8 % of the GDP in agricultural products. Sad though it is, that's actually quite good for the UK. The vast majority of UK workers contribute very little to GDP, e.g. those working in tourism, teachers, nurses, etc. Look up the definition of GDP. Money would seem better spent getting rid of a bunch of old farmers who have gotten use to be fed by society, than to continue supporting this kind of imbalance. The farmers only get payments if they produce. That's irrelevant, the question is if they do it efficiently -- if someone could do it more so with the same resources, we should not pay someone to carry on using the same resources to produce inefficiently. (the irrelevancy aside, I am sure you must have heard about decoupling and setaside) The old farmers I know are keeping hold of what land they can, and letting it out, because they don't have very good pensions. The land they own is their pension. As you describe these persons, I would call them speculators in land value, not farmers. The agricultural value of their land is established by the level of subsidy, the development value by government policy - so it's government policy either way. I suppose the laws on inheritance tax and capital gains could be changed to force some to sell up. Yes, that's just a matter of policy. Financing whatever subsidies the agricultural industry may need from a tax on the agricultural value of land would seem to be able to do away with the problem, with minimal market distortion. It happens naturally as production efficiency increases. Certainly. The current subsidy system is being criticized of promoting 'hyper'-efficiency, by distorting the market for land and agricultural inputs, leading to an artificial high competitive edge for larger farm businesses . This would lead to a mis-allocation of society's resources, just as well as keeping non efficient producers in business will. In the UK, indeed it is apparently the complete middle section which is being forced out of business, rather than the tapering off from top to bottom which would expectedly be seen under the healthy natural development you are referring to. Farming is being divided into two distinct industries - a hyper-efficient food production industry and another pretty fields with traditional farming that supports tourism, hobby farming, etc. This seems to be current government policy. I guess farmers must soon choose which game they want to play. Society cannot be interested in promoting hyper-efficient production in the sense that I meant it, I am not sure it can be the intended policy. I see it more like a harmful side effect among many others, of a flawed common agricultural policy. |
#194
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UK farm profitability to jun 2002
"Torsten Brinch" wrote in message ... On Tue, 24 Dec 2002 19:51:03 -0000, "Michael Saunby" wrote: "Torsten Brinch" wrote in message .. . On Tue, 24 Dec 2002 18:12:43 -0000, "Michael Saunby" wrote: Why waste money on reducing the number of farmers? I just explained it. Such that each can have a reasonable income. The UK has "income support" for that. The only reason some farmers aren't eligible is because they own land. I am aware that UK has an income support system, and that it is meant for those without means to support themselves. Not really true. It ensures that people have the means to provide for their family whatever the size of that family however low their income. e.g. even a farmer or cleaner with a family of 10 children will receive enough financial support to ensure that they had food, shelter, etc. If they did sell the land to another farmer then the same quantity of crops would be grown and the nation wouldn't know the difference. But -we- know the difference, the same volume now produced by fewer people, everything else being equal, meaning more profit to each of them, and more efficient production to society. Untrue. Food is now much cheaper. Farmers must compete with each other. Any farmer that manages to grow more on the same land with less labour will make more money. However UK labour costs are extremely high so it hardly ever pays to trade a high labour system for one with low labour and instead use machines, chemicals, and new crop varieties. What is surprising is that the rest of the world hasn't done the same - until you look at the cost of labour in China, etc. UK employs 2 % of its workforce producing only 0.8 % of the GDP in agricultural products. Sad though it is, that's actually quite good for the UK. The vast majority of UK workers contribute very little to GDP, e.g. those working in tourism, teachers, nurses, etc. Look up the definition of GDP. And that would somehow increase the value of what our tourism and health services produce? All these industries have significantly increased the number of people employed in recent years - the present government favours employment in these sectors over efficiency. Surely if you increase the number of people employed in sectors that year on year deliver much the same then GDP has fallen? Granted the number of exams taken per child in our school system has increased quite a lot, but the number of children taught hasn't. Money would seem better spent getting rid of a bunch of old farmers who have gotten use to be fed by society, than to continue supporting this kind of imbalance. The farmers only get payments if they produce. That's irrelevant, the question is if they do it efficiently -- if someone could do it more so with the same resources, we should not pay someone to carry on using the same resources to produce inefficiently. (the irrelevancy aside, I am sure you must have heard about decoupling and setaside) I don't believe farmers do use their resources inefficiently; except when they are directly rewarded by government for doing so. The old farmers I know are keeping hold of what land they can, and letting it out, because they don't have very good pensions. The land they own is their pension. As you describe these persons, I would call them speculators in land value, not farmers. It does seem they have become such - and probably a smart move given the state of UK farming and the ever growing population with its appetite for houses, roads, airports, golf courses, etc. The agricultural value of their land is established by the level of subsidy, the development value by government policy - so it's government policy either way. I suppose the laws on inheritance tax and capital gains could be changed to force some to sell up. Yes, that's just a matter of policy. Financing whatever subsidies the agricultural industry may need from a tax on the agricultural value of land would seem to be able to do away with the problem, with minimal market distortion. It happens naturally as production efficiency increases. Certainly. The current subsidy system is being criticized of promoting 'hyper'-efficiency, by distorting the market for land and agricultural inputs, leading to an artificial high competitive edge for larger farm businesses . This would lead to a mis-allocation of society's resources, just as well as keeping non efficient producers in business will. In the UK, indeed it is apparently the complete middle section which is being forced out of business, rather than the tapering off from top to bottom which would expectedly be seen under the healthy natural development you are referring to. Farming is being divided into two distinct industries - a hyper-efficient food production industry and another pretty fields with traditional farming that supports tourism, hobby farming, etc. This seems to be current government policy. I guess farmers must soon choose which game they want to play. Society cannot be interested in promoting hyper-efficient production in the sense that I meant it, I am not sure it can be the intended policy. I see it more like a harmful side effect among many others, of a flawed common agricultural policy. The food processing industries also benefit from a concentration of production in large scale producers. They don't want farms so big they actually have real power, just large enough to reduce the number of suppliers to ensure they are easily managed. Near where I live is a very large cheese factory, it's a part of one of the largest cheese makers in the world (top 5), which is part of a 3 billion (USD) annual turnover food processing business (www.glanbia.ie) This sort of thing turns food production on its head. There are no dairies, or farmers here that have anything like the financial clout these people have. Quite likely they in turn lack the power of the large supermarkets and pizza manufacturers that they supply. In what is still a largely farming area employment, and wealth, may soon be largely in the hands of food processing businesses. These types of business benefit from every increase in production - cheaper raw materials, and in reduced agricultural employment - more labour for them. And of course they benefit is a very direct way from subsidy, because it provides raw materials at below production costs that they can then turn into a product that can be traded internationally - unlike raw milk. Another local firm produces tinned milk puddings, and another cheese cakes. There's no way these businesses would support anything other than hyper-efficient production; but at least you don't need worry that such production will make farmers rich - that's already been taken care of. That's all from me for now - Merry Christmas everyone. Michael Saunby |
#195
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UK farm profitability to jun 2002
Torsten Brinch wrote in message ... On Tue, 24 Dec 2002 19:51:03 -0000, "Michael Saunby" wrote: The UK has "income support" for that. The only reason some farmers aren't eligible is because they own land. I am aware that UK has an income support system, and that it is meant for those without means to support themselves. no, it is meant to help fund those whose income falls below a set level. Indeed with the current family credit system it seems to support people at levels of income that actually look pretty good. -- Jim Webster "The pasture of stupidity is unwholesome to mankind" 'Abd-ar-Rahman b. Muhammad b. Khaldun al-Hadrami' |
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