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Old 26-04-2003, 12:29 PM
Michael Saunby
 
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Default UK farm profitability to jun 2002


"Torsten Brinch" wrote in message
...
On Mon, 6 Jan 2003 13:56:54 -0000, "Michael Saunby"
wrote:


.. The cost of maintenance of the residential building is not and

may
not be deducted. snip

Of course not, it is not relevant to the business.


It explains why folks need an income though.


I think you can safely assume that folks interested in the topic
of this thread already has a good grasp of why folks need an
income.


But you seem to assume that farmers take all possible profit from their
business as income, whereas the truth is that they will take at most as
much as the business can stand and exactly what they take, and in what
form, will depend on the current tax allowances, their living costs, and
their judgement as to whether to invest further in their business (new
machinery, more land), and many other things. One thing that will guide
all of this is what others are earning in other employment since that is a
fair approximation of what it actually costs to live in the UK.

Michael Saunby


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Old 26-04-2003, 12:29 PM
Jim Webster
 
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Default UK farm profitability to jun 2002


Torsten Brinch wrote in message
...
On Mon, 6 Jan 2003 12:54:28 -0000, "Michael Saunby"
wrote:


.. The cost of maintenance of the residential building is not and

may
not be deducted. snip


Of course not, it is not relevant to the business.


then if it is a business income you are assessing, why are you comparing
with the income of employees. Farmers are not employees.
If you are looking at business profitability then use a business
profitability measure. I would recommend return on capital as a good one
to start with.


--
Jim Webster

"The pasture of stupidity is unwholesome to mankind"

'Abd-ar-Rahman b. Muhammad b. Khaldun al-Hadrami'



  #333   Report Post  
Old 26-04-2003, 12:29 PM
Torsten Brinch
 
Posts: n/a
Default UK farm profitability to jun 2002

On Mon, 6 Jan 2003 14:53:58 -0000, "Michael Saunby"
wrote:


"Torsten Brinch" wrote in message
.. .
On Mon, 6 Jan 2003 13:56:54 -0000, "Michael Saunby"
wrote:


.. The cost of maintenance of the residential building
is not and may not be deducted [to calculate Cash Income].
snip


Of course not, it is not relevant to the business.


It explains why folks need an income though.


I think you can safely assume that folks interested in the topic
of this thread already has a good grasp of why folks need an
income.


.. [Farmers] will take at most as much as the business can stand

snip

Sure, or one should hope so, and Cash Income is a good estimator of
how much that could be.

  #334   Report Post  
Old 26-04-2003, 12:29 PM
Michael Saunby
 
Posts: n/a
Default UK farm profitability to jun 2002


"Torsten Brinch" wrote in message
...
On Mon, 6 Jan 2003 14:53:58 -0000, "Michael Saunby"
wrote:


"Torsten Brinch" wrote in message
.. .
On Mon, 6 Jan 2003 13:56:54 -0000, "Michael Saunby"
wrote:


.. The cost of maintenance of the residential building
is not and may not be deducted [to calculate Cash Income].
snip


Of course not, it is not relevant to the business.


It explains why folks need an income though.


I think you can safely assume that folks interested in the topic
of this thread already has a good grasp of why folks need an
income.


.. [Farmers] will take at most as much as the business can stand

snip

Sure, or one should hope so, and Cash Income is a good estimator of
how much that could be.


Right, so if they take at most what the business can stand, and at least
what they need to live - what happens when what is needed to live exceeds
what the business can stand? Presumably a farming recession. Isn't that
what we now have?

Michael Saunby


  #335   Report Post  
Old 26-04-2003, 12:29 PM
David G. Bell
 
Posts: n/a
Default UK farm profitability to jun 2002

On Monday, in article

"Torsten Brinch" wrote:

On Mon, 6 Jan 2003 09:13:30 -0000, "Michael Saunby"
wrote:


"Torsten Brinch" wrote in message
.. .
The avg income earner in UK had an income in 99/00
of £23400 (males)/£14400(females).
(Source: Survey of Personal Incomes, Board of Inland Revenue)

For comparison, avg farm income (Cash Income, rounded figures):
93/94 94/95 95/96 96/97 97/98 98/99 99/00 00/01
£39000 £43000 £53000 £52000 £41000 £35000 £33000 £31000
(Source: Farm Accounts Book)

Quite interesting that farm incomes £33000 are so close UK avg income
(i.e. 23400+14400) £37800. Though I doubt many others on slightly
less than the average income have quite such expensive to maintain
properties as the average farming family.

Look up the definition of Cash Income.


So it seems farmers are even worse off than that. Bad news.


The point is that the cost of maintenance of property relevant to the
farm business has already been deducted once in the calculation of
the Cash Income figure.


I would argue that Cash Income is misleading because some of these costs
may have been deferred in hard times, and Cash Income will thus not fall
quite so rapidly as other measures. Check the hedges thread for
discussions of how the short-term cash flow can be improved by not
cutting hedges so frequently, at the expense of higher costs later.

This all makes Cash Income a politically useful measure for playing down
the effects of short-term recession. As the financial pressures
continue, I expect some other figure to get the publicity.

Torsten, just which bunch of vultures are you pimping for?



--
David G. Bell -- SF Fan, Filker, and Punslinger.

"Let me get this straight. You're the KGB's core AI, but you're afraid
of a copyright infringement lawsuit over your translator semiotics?"
From "Lobsters" by Charles Stross.


  #336   Report Post  
Old 26-04-2003, 12:29 PM
Torsten Brinch
 
Posts: n/a
Default UK farm profitability to jun 2002

On Mon, 6 Jan 2003 18:01:22 -0000, "Michael Saunby"
wrote:


"Torsten Brinch" wrote in message
.. .
On Mon, 6 Jan 2003 14:53:58 -0000, "Michael Saunby"
wrote:


"Torsten Brinch" wrote in message
.. .
On Mon, 6 Jan 2003 13:56:54 -0000, "Michael Saunby"
wrote:


.. The cost of maintenance of the residential building
is not and may not be deducted [to calculate Cash Income].
snip


Of course not, it is not relevant to the business.


It explains why folks need an income though.


I think you can safely assume that folks interested in the topic
of this thread already has a good grasp of why folks need an
income.


.. [Farmers] will take at most as much as the business can stand

snip

Sure, or one should hope so, and Cash Income is a good estimator of
how much that could be.


Right, so if they take at most what the business can stand, and at least
what they need to live - what happens when what is needed to live exceeds
what the business can stand? Presumably a farming recession. Isn't that
what we now have?

Michael Saunby


  #337   Report Post  
Old 26-04-2003, 12:29 PM
Torsten Brinch
 
Posts: n/a
Default UK farm profitability to jun 2002

On Mon, 6 Jan 2003 18:01:22 -0000, "Michael Saunby"
wrote:


"Torsten Brinch" wrote in message
.. .
On Mon, 6 Jan 2003 14:53:58 -0000, "Michael Saunby"
wrote:


"Torsten Brinch" wrote in message
.. .
On Mon, 6 Jan 2003 13:56:54 -0000, "Michael Saunby"
wrote:


.. The cost of maintenance of the residential building
is not and may not be deducted [to calculate Cash Income].
snip


Of course not, it is not relevant to the business.


It explains why folks need an income though.


I think you can safely assume that folks interested in the topic
of this thread already has a good grasp of why folks need an
income.


.. [Farmers] will take at most as much as the business can stand

snip

Sure, or one should hope so, and Cash Income is a good estimator of
how much that could be.


Right, so if they take at most what the business can stand, and at least
what they need to live - what happens when what is needed to live exceeds
what the business can stand?


It dies. Otoh, Cash income has been on avg. £40000 per farm over the
last several years, so the species is hardly endangered.

  #338   Report Post  
Old 26-04-2003, 12:29 PM
Torsten Brinch
 
Posts: n/a
Default UK farm profitability to jun 2002

On Mon, 06 Jan 2003 13:12:25 +0000 (GMT),
("David G. Bell") wrote:

I would argue that Cash Income is misleading because some of these costs
may have been deferred in hard times, and Cash Income will thus not fall
quite so rapidly as other measures.


You are forgetting, that the reason why the alternative measure which
everyone appear to have been brainwashed with -- Net Farm Income -- is
falling more rapidly is -not- that it involves a correction for this
effect.

You are also forgetting and that the use of Net Farm Income is
considered flat out malpractice, Cash Income the better choice for the
purpose of comparison with other income earners in society, which is
what we are doing here for the moment.

Cash Income figures indicate that the avg ability of farms in UK to
generate Cash Income has dropped to about half of what it was in 1995,
from about £55000 to about £30000.

For comparison, the avg income earner in UK had an income in 99/00 of
£23400 (males)/£14400(females).

This all makes Cash Income a politically useful measure for playing down
the effects of short-term recession. As the financial pressures
continue, I expect some other figure to get the publicity.


Bullshit. If Cash Income was getting all the publicity the churls
over at ukba would have known half a iota about it when it was brought
up. David, they had never heard of it. Tell you why: Net Farm Income
figures and trends gets all the publicity.

Torsten, just which bunch of vultures are you pimping for?


I work for myself. You?

  #339   Report Post  
Old 26-04-2003, 12:29 PM
David G. Bell
 
Posts: n/a
Default UK farm profitability to jun 2002

On Monday, in article

"Torsten Brinch" wrote:

On Mon, 06 Jan 2003 13:12:25 +0000 (GMT),

("David G. Bell") wrote:

I would argue that Cash Income is misleading because some of these costs
may have been deferred in hard times, and Cash Income will thus not fall
quite so rapidly as other measures.


You are forgetting, that the reason why the alternative measure which
everyone appear to have been brainwashed with -- Net Farm Income -- is
falling more rapidly is -not- that it involves a correction for this
effect.


So why don't you tell us just what the difference is?

You are also forgetting and that the use of Net Farm Income is
considered flat out malpractice, Cash Income the better choice for the
purpose of comparison with other income earners in society, which is
what we are doing here for the moment.


Since when? I can assure you that I've not heard that claim before.

Cash Income figures indicate that the avg ability of farms in UK to
generate Cash Income has dropped to about half of what it was in 1995,
from about £55000 to about £30000.


Now, just which "average" is being used? Arithmetic mean? Mode?
Median? And is the average used some other measure of business size, or
is this the average Cash Income? How does it relate to business size an
turnover?

You do know the differences, and why they're important? And what's the
distribution? I'm fairly confident it will not be one of the usual
statistical distributions: it certainly isn't for the holding size.


Oh, what the heck, here's some figures for 1998 -- if you want something
more recent, find them and post them:


Holding Number of Percentage of
Size (Ha) Holdings Total Number

Under 10 48900 28.3%
10 - 30 41900 24.2%
30 - 50 23000 13.3%
50 - 100 29600 17.1%
100 - 200 19000 11.0%
200 - 300 5400 3.1%
300 - 500 3400 2.0%
500 - 700 1000 0.6%
700 and over 800 0.5%





Oh, and BTW, unless you're using the X-no-archive: header, people will
be reading your postings long after the URLs you give have vanished.
How will they know what on earth ypou're talking about?


--
David G. Bell -- SF Fan, Filker, and Punslinger.

"Let me get this straight. You're the KGB's core AI, but you're afraid
of a copyright infringement lawsuit over your translator semiotics?"
From "Lobsters" by Charles Stross.
  #340   Report Post  
Old 26-04-2003, 12:29 PM
Torsten Brinch
 
Posts: n/a
Default UK farm profitability to jun 2002

On Mon, 06 Jan 2003 21:11:20 +0000 (GMT),
("David G. Bell") wrote:

On Monday, in article

"Torsten Brinch" wrote:

On Mon, 06 Jan 2003 13:12:25 +0000 (GMT),

("David G. Bell") wrote:

I would argue that Cash Income is misleading because some of these costs
may have been deferred in hard times, and Cash Income will thus not fall
quite so rapidly as other measures.


You are forgetting, that the reason why the alternative measure which
everyone appear to have been brainwashed with -- Net Farm Income -- is
falling more rapidly is -not- that it involves a correction for this
effect.


So why don't you tell us just what the difference is?


With an example farm, skipping details
Cash receipts 160000
Subtract
Cash expenditures 130000
you get:
Cash Income 30000

Subtract
Deprec. of fixed assets 15000
Subtract
Imputed labour costs 4000 (excl. farmer and spouse)
you get:
Occupier's net income 11000

Add
Deprec.of build&works 4000
Add
Interest payments 5000
Add
Occupiers expenses 500
Subtract
Imputed rent 10500
you get:
Net Farm Income 10000


You are also forgetting and that the use of Net Farm Income is
considered flat out malpractice, Cash Income the better choice for the
purpose of comparison with other income earners in society, which is
what we are doing here for the moment.


Since when? I can assure you that I've not heard that claim before.


I believe you, it is only the third time it has been made on this
thread.

Cash Income figures indicate that the avg ability of farms in UK to
generate Cash Income has dropped to about half of what it was in 1995,
from about £55000 to about £30000.


Now, just which "average" is being used? Arithmetic mean? Mode?
Median? And is the average used some other measure of business size, or
is this the average Cash Income?


When I write average Cash Income, I mean average Cash Income.

How does it relate to business size an turnover?


It doesn't. When I write average,all sizes I mean average, all sizes.

You do know the differences, and why they're important?


Certainly.

And what's the distribution?


We can look at the distributions around the means later, if you wish.

I'm fairly confident it will not be one of the usual
statistical distributions: it certainly isn't for the holding size.


Right. There are interesting patterns in the distributions of Cash
Incomes, particularly when you look at the data grouped by farm type.

Oh, what the heck, here's some figures for 1998 -- if you want something
more recent, find them and post them:


Holding Number of Percentage of
Size (Ha) Holdings Total Number

Under 10 48900 28.3%
10 - 30 41900 24.2%
30 - 50 23000 13.3%
50 - 100 29600 17.1%
100 - 200 19000 11.0%
200 - 300 5400 3.1%
300 - 500 3400 2.0%
500 - 700 1000 0.6%
700 and over 800 0.5%


Thanks, well, that's rather straight Pareto.

Oh, and BTW, unless you're using the X-no-archive: header, people will
be reading your postings long after the URLs you give have vanished.
How will they know what on earth ypou're talking about?


There seems to be a more immediate problem in that I am posting to
ukba *now* using current standard terms for measures of Farm Income
and noone seems to know what I am talking about.



  #342   Report Post  
Old 26-04-2003, 12:29 PM
Hamish Macbeth
 
Posts: n/a
Default UK farm profitability to jun 2002


"Jim Webster" wrote in message
...
You then compared the income of a business with the income of an
employee, a procedure that can only be described as fatuous.



Turnover per employee and profit per employee are valid parameters to
analyse a companies performance.


  #343   Report Post  
Old 26-04-2003, 12:29 PM
Jim Webster
 
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Default UK farm profitability to jun 2002


Hamish Macbeth wrote in message
...

"Jim Webster" wrote in message
...
You then compared the income of a business with the income of an
employee, a procedure that can only be described as fatuous.



Turnover per employee and profit per employee are valid parameters

to
analyse a companies performance.


true, but what do you do with an industry where many of the
participlating businesses have no employees? Even on farms with
employees, the proportion of the work done by the self employed or
owners/partners is far higher than, say, Tesco.
Obviously it would be an interesting exercise to compare UK farm
profitability with some other industry which is also predominantly run
on owner/family labour, perhaps small corner shops.
The problem with comparisons is that you have to chose a common factor
to compare. So that is why I chose return on capital. Most businesses do
function on invested capital. (although obviously there are exceptions
here as well.)


--
Jim Webster

"The pasture of stupidity is unwholesome to mankind"

'Abd-ar-Rahman b. Muhammad b. Khaldun al-Hadrami'






  #344   Report Post  
Old 26-04-2003, 12:29 PM
Hamish Macbeth
 
Posts: n/a
Default UK farm profitability to jun 2002

Xref: 127.0.0.1 uk.business.agricultu95998 sci.agricultu60239


"Jim Webster" wrote in message
...

Hamish Macbeth wrote in message

So that is why I chose return on capital. Most businesses do
function on invested capital.



But what figure do you use as capital when you own the farm?

To give a non-farming analogy. Lord Bath owns the Longleat Estate and runs a
bussiness from it.
Do you treat the value of the estate as the captitol and consider the
turnover and profits in relationship to that?

Or do you think his family already owned it as a private property and
utilise it to earn cash. A bit like someone owning a family car and earning
a little extra money weekends doing private car hire.

If you count the value of the estate as the capitol then you will probably
deduce he could do better putting the money in the building society and that
he is running the bussiness on poor returns.
If you treat it as a mechanism by which he enjoys the continued ownership of
a vast estate that otherwise would be lost to his heirs in taxes and the
capitol is only the extras spent purely to run the business, then the return
on capitol can look very good.

Your farm may be worth a million pounds as bare land and fixed buildings but
you could count this as something you own and you run a business to
maintain your possesion. in which case only the non-fixtures count as
business capitol.

A farm is somewhat different to most businesses, say a hairdressers or
retail shop where the bussiness premisses are normally not part of the
owners private and personal life. There is not the seperation between what
is enjoyed as a personal posestion and life enhancement and what is the
source of income.

I know that the whole thiing may have been bought under a business loan but
there is still the duality with a farm that does not exist in most business
activities.


  #345   Report Post  
Old 26-04-2003, 12:29 PM
Tim Lamb
 
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Default UK farm profitability to jun 2002

In article , Torsten Brinch
writes
There seems to be a more immediate problem in that I am posting to
ukba *now* using current standard terms for measures of Farm Income
and noone seems to know what I am talking about.


Not enough to argue it, anyway.

If your end objective is to convince us that farmers are well rewarded
why start from an obscure accounting system.

In your example, a gross turnover of 290,000 puts the operation in the
100-200ha size (my guess) and hardly representative of an average farm
business.

regards


--
Tim Lamb
 
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