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Bad winter coming - Exacta weather
On 2013-11-08 11:19:45 +0000, Ophelia said:
Copied from another group: ~~~ The Farmers Almanac this year predicts a hard winter. I have my own indicators - a heavy crop of crab apples, of winter pears and a heavy but very late crop of grapes on my vine, huge crop of conkers and lots of beech mast (earlier in the year). Isn't that just a sign that we had a decent summer, and most of the flowers set? Most of these amateur long range forecasts are based on predicting headline events, such as heavy snow, widespread ice in the winter; and violent thunderstorms, very hot days in the summer. They concentrate on these because the general public remember them and will think to themselves "oh Mr Bloggitt forecast heavy snow way back in October, he must be a genius" forgetting that the actual prediction for the heavy snow was so wishywashy and undefined that it could occur at any time between November and March (as indeed heavy snow can occur at any time during that period, for a few days, even in a winter that is milder than average overall). The winter (1 Dec to Feb 28/9 officially) of 2010/11 was a good example. We had large quantities of snow well before Christmas, and some very icy weather around the festive period, but after that Jan and Feb 2011 were quite mild, and yet the media were still waffling about Siberian winters becoming more commonplace (and other such nonsense) well into one of the mildest Februarys for many years. The darned squirrels have nearly cultivated my garden with their frenetic burying of foodstuffs. That's good enough for me – If the squirrels say it’s going to be ‘ard it’s going to be ‘ard!. ~~~ I guess all we can do is wait and see |
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