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-   -   Tsunami preparedness in the UK ? (https://www.gardenbanter.co.uk/united-kingdom/88286-re-tsunami-preparedness-uk.html)

Mike 02-01-2005 03:15 PM

Tsunami preparedness in the UK ?
 
What are the views of those on uk.rec.gardening if it happens, and who will
it effect?

I am about 50 metres inland from the Cliff Walk between Sandown and Shanklin
on the Isle of Wight and about 50 metres above sea level. But the Island
could very well become 3 Islands again.

Mike, on the Isle(s) of Wight?

--
H.M.S.Collingwood Ass. Llandudno 20 - 23 May Trip to Portmeirion
National Service (RAF) Ass. Cosford 24 - 27 June Lanc Bomber Fly Past
H.M.S.Impregnable Ass. Sussex 1 - 3 July Visit to Int. Fest of the Sea
British Pacific Fleet. Derby 2 - 5 Sept. Visit to Denby Pottery
"Paul Nutteing" wrote in message
news:984eea129a9b68ab29a6084d6d0b3635.111419@mygat e.mailgate.org...
I cannot find reference to a warning procedure for the UK
concerning following or similar event
http://www.guardian.co.uk/uk_news/st...279710,00.html
Tuesday August 10, 2004
... Bill McGuire, the director of the Benfield Grieg Hazard Research
Centre at University College London, said a huge chunk of rock, roughly
the size of the Isle of Man, was on the brink of breaking off the
volcanic island of La Palma in the Canaries.
When - Professor McGuire says it is not a matter of if - the rock
plunges into the ocean it will trigger giant waves called mega-tsunamis.
Travelling at speeds of up to 560mph, the huge walls of water will tear
across the ocean and hit islands and continents, leaving a trail of
destruction.
Mega-tsunami waves are much longer than the ones we are used to.
"When one of these comes in, it keeps on coming for 10 to 15 minutes,"
Prof McGuire said.
"It's like a huge wall of water that just keeps coming."
Computer models of the island's collapse show the first regions to be
hit, with waves topping 100 metres (330ft), will be the neighbouring
Canary Islands. Within a few hours the west coast of Africa will be
battered with similar-sized waves.
Between nine and 12 hours after the island collapses, waves between 20
and 50 metres high will have crossed 4,000 miles of ocean to crash into
the Caribbean islands and the eastern seaboard of the US and Canada.
The worst-hit will be harbours and estuaries, which will channel the
waves inland. The loss of life and destruction to property will probably
be immense, according to Prof McGuire.
Britain would not escape entirely, he added. Waves of around 10 metres
are likely to strike the south coast four to five hours after the island
collapses, causing damage to seaside resorts and ports. ...

I am a "flood warden" for our area - grandiose term for
just being at the receiving end of computer generated Environment
Agency message
to pass on tho others in the locale.
Only in theory as phone link was checked when I
voluntered about 4 years ago and I could easily have
changed address or phone number since.
And no mention on the EA site that this river and sea flood
warning system would be activated in a La Palma
or mid-Atlantic ridge sub-sea earthquake event
Buried on their site on a PDF file


http://www.environment-agency.gov.uk...arden_661682.p
df
Flood Wardens
... They consist of nominated
volunteers who receive
direct flood warnings from
the Agency and pass these
on to their neighbours. The number of flood wardens will
depend on the size of the community and may be operated
by a single individual.
Each flood warden will have a certain area that he/she will
look after and by working together with the Environment
Agency ensure their community is prepared for flooding. ...


What they aren't telling you about DNA profiles
and what Special Branch don't want you to know.
http://www.nutteing.50megs.com/dnapr.htm
or nutteingd in a search engine

Valid email (remove 4 of the 5 dots)
Ignore any other apparent em address used to post this message -
it is defunct due to spam.


--
Posted via Mailgate.ORG Server -
http://www.Mailgate.ORG




Alan Gould 02-01-2005 03:59 PM

In article , Mike
writes
What are the views of those on uk.rec.gardening if it happens, and who will
it effect?

In North Lincolnshire we are often told that we shall be under sea-water
within 50-100 years due to global warming. Who needs a tsunami?
--
Alan & Joan Gould - North Lincs.

Bob Hobden 02-01-2005 04:09 PM


"Mike" wrote ...
What are the views of those on uk.rec.gardening if it happens, and who
will
it effect?

The nearest tectonic plates to us are in the N.Atlantic and are divergent
boundaries causing the N.Atlantic Ridge, because these plates are pulling
apart there is little chance of a tsunami being caused. The plate boundaries
in S E Asia are convergent which is why they suddenly moved 100 ft over one
another, when they overcame the friction between themselves, causing the
waves.
I would be more worried about the effects of the change in the earths
rotation caused by this earthquake.

--
Regards
Bob
In Runnymede, 17 miles West of London



JennyC 02-01-2005 04:16 PM


"Mike" wrote in message ...
What are the views of those on uk.rec.gardening if it happens, and who will
it effect?

I am about 50 metres inland from the Cliff Walk between Sandown and Shanklin
on the Isle of Wight and about 50 metres above sea level. But the Island
could very well become 3 Islands again.

Mike, on the Isle(s) of Wight?


I live 6 metres below sea level..................lets hope the polar ice stays
where it is (and frozen!)
Jenny



Mike 02-01-2005 05:08 PM



The nearest tectonic plates


not talking plate movement, but big chucks of rock.



Douglas[_1_] 02-01-2005 05:29 PM

If the Clyde or ice doesn't get me, then a terrorist attack on Faslane probably will.........

Great, eh?

Brian Watson 02-01-2005 05:49 PM


"Mike" wrote in message
...
What are the views of those on uk.rec.gardening if it happens, and who
will
it effect?


Anyone without a stout pair of Wellington boots.

--
Brian
Sig: I have nothing more to say



Brian Watson 02-01-2005 05:50 PM


"Mike" wrote in message
...


The nearest tectonic plates


not talking plate movement, but big chucks of rock.


Rock has been blamed for all society's ills since 1953.

--
Brian
Henry Fielding: "All Nature wears one universal grin"



Mike 02-01-2005 06:04 PM


Oh no! something else to be frightened about!



Where do you differentiate between "frightened of" and "aware of" ?



Broadback 02-01-2005 06:14 PM

Mike wrote:

Oh no! something else to be frightened about!




Where do you differentiate between "frightened of" and "aware of" ?


The chance of a Tsunami in this country is remote. What is of far more
concern is a huge storm as happened in the 50s, affecting the South
coast. It is entirely feasible that the Thames barrier could be
breached. I know there are many who think they have too much down
there, but should that happen then London would be devastated, and hence
the whole country bankrupted, the income from the city would be lost.
Why everything needs to be based there puzzles me, even 99% of broadband
is there.

Paul Nutteing 02-01-2005 06:23 PM

"Broadback" wrote in message
...
Mike wrote:

Oh no! something else to be frightened about!




Where do you differentiate between "frightened of" and "aware of" ?


The chance of a Tsunami in this country is remote. What is of far more
concern is a huge storm as happened in the 50s, affecting the South
coast. It is entirely feasible that the Thames barrier could be
breached. I know there are many who think they have too much down
there, but should that happen then London would be devastated, and hence
the whole country bankrupted, the income from the city would be lost.
Why everything needs to be based there puzzles me, even 99% of broadband
is there.


In historical times the Great Channel Storm
http://www.mybrightonandhove.org.uk/...96_history.htm
...
'The worst storm in recorded history was probably the Great Channel Storm of
26 November 1703 which is estimated to have killed 8,000 people in England.
Over a period of eight hours at Brighton a number of houses were demolished
or lost their roofs, the town windmills were flattened, several boats and
crews were lost, and the lead was ripped from the roof of the parish church.
...
Did the Chessil Bank appear and Bramble Island in the Solent become
the Bramble Bank in the same storm ?

What they aren't telling you about DNA profiles
and what Special Branch don't want you to know.
http://www.nutteing.50megs.com/dnapr.htm
or nutteingd in a search engine

Valid email (remove 4 of the 5 dots)
Ignore any other apparent em address used to post this message -
it is defunct due to spam.




Mike 02-01-2005 06:38 PM

"Brian Watson" wrote in message
...

"Mike" wrote in message
...
What are the views of those on uk.rec.gardening if it happens, and who
will
it effect?


Anyone without a stout pair of Wellington boots.


Depending where you live, it might be thigh boots :-))

--
H.M.S.Collingwood Ass. Llandudno 20 - 23 May Trip to Portmeirion
National Service (RAF) Ass. Cosford 24 - 27 June Lanc Bomber Fly Past
H.M.S.Impregnable Ass. Sussex 1 - 3 July Visit to Int. Fest of the Sea
British Pacific Fleet. Derby 2 - 5 Sept. Visit to Denby Pottery





Mike 02-01-2005 07:29 PM

, but should that happen then London would be devastated, and hence
the whole country bankrupted,



and don't you think that contingency plans are not in place?

Do you think that everything is just nice and cosy and all tied up in London
and that if/when something happens it will be a case of 'Don't panic Mr
Mainwairing' and everyone will be running around like headless chickens?

Fear not, emergency plans are already drawn up and ready for such an
emergency. 24 hours or less and everything will be up and running . . . . .
.. . . . . . . out of London of course. When I was with the GPO in the
Midlands, one of the places was Royal Leamington Spa as the main HQ and when
I was transferred to the Isle of Wight, I was actually working on the
emergency planning side of the telephone system and you would be rather
surprised at where one of the units on the Island was!! AND who were going
to be involved and 'protected' in the case of a Nuke attack!!

OK that was in the 60's and 70's, but I am quite certain the plans are still
in place. only a more modern set!!

Mike



Charlie 02-01-2005 07:48 PM

Mike wrote:
Oh no! something else to be frightened about!




Where do you differentiate between "frightened of" and "aware of" ?



It's pretty old news regurgitated.

I wonder where you differentiate between being someone being serious
and someone having a laugh :)


Charlie


--
www.peartreegreen.org

DZ-015 02-01-2005 07:57 PM

"Huge" wrote in message

and don't you think that contingency plans are not in place?


No.


What about Bedford? Have they nicked the sandbags from around the temporary
road signs yet?



Paul Nutteing 02-01-2005 08:21 PM

"Mike" wrote in message
...
, but should that happen then London would be devastated, and hence
the whole country bankrupted,



and don't you think that contingency plans are not in place?

Do you think that everything is just nice and cosy and all tied up in

London
and that if/when something happens it will be a case of 'Don't panic Mr
Mainwairing' and everyone will be running around like headless chickens?

Fear not, emergency plans are already drawn up and ready for such an
emergency. 24 hours or less and everything will be up and running . . . .

..
. . . . . . . out of London of course. When I was with the GPO in the
Midlands, one of the places was Royal Leamington Spa as the main HQ and

when
I was transferred to the Isle of Wight, I was actually working on the
emergency planning side of the telephone system and you would be rather
surprised at where one of the units on the Island was!! AND who were going
to be involved and 'protected' in the case of a Nuke attack!!

OK that was in the 60's and 70's, but I am quite certain the plans are

still
in place. only a more modern set!!

Mike



A lot depends on psychology - if some official
ignores it then the chain stops there.
How long was it before fighter/interceptor
planes were launched on 9/11 ?No conspiracy -
just someone not believing what
they were hearing.

What they aren't telling you about DNA profiles
and what Special Branch don't want you to know.
http://www.nutteing.50megs.com/dnapr.htm
or nutteingd in a search engine

Valid email (remove 4 of the 5 dots)
Ignore any other apparent em address used to post this message -
it is defunct due to spam.



Dave Liquorice 02-01-2005 09:56 PM

On Sun, 2 Jan 2005 18:38:21 +0000 (UTC), Mike wrote:

Anyone without a stout pair of Wellington boots.


Depending where you live, it might be thigh boots :-))


Think I'll go for razor wire, a few shot guns and lots of ammo. If a
tsunami gets us then there isn't going to be much left of Europe let
alone the UK.

--
Cheers Dave.
Nr Garrigill, Cumbria. 421m ASL. pam is missing e-mail





mrmalins 02-01-2005 10:02 PM


"Charlie" wrote in message
...
Mike wrote:
Oh no! something else to be frightened about!




Where do you differentiate between "frightened of" and "aware of" ?



It's pretty old news regurgitated.

I wonder where you differentiate between being someone being serious and
someone having a laugh :)


Charlie


--
www.peartreegreen.org



No point in bothering about the garden anymore then ? suppose we could make
a water feature of it. john .m



Bob Hobden 02-01-2005 10:55 PM


"Mike" wrote ...


The nearest tectonic plates


not talking plate movement, but big chucks of rock.


Falling from the sky or falling off the Canaries in one lump?

--
Regards
Bob
In Runnymede, 17 miles West of London



Dave Liquorice 03-01-2005 12:02 AM

On Sun, 2 Jan 2005 22:55:52 -0000, Bob Hobden wrote:

not talking plate movement, but big chucks of rock.


Falling from the sky or falling off the Canaries in one lump?


Both.

--
Cheers
Dave. pam is missing e-mail




Douglas[_1_] 03-01-2005 12:58 AM

If a
tsunami gets us then there isn't going to be much left of Europe let
alone the UK.


..... At least the plants will get wattered ;-)


I'm getting back on topic again, I apologise.

gp 03-01-2005 02:39 AM

wrote:


The main risk is the big piece of rock which is expected to fall off
an island in the Canaries, generate a tidal wave that will wipe out
the East Coats of the USA and not do a lot of good to the low
countries.


Atlantic City - no harm there
Philadelphia - ditto
New York - a tragedy

Mike 03-01-2005 08:16 AM


not talking plate movement, but big chucks of rock.


Falling from the sky or falling off the Canaries in one lump?

--


The latter



Dave Liquorice 03-01-2005 11:29 AM

On Mon, 3 Jan 2005 00:58:51 +0000, Douglas wrote:

..... At least the plants will get wattered ;-)


Lack of rain isn't normally a problem up here either, Jul to Dec 2004
inches per month: 2, 9, 3, 6, 3, 4.

--
Cheers
Dave. pam is missing e-mail




Cerumen 03-01-2005 11:30 AM


wrote in message
...
On Sun, 2 Jan 2005 16:09:33 -0000, "Bob Hobden"
wrote:

The main risk is the big piece of rock which is expected to fall off
an island in the Canaries, generate a tidal wave that will wipe out
the East Coats of the USA and not do a lot of good to the low
countries.

Apparently a tsunami hit the west coast of Ireland in 1775 ? after a
seismic event near the Azores and Canaries causing some considerable
damage..


--

Chris Thomas
West Cork
Ireland





Brian Watson 03-01-2005 11:45 AM


wrote in message
...
On Mon, 3 Jan 2005 02:39:19 +0000, (gp)
wrote:

wrote:


The main risk is the big piece of rock which is expected to fall off
an island in the Canaries, generate a tidal wave that will wipe out
the East Coast of the USA and not do a lot of good to the low
countries.


Atlantic City - no harm there
Philadelphia - ditto
New York - a tragedy


Good bye Florida and brother Bush?


Not all bad news then.

--
Brian
Henry Fielding: "All Nature wears one universal grin"



June Hughes 03-01-2005 11:57 AM

In message , Cerumen
writes

wrote in message
.. .
On Sun, 2 Jan 2005 16:09:33 -0000, "Bob Hobden"
wrote:

The main risk is the big piece of rock which is expected to fall off
an island in the Canaries, generate a tidal wave that will wipe out
the East Coats of the USA and not do a lot of good to the low
countries.

Apparently a tsunami hit the west coast of Ireland in 1775 ? after a
seismic event near the Azores and Canaries causing some considerable
damage..

I believe that was the earthquake and tsunami that wiped out Lisbon.
--
June Hughes

Nick Maclaren 03-01-2005 12:31 PM

In article ,
wrote:
On Sun, 2 Jan 2005 16:09:33 -0000, "Bob Hobden"
wrote:
"Mike" wrote ...
What are the views of those on uk.rec.gardening if it happens, and who
will
it effect?

The nearest tectonic plates to us are in the N.Atlantic and are divergent
boundaries causing the N.Atlantic Ridge, because these plates are pulling
apart there is little chance of a tsunami being caused. The plate boundaries
in S E Asia are convergent which is why they suddenly moved 100 ft over one
another, when they overcame the friction between themselves, causing the
waves.
I would be more worried about the effects of the change in the earths
rotation caused by this earthquake.


The main risk is the big piece of rock which is expected to fall off
an island in the Canaries, generate a tidal wave that will wipe out
the East Coats of the USA and not do a lot of good to the low
countries.


You may be right that divergent plates will cause less of a shock wave
than convergent ones, but I should be flabberghasted if they couldn't
cause enough of one to cause trouble, given the shallowing and focussing
of the Channel. Without doing some precise modelling, I can't say what
effects that would have on the UK, but it is relatively unlikely to be a
major event. Probably not more than 100,000 dead.

However, it is NOT true that the UK is safe from earthquakes. There
have been some Richter 5+ events on the mainland (including one that
killed two people, our only deaths), but there has been a Richter 6.0
under the Dogger bank. If that occurred under London, the carnage
could be immense, and it is not completely impossible. But it is
pretty unlikely.

However, the most likely cause of water-borne carnage is a certainty
in the next century or so, but our wonderful government is attempting
(and failing) to hide it using terrorism legislation. Probably so
that they can say "But we couldn't POSSIBLY have known" and the
resulting enquiry will acquit them of all negligence.


Regards,
Nick Maclaren.

Nick Maclaren 03-01-2005 12:34 PM

In article , Mike wrote:
, but should that happen then London would be devastated, and hence
the whole country bankrupted,


and don't you think that contingency plans are not in place?


I know that they aren't. They were a bit ricketty when the Blessed
Margaret took over, so she abolished the mechanism for maintaining
them.


Regards,
Nick Maclaren.

June Hughes 03-01-2005 02:20 PM

In message ,
writes
On Mon, 3 Jan 2005 11:57:00 +0000, June Hughes
wrote:

In message , Cerumen
writes

wrote in message
...
On Sun, 2 Jan 2005 16:09:33 -0000, "Bob Hobden"
wrote:

The main risk is the big piece of rock which is expected to fall off
an island in the Canaries, generate a tidal wave that will wipe out
the East Coats of the USA and not do a lot of good to the low
countries.

Apparently a tsunami hit the west coast of Ireland in 1775 ? after a
seismic event near the Azores and Canaries causing some considerable
damage..

I believe that was the earthquake and tsunami that wiped out Lisbon.


When did everybody start calling a tidal wave a tsunami and why?

Why not use the Japanese word for earthquake too?

Dunno. I had never heard of one until there was a programme on TV
around a year or so ago.
--
June Hughes

Franz Heymann 03-01-2005 02:22 PM


"Mike" wrote in message
...
What are the views of those on uk.rec.gardening if it happens, and

who will
it effect?

I am about 50 metres inland from the Cliff Walk between Sandown and

Shanklin
on the Isle of Wight and about 50 metres above sea level. But the

Island
could very well become 3 Islands again.


Unless I am mistaken, there is no plate boundary nearby, nor are there
any active submarine volcanoes around there, so you will probably be
OK. I think you will be reasonably shielded from that island in the
Canaries, part of which is expected to dslide off into the Atlantic at
any time now. They say when it goes, that will be the end of New
York.

Franz



Franz Heymann 03-01-2005 02:26 PM


"Brian Watson" wrote in message
...

wrote in message
...
On Mon, 3 Jan 2005 02:39:19 +0000, (gp)
wrote:

wrote:


The main risk is the big piece of rock which is expected to fall

off
an island in the Canaries, generate a tidal wave that will wipe

out
the East Coast of the USA and not do a lot of good to the low
countries.

Atlantic City - no harm there
Philadelphia - ditto
New York - a tragedy


Good bye Florida and brother Bush?


Not all bad news then.


Would that we'd be so lucky!

Franz



Franz Heymann 03-01-2005 02:30 PM


wrote in message
...
On Mon, 3 Jan 2005 11:57:00 +0000, June Hughes
wrote:

In message , Cerumen
writes

wrote in message
. ..
On Sun, 2 Jan 2005 16:09:33 -0000, "Bob Hobden"
wrote:

The main risk is the big piece of rock which is expected to fall

off
an island in the Canaries, generate a tidal wave that will wipe

out
the East Coats of the USA and not do a lot of good to the low
countries.

Apparently a tsunami hit the west coast of Ireland in 1775 ? after

a
seismic event near the Azores and Canaries causing some

considerable
damage..

I believe that was the earthquake and tsunami that wiped out

Lisbon.

When did everybody start calling a tidal wave a tsunami and why?


Not long ago, because it sounds so knowledgeable.

Why not use the Japanese word for earthquake too?

Perhaps becaise it might be unpronounceable?

Franz



Franz Heymann 03-01-2005 02:36 PM


wrote in message
...
On Sun, 2 Jan 2005 17:16:35 +0100, "JennyC"

wrote:


"Mike" wrote in message

...
What are the views of those on uk.rec.gardening if it happens,

and who will
it effect?

I am about 50 metres inland from the Cliff Walk between Sandown

and Shanklin
on the Isle of Wight and about 50 metres above sea level. But the

Island
could very well become 3 Islands again.

Mike, on the Isle(s) of Wight?


I live 6 metres below sea level..................lets hope the

polar ice stays
where it is (and frozen!)


I'm 7 metres above :-)


How sound is the structure below you?

Franz



Mike 03-01-2005 02:40 PM

Unless I am mistaken, there is no plate boundary nearby, nor are there
any active submarine volcanoes around there, so you will probably be
OK.


So glad :-)) I have so much to do :-))

I think you will be reasonably shielded from that island in the
Canaries, part of which is expected to dslide off into the Atlantic at
any time now.


"At any time now" in relation to when ;-)) ?
Rather like the notice on the shut shop, "Back soon". Next October is 'soon'
with respect to Christmas 2025

They say when it goes, that will be the end of New
York.


I believe that if that is the case, 'something' would have been done by now
if 'any time now' relates to this year!!


Mike
not holding his breath ;-)



Franz Heymann 03-01-2005 02:42 PM


"mrmalins" wrote in message
...

"Charlie" wrote in message
...
Mike wrote:
Oh no! something else to be frightened about!




Where do you differentiate between "frightened of" and "aware of"

?



It's pretty old news regurgitated.

I wonder where you differentiate between being someone being

serious and
someone having a laugh :)


Charlie


--
www.peartreegreen.org



No point in bothering about the garden anymore then ? suppose we

could make
a water feature of it. john .m


A salt-water pond kitted up with seaweed?

Franz





Tim Challenger 03-01-2005 02:53 PM

On Mon, 3 Jan 2005 14:40:51 +0000 (UTC), Mike wrote:

They say when it goes, that will be the end of New
York.


I believe that if that is the case, 'something' would have been done by now
if 'any time now' relates to this year!!


And what would you suggest that "they" do? Get a couple of big sticks and
prop it up? You'd need a lot of string and blu-tac to hold back 500 billion
tons of rock.

--
Tim C.

JennyC 03-01-2005 03:27 PM


"Douglas" wrote in message
...

If a
tsunami gets us then there isn't going to be much left of Europe let
alone the UK.

.... At least the plants will get wattered ;-)

Yeah, but it's salt water. how will this affect growing crops in the near
futire?
Jenny


I'm getting back on topic again, I apologise.


--
Douglas




Tim Challenger 03-01-2005 04:05 PM

On Mon, 03 Jan 2005 16:40:04 +0100, wrote:

On Mon, 3 Jan 2005 16:27:03 +0100, "JennyC" wrote:


"Douglas" wrote in message
...

If a
tsunami gets us then there isn't going to be much left of Europe let
alone the UK.

.... At least the plants will get wattered ;-)

Yeah, but it's salt water. how will this affect growing crops in the near
futire?


Who said it's going to happen in the near future?

New Scientist October 7th, 2000:

"It is reassuring that the Cumbre Vieja isn't going to collapse
spontaneously," he[*] says. But it's also worrying. After all, the volcano
erupts once every few decades.
"It's unlikely that the volcano will collapse during the next eruption," he
says, and it may take many more before the fault finally gives. But when it
does give, watch out Florida.


and from NS 29 August 2001
"If the flank collapses, which Day expects to happen sometime in the next
few thousand years ...."

So, not any time soon. Unless we're really unlucky.


* Simon Day of the Benfield Greig Hazard Research Centre at University
College London, who discovered that a huge chunk of La Palma, the most
volcanically active island in the Canaries, is now unstable.
--
Tim C.

Bob Hobden 03-01-2005 04:31 PM


"Nick Maclaren" wrote ..
after "Bob Hobden"
The nearest tectonic plates to us are in the N.Atlantic and are divergent
boundaries causing the N.Atlantic Ridge, because these plates are pulling
apart there is little chance of a tsunami being caused. The plate
boundaries
in S E Asia are convergent which is why they suddenly moved 100 ft over
one
another, when they overcame the friction between themselves, causing the
waves.
I would be more worried about the effects of the change in the earths
rotation caused by this earthquake.


You may be right that divergent plates will cause less of a shock wave
than convergent ones, but I should be flabberghasted if they couldn't
cause enough of one to cause trouble, given the shallowing and focussing
of the Channel. Without doing some precise modelling, I can't say what
effects that would have on the UK, but it is relatively unlikely to be a
major event. Probably not more than 100,000 dead.


We are partly protected from the N. Atlantic by Ireland and the coast that
is exposed is high and used to big waves so I can't see serious problems
caused by tectonic plate movement there when it's so far below the surface.
Of course if it gets channelled up the Channel then the S. coast could
suffer badly all the way to the S. Downs but there are a lot of ifs and buts
for that to happen. The Seven Bore might be a little bigger than normal too!


However, it is NOT true that the UK is safe from earthquakes. There
have been some Richter 5+ events on the mainland (including one that
killed two people, our only deaths), but there has been a Richter 6.0
under the Dogger bank. If that occurred under London, the carnage
could be immense, and it is not completely impossible. But it is
pretty unlikely.


True, never said we were. However we don't normally get anything we notice
unless we are a scientist.


However, the most likely cause of water-borne carnage is a certainty
in the next century or so, but our wonderful government is attempting
(and failing) to hide it using terrorism legislation. Probably so
that they can say "But we couldn't POSSIBLY have known" and the
resulting enquiry will acquit them of all negligence.


Could you explain that Nick? Are we back to the Canaries again?

--
Regards
Bob
In Runnymede, 17 miles West of London




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