Froma friend in the energy industry:

I found this on a website at work:
Weathermen put the UK on 'amber alert'
The Met Office has put the UK energy industry on 'amber alert' for a
colder than average winter.

It has written to energy companies and many other contingency
planners because, it says, "a prolonged, severe winter is one of the
biggest
threats to the efficient day-to-day running of the country".

According to the weather experts, the long-range forecast signals a
dry winter across much of the UK.

Since 1995-96, winters in the UK have been mild, giving many the
impression that mild winters are now the norm. Even an average winter
could
come as a surprise to many, says the Met Office, which is now based in
Devon.


pk

Ah. Now down in Devon!! Back to the Seaweed routine eh?

If they are unable to forecast with much accuracy a month ahead, how can
they all of a sudden predict a bad winter? Wait and watch by next Spring you
will know the answer, not that I will be here for all the winter.

Mike


"p.k." wrote in message
...
Froma friend in the energy industry:

I found this on a website at work:
Weathermen put the UK on 'amber alert'
The Met Office has put the UK energy industry on 'amber alert' for a
colder than average winter.

It has written to energy companies and many other contingency
planners because, it says, "a prolonged, severe winter is one of the
biggest
threats to the efficient day-to-day running of the country".

According to the weather experts, the long-range forecast signals a
dry winter across much of the UK.

Since 1995-96, winters in the UK have been mild, giving many the
impression that mild winters are now the norm. Even an average winter
could
come as a surprise to many, says the Met Office, which is now based in
Devon.


pk

Methinks they are predicting a blocking situation with persistent easterlies
bring cold,dry weather to the south of England but milder conditions
elsewhere.

This has been discussed on the uk.sci.weather newsgroup under the thread of
'Winter Forecast'.
________________
Nick G


"p.k." wrote in message
...
Froma friend in the energy industry:

I found this on a website at work:
Weathermen put the UK on 'amber alert'
The Met Office has put the UK energy industry on 'amber alert' for a
colder than average winter.

It has written to energy companies and many other contingency
planners because, it says, "a prolonged, severe winter is one of the
biggest
threats to the efficient day-to-day running of the country".

According to the weather experts, the long-range forecast signals a
dry winter across much of the UK.

Since 1995-96, winters in the UK have been mild, giving many the
impression that mild winters are now the norm. Even an average winter
could
come as a surprise to many, says the Met Office, which is now based in
Devon.


pk

"Nick G" wrote in message
...
Methinks they are predicting a blocking situation with persistent
easterlies
bring cold,dry weather to the south of England but milder conditions
elsewhere.

This has been discussed on the uk.sci.weather newsgroup under the thread
of
'Winter Forecast'.
________________


Between early Jan and end of March please :-))

Mike

Mike wrote:

"Nick G" wrote in message
...

Methinks they are predicting a blocking situation with persistent

easterlies

bring cold,dry weather to the south of England but milder conditions
elsewhere.

This has been discussed on the uk.sci.weather newsgroup under the thread

of

'Winter Forecast'.
________________



Between early Jan and end of March please :-))

Mike


Is that like the warning for the long heatwave forecast for this Summer?
If they cannot get today or tomorrow correct what chance the next few
months?

Between early Jan and end of March please :-))

Mike


Is that like the warning for the long heatwave forecast for this Summer?
If they cannot get today or tomorrow correct what chance the next few
months?


No. What I am saying is that if the UK is to have cold and snow and winds
etc, between early January and the end of March please. I won't be here :-))
Jack ;-)

Mike

In article ,
Broadback writes:
|
| Is that like the warning for the long heatwave forecast for this Summer?

Yes.

| If they cannot get today or tomorrow correct what chance the next few
| months?

Some meterologists are extremely proud of those forecasts because,
in the past few years, they have started to be more reliable than
listening to the oldest inhabitant of the local pub. Others feel
that the difference in reliability is small.


Regards,
Nick Maclaren.

"Nick Maclaren" wrote in message
...

In article ,
Broadback writes:
|
| Is that like the warning for the long heatwave forecast for this
Summer?

Yes.

| If they cannot get today or tomorrow correct what chance the next few
| months?

Some meterologists are extremely proud of those forecasts because,
in the past few years, they have started to be more reliable than
listening to the oldest inhabitant of the local pub. Others feel
that the difference in reliability is small.


I read somewhere that if you forecast every day that tomorrows weather would
be the same as todays, you would have a success rate comparable with the
forecasts on TV.


Steve.

"Nick Maclaren" wrote |

Some meterologists are extremely proud of those forecasts because,
in the past few years, they have started to be more reliable than
listening to the oldest inhabitant of the local pub. Others feel
that the difference in reliability is small.

When you think of the computing power they have at their disposal, two new
NEC's to replace their Cray system, then they bloody well should be getting
better.
http://www.metoffice.com/research/nw...cal/computers/

--
Regards
Bob
In Runnymede, 17 miles West of London

quote Methinks they are predicting a blocking situation with
persistent easterlies
bring cold,dry weather to the south of England but milder conditions
elsewhere.


This has been discussed on the uk.sci.weather newsgroup under the
thread of
'Winter Forecast'.
________________
Nick G


I don't care! good luck with winter!

Mike

You mean like predicting that second week or so in september will see high
winds and rain,?
or like 10th to 15th december will see cold snap or like saying second or
third week in february will see very cold snap ? or like saying 10th to
20th july will see hot weather and near cloudless skies for about 3 to 4
days ?
It's easy to [prdict september weather cus warm spell is followed by wet and
windy spell as trails of cloud spin off across the atlantic from tropical
storms hitting USA and following east coast then cross to us. This follows
tropical storm/hurricane season across the pond.
Nevertheless, thanks for warning will bring lilies in containers into
greenhouse for protection.

regards
Cineman

"p.k." wrote in message
...
Froma friend in the energy industry:

I found this on a website at work:
Weathermen put the UK on 'amber alert'
The Met Office has put the UK energy industry on 'amber alert' for a
colder than average winter.

It has written to energy companies and many other contingency
planners because, it says, "a prolonged, severe winter is one of the
biggest
threats to the efficient day-to-day running of the country".

According to the weather experts, the long-range forecast signals a
dry winter across much of the UK.

Since 1995-96, winters in the UK have been mild, giving many the
impression that mild winters are now the norm. Even an average winter
could
come as a surprise to many, says the Met Office, which is now based in
Devon.


pk