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Frost forecasts
"VivienB" wrote in message ... This might be of interest: http://uk.weather.com/activities/farmandgarden/ For a local 5 day forecast for your nearest weather station in the UK, often quite close by, just type in your postcode in the box at the bottom. http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/5day.shtml Caution: the figures often change on a daily basis, and so may need constant monitoring. A reminder perhaps of how inexact forecasting can still sometimes be. The danger of frost is often specific to certain locations. Even within a matter of a few yards, frost pockets can form in hollows, and up against fences and other barriers to the free circulation of air. michael adams .... |
#2
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Frost forecasts
In article , "michael adams" writes: | | Caution: the figures often change on a daily basis, | and so may need constant monitoring. A reminder perhaps of | how inexact forecasting can still sometimes be. Oh, yes, indeed. | The danger of frost is often specific to certain | locations. Even within a matter of a few yards, frost | pockets can form in hollows, and up against fences and | other barriers to the free circulation of air. That phenomenon is relatively rare in the UK, as it applies only in very still conditions. A more common one here is the reverse, i.e. that a freezing wind will leave hollows and barrier-shielded areas untouched. Note that can apply with even the lightest winds. Regards, Nick Maclaren. |
#3
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Frost forecasts
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#4
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Frost forecasts
In article , Janet Baraclough writes: | | | The danger of frost is often specific to certain | | locations. Even within a matter of a few yards, frost | | pockets can form in hollows, and up against fences and | | other barriers to the free circulation of air. | | That phenomenon is relatively rare in the UK, as it applies only | in very still conditions. | | I don't think so Nick, though living on the flatlands perhaps you may | not see frostpockets as often as I do. Many gardeners (even in windy | Scotland) with a hillside/sloping/valley garden will be only too | familiar with frost pockets exactly as Michael describes, and they are | very frequently referred to in UK gardening books. Even in hilly areas, you will see the phenomenon I refer to more often. Indeed, one might say ESPECIALLY in hilly areas! Frost often occurs on hilltops and not on the bottoms, even when the adiabatic cooling phenomenon is negligible, due to the effect of a freezing wind. I know that books often refer to the frost-pocket phenomenon, but my observation is that it is a lot rarer (in the UK) than is often made out. Yes, it occurs, but it is nowhere near as common as the shelter phenomenon, which is what I referred to in the section that you snipped. Michael Adams was correct that the danger is very location-specific, but a little misleading when he described the frost-pocket phenomenon alone. The shelter phenomenon is a much more important cause of the variations with precise location. Regards, Nick Maclaren. |
#6
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Frost forecasts
Is there any website that details when you would EXPECT the last frosts
to have gone. I remember seeing Mr Titchmarsh showing some graphic on one of his programs say when you would expect the last frost to have gone by. I am aware that this is not a promise I'm just after an indicator i.e. when in Berkshire would the last frost be expected to be over by ? Cheers Colin |
#7
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Frost forecasts
In article , Tim C. writes: | | I know that books often refer to the frost-pocket phenomenon, but my | observation is that it is a lot rarer (in the UK) than is often made | out. Yes, it occurs, but it is nowhere near as common as the shelter | phenomenon, which is what I referred to in the section that you snipped. | | Find a spot displaying the shelter-phenomenon and look on the other side of | the hedge. ;-) It's usually partially sheltered, too! In most of the UK, frost is associated with wind more often than with still conditions. The main question is whether the scale of the turbulence is larger or smaller than the scale of the topographical feature. The Reynolds number is only part of the story. You can often see this effect very clearly with sloes and other wild flowers and fruit. While there is a very strong south=early effect, and a fairly strong exposed=colder effect, there is a relatively weak air-trap=colder effect. Regards, Nick Maclaren. |
#8
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Frost forecasts
In article . com, "Gardening_Convert" writes: | Is there any website that details when you would EXPECT the last frosts | to have gone. I remember seeing Mr Titchmarsh showing some graphic on | one of his programs say when you would expect the last frost to have | gone by. Not a useful one, as far as I know. When writing the climate FAQ, I found some old data on this and summarised it there. I forget the details but, if I recall, the expected variation is a month each way, and variations of two months are not all that rare. | I am aware that this is not a promise I'm just after an indicator i.e. | when in Berkshire would the last frost be expected to be over by ? Anywhere from February 1st to June 1st :-( Sorry. Regards, Nick Maclaren. |
#9
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Frost forecasts
The message . com
from "Gardening_Convert" contains these words: Is there any website that details when you would EXPECT the last frosts to have gone. I remember seeing Mr Titchmarsh showing some graphic on one of his programs say when you would expect the last frost to have gone by. go to http://www.google.co.uk/ and type the four words last frost date map into the search box; tick "UK" just underneath it, click enter. Janet |
#11
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Frost forecasts
In article , Janet Baraclough
writes The message from (Nick Maclaren) contains these words: In most of the UK, frost is associated with wind more often than with still conditions. I'd have to disagree with that too!. One of the predictors of night frost risk that I use in either spring or autumn, is a cloudless night sky. They are often still, with very little wind, and even after a sunny warm day the temp can drop like a stone. Janet (Scotland). I live quite near Nick, as the crow flies, and I have to agree with Janet, I look at the sky at night, and a clear, still night is the one when I get frosts. Last night was a prime example at Norwich. -- Judith Lea |
#12
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Frost forecasts
In article , Judith Lea writes: | | I live quite near Nick, as the crow flies, and I have to agree with | Janet, I look at the sky at night, and a clear, still night is the one | when I get frosts. Last night was a prime example at Norwich. Yes, we do here, but we are not typical of the UK. Last night was not still, anyway! There was quite enough wind to reduce the frost pocket phenomenon and increase the shelter one with me. Note that a force 2 wind really does make a difference in this respect, and even a force 1 one has some effect! The result is that, if you consider the potential for frost-damage and not the occurrence of frost as such, what I say is true. As I said, I based my remarks on looking for sloes, looking at frost damage of ornamentals and similar, in both hilly and flat places. Regards, Nick Maclaren. |
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